http://www.theage.com.au/world/yudhoyono-warns-military-over-mystery-abs-plot-20090206-7zxk.html


Yudhoyono warns military over mystery 'ABS plot' 
  a.. Tom Allard, Jakarta 
  b.. February 7, 2009 
INDONESIAN President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono has sent the country's security 
establishment into a spin and left political observers divided after alluding 
to a mysterious campaign by unnamed army officers to unseat him in this year's 
elections.

Displaying his famed Javanese circumlocution, Dr Yudhoyono called in senior 
military and police officers to the State Palace last week and, in the presence 
of the media, revealed his concern about a rumoured "ABS" campaign.

"ABS," he said, stood for "Anyone But S". Who "S" was Yudhoyono would not say, 
although it seems a clear reference to his own campaign for re-election.

Moreover, he looked the officers in the eye and, as the TV cameras rolled, said 
he did not believe the rumour, before giving them a stern lecture about the 
importance of political neutrality during this upcoming legislative and 
presidential polls.

What followed was a flurry of meetings among serving and retired military and 
police officers, many of whom expressed bewilderment at Dr Yudhoyono's 
suggestion.

Jakarta's media were confused, and then hostile as the fallout dominated 
coverage this week.

The Jakarta Post upbraided him, saying he "childishly reacted to mere gossip". 
Media Indonesia, another newspaper, urged him "to keep his mouth shut".

As his political opponents pounced, majority opinion among the punditry was 
that Dr Yudhoyono had scored an own goal, revealing a flaky paranoia unbecoming 
of a statesman in the new, democratic Indonesia.

But an Australian National University academic and leading authority on the 
Indonesian military and its politics, Marcus Mietzner, said SBY, as the 
President is universally known, could well have cannily outflanked his 
political adversaries.

"It's an open secret retired officers are campaigning against him," Dr Mietzner 
said. "He hasn't accommodated their interests and they are not happy about Aceh 
(and the peace deal with insurgents there).

"The warning shot has been fired very publicly. Those who were trying to 
mobilise active officers will be thinking twice."

About 400,000-strong, Indonesia's armed forces are forbidden from voting but 
can influence their families' voting patterns and, in the past, have used 
coercive power to direct voting among villagers.

But the military, once a powerful force in politics and society, has been 
neutered since its halcyon days under Suharto's dictatorship.

Dr Yudhoyono, a former four-star general, has been at the vanguard of curbing 
its influence, most recently curtailing the business activities of the 
military, a source of great corruption.

No doubt he is conscious of the presidential bid of Prabowo Subianto, a former 
military chief and Suharto crony who is running a well-financed campaign.

Mr Prabowo's political vehicle, the Great Indonesia Movement Party, wants to 
restore the military's pre-eminence in Indonesia society so it is once again 
the "tiger of Asia".

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