Begin forwarded message: Date: July 14, 2005 12:16:27 AM PDT Subject: Fw: Probability of 7/7 Drill and Attack Coinciding
----- Original Message -----Sent: Wednesday, July 13, 2005 2:02 PM Subject: Probability of 7/7 Drill and Attack Coinciding
Remember this folks: Yes, it's one of those stories that only gets reported once....
| | | | | | | | Probability of 7/7 Drill and Attack Coinciding | | | | | | | LU Stations | 274 | | Probability of one attack by hour (5yr mean): | One chance in | 9,474,920 | | Open Hours per Day | 19 | | Probability of 3 station terror hit (5yr mean): | One chance in | 850,602,500,906,920,000,000 | | Open Days a Year | 364 | | | | Mean Sample frequent (yrs) | 5 | | Probability of one attack by hour (10yr mean) | One chance in | 18,949,840 | | Mean Sample frequent (yrs) | 10 | | Probability of 3 station terror hit (10yr mean): | One chance in | 6,804,820,007,255,360,000,000 | | | | | | | Same Time | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | LU Stations | 274 | | Probability of drill on 1 stations per hour | One chance in | 817,342 | | Open Hours per Day | 19 | | Probability of drill on 3 stations per hour | One chance in | 546,023,643,432,766,000 | | Open Days a Year | 157 | | | | | | | | | Same Time | 3 | | | | | | | PROBABILITY OF DRILL AND TERROR ATTACK COINCIDING BY CHANCE (10yr mean) | One chance in | 3,715,592,613,265,750,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 | | | | | Estimate of Grains of sand in the whole world (http://www.miamisci.org/tripod/whysand.html) | | 7,500,000,000,000,000,000 | | | | | In context: If I go to a beach, or a desert, or under the sea and pick a single grain of sand. | | | | What chance is there of you going to the same part of the world by chance and picking up the same grain? | | | You are trillions of times more likely to do this that the London drill coinciding with this attack at that hour | | | | | | I wonder why the media aren't reporting the drill?? | | | | | | | | | |
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