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Agency of Fear
Opiates and Political Power in America
By Edward Jay Epstein
Chapter 22 - The Crime Nexus

Drug traffic is public enemy number one domestically in the United States
today and we must wage a total offensive, worldwide, nationwide,
government-wide, and, if I might say so, media-wide.
-President Nixon, in remarks before media executives at the Flagship Hotel,
Rochester, N. Y., June 18, 1971


The mobilization of public fears and anxieties to support the president's
offensive was based not on the damage heroin addicts inflicted on themselves
but on the damage they presumably inflicted on innocent members of society.
"The real problem is that heroin addicts steal, rob, and commit every other
kind of crime," Ambrose told U.S. News & World Report in 1971, "so we have
this terrible problem of crime in the cities, much of which is related to
heroin addiction." (This image was reinforced by the antidrug messages in
television programming and commercials which depicted addicts as glassy-eyed
fiends compulsively driven to commit violent crimes.) Nixon also postulated,
in a speech to Congress, "Narcotics addiction is a major contributor to
crime. The cost of supplying a narcotics habit can run from thirty dollars a
day to one hundred dollars a day. This is two hundred ten to seven hundred
dollars a week, or over ten thousand dollars to over thirty-six thousand
dollars a year." The president went on to explain that since "addicts do not
ordinarily hold jobs ... they often turn to shoplifting, mugging, burglary,
armed robbery, and so on." Administration officials then calculated that "the
total annual crime cost of the country-largely crime on the streets-is
roughly 18 billion dollars." This staggering figure of $18 billion which was
based on a series of assumptions about what fraction of the value of stolen
goods addicts receive from "fences"-was then released to the press and to
Congress as the official estimate of crime caused by heroin, and was included
in the government's "briefing book" used to inform reporters writing about
the problem of drug abuse.

 While such authoritative-sounding figures were widely reported in the press
and no doubt added to public anxieties about crime and narcotics, they were
not in fact related to any actual statistics compiled by the government.
Indeed, the $18 billion worth of crime which government spokesmen claimed
addicts were committing to buy their supply of heroin was actually more than
25 times greater than the total sum of property that was stolen and
unrecovered throughout the United States in 1971 (including hijackings,
embezzlements, automobile, fur, and jewelry thefts), according to the Uniform
Crime Reports published by the FBI. (in New York City alone, where more than
half of all of the nation's addicts were presumed to reside, addicts would
have to steal goods worth more than $9 billion, if one used the calculus of
the Nixon administration; yet the total value of property stolen that year
according to police-department records was only $225 million-or one fortieth
the amount that addicts alone were presumed to have stolen.) To be sure, not
all theft is reported to the police-though the dollar value of stolen
property is more often exaggerated, or overreported than it is underreported.
However"' a study commissioned by the Law Enforcement Administration Agency
in 1972, using census-taking techniques to poll the citizenry about crime,
estimated that no more than one half the crimes in New York City and other
urban areas with major addiction programs go unreported. Even if the total
amount of crime was doubled in 1971, addicts would still be stealing more
than twelve times all the property actually stolen in America in 1971. This
1200-percent discrepancy between the claims of the Nixon administration and
government statistics was further compounded by the fact that the sorts of
crimes which accounted for the bulk of stolen and unrecovered property such
as car theft, hijacking, bank robbery, embezzlement, and fraud were not
normally attributed to addicts by law-enforcement officials.

The $18-billion figure did not correspond to reported or even actual crime in
America; it was merely another datum in the campaign to brief the press and
thereby better organize public fears about heroin addicts. Though journalists
widely reported such billion-dollar hyperbole as fact, Egil Krogh and the
White House strategists fully realized that the "magic numbers," as Krogh put
it, were based on very dubious assumptions about the relation of crime and
drug addiction. For one thing, the multibillion-dollar estimates were based
on the BNDD's projection of 559,000 addicts. This projection, in turn, was
based on a statistical artifact which was later revised downward (when no
evidence was found of the 400,000 or so unknown addicts). Moreover, the
$18-billion calculus assumed arbitrarily that each addict required $16,750
worth of heroin every year to sustain his habit; yet there was no hard
evidence that the average heroin user purchased even one tenth that amount of
the drug. More important, there was no reason to assume that all heroin users
were compelled to support their habit through crime rather than through part-
or fulltime employment (or through support provided by friends, relatives, or
welfare programs). As Krogh readily admitted, the government had no empirical
basis for estimating the proportion of addicts who supported themselves
through theft. If all the projected 559,000 addicts committed two or three
burglaries a day, as President Nixon postulated, they would have to commit at
least 365 million burglaries a year. This sum would be two hundred times more
than all the burglaries committed in 1971 in America. (Nixon's speech writers
apparently borrowed this particular hyperbole from the rhetoric of Governor
Rockefeller in New York State.)

In computing the costs of addiction to the rest of society, the
administration's sharp departure from reality proceeded from the myth of the
vampire-addict that had been developed almost a half century before by
Captain Hobson. So long as it was assumed that all heroin users were
ultimately transformed into fiends who were driven by their insatiable
appetite for the drug to commit any crime or take any risk to obtain enough
money to satisfy their habit, it followed that the total cost of their crimes
could be computed simply by multiplying the cost of their drug consumption by
the number of addicts. Although such a model of addict behavior became an
integral part of television dramas depicting themes of' drugs and crime
(partly owing to the efforts of the Nixon administration), such dramatic
stereotypes grossly oversimplified the behavior of most heroin users. For
example. a study prepared for the State of New York by the Hudson Institute
on "The Economics of Heroin Distribution" concluded that 39 percent of those
classified as addicts were either "joy poppers," "intermittent users,"
"apprentices," or addicts with otherwise "small habits." Less than one
quarter of those classified as addicts used more than $25 a day worth of
heroin and were considered to have "large habits." Moreover, the assumption
that heroin users cannot work at legitimate jobs is questionable. Findings of
the United States Army in Vietnam showed that hundreds of thousands of
soldiers were able to perform their normal duties while using heroin (which
is why the problem was not detected for three years). To be sure, a large
number of addicts are engaged in illegal occupations, but even addicts
engaged in theft tend to avoid the more risky crimes of robbery, mugging, and
other crimes against persons. Instead they tend to concentrate on such
low-risk crimes as shoplifting, boosting (that is, stealing from parked
trucks), or burglarizing abandoned buildings. In a study of sixty-five active
heroin users in New York City, Heather L. Ruth found that less than 10
percent of her sample ever engaged in robbery or mugging. Presumably, the
reason why criminal addicts avoid high-risk crimes against persons is not
that they have higher morals than other criminals but that the costs of being
imprisoned and denied-their drug are higher than for nonaddicted criminals.
Since from the available data there is no way of knowing what proportion of
heroin users support themselves through regular or part-time work, welfare,
or dependence on other persons, any crime nexus or calculation of the amount
of crime that addicts commit must be ultimately problematic.

The White House staff itself had little confidence in the huge crime numbers
that were being supplied to the press through briefing officers in the
various agencies. For instance, a 1970 Domestic Council staff report in Egli
Krogh's file explains, "The National Institute of Mental Health estimates
that addicts in the United States commit up to five billion dollars worth of
crime in the country." Krogh's staff estimated that in fact the figure was
"closer to one billion dollars," but explained that "the high figure of the
National Institute of Mental Health can be attributed to their desire to
evidence need for treatment programs, thereby aggrandizing their territory."
In other words, Krogh and his staff presumed that the multibillion-dollar
numbers attached to drug crimes were simply a product of bureaucracy's
attempting to excite the public. Nor was the Domestic Council staff unaware
of the fragile nature of the connection between heroin and crime. On March
19, 1971, the Domestic Council decision paper, "Narcotic Addiction and Drug
Abuse Program," drawn up by Krogh and Donfeld, stated, "Even if all drug
abuse were eradicated, there might not be a dramatic drop in crime statistics
on a national level, since much crime is not related to drug abuse."


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