-Caveat Lector-

http://www.dawn.com/2002/10/15/op.htm#1

American policy in Middle East

By M. Khalil Khan Ghauri

American strategists were totally baffled when the Arabs used oil as a
weapon during 1973 Israel-Arab war. This was the first wake-up call for
the Americans to realize that the Middle Eastern oil-rich states could
make them totally helpless by reducing their oil production.

Resultantly the oil prices soared to nearly thirty dollars from four
dollars per barrel. While it brought a sudden economic boom for the
Arabs, the American thinkers started worrying that their trillions of
dollars would ultimately move into the pockets of the former. The
Americans therefore came out with a grand design to counter this threat.


They developed huge oil stockpiles for any such eventuality and decided
to physically control the Middle East. A physical occupation of the
Middle East then was not possible because of a strong reaction from the
Soviet Union. In the 1950s the Americans had developed a strong
infrastructure in Iran to ensure that the Soviet Union did not approach
the Middle East through land routes and no outside power disturbed the
free flow of oil from the region. However, once the Shah's government
was replaced by the Khomeini regime, the Americans were thrown out of
Iran.

The Americans identified the Soviet Union, Iran and the oil-rich Arab
states as their next targets to deal with at an appropriate time. To
achieve this aim they adopted the old British colonial strategy of
divide and rule. They exploited the Shia-Sunni differences and created a
scare among the Gulf littoral states of an Iranian expansionist threat.
Iraq, therefore, was tasked to neutralize the Iranian military and
damage its economic base. Iraq was heavily armed and Saddam Hussein was
promised rewards for decimating Iran.

Interestingly, Col. Oliver North of CIA was detailed to supply enough
weapons to Iran. Iran-Iraq war continued for nearly eight years and cost
billions of dollars and of deaths to both the countries on a totally
useless issue. Once Iran was enfeebled, Iraq demanded the promised
reward from the United States.

The Americans had already started the proxy war in Afghanistan once the
Soviets moved in there in 1979. Eventually the Soviet Union
disintegrated and the Americans, the sole superpower, became the police
man of the world. Soon after, the Americans winked at Saddam Hussein to
annex Kuwait as a promised reward for decimating Iran. Once Saddam
Hussein occupied Kuwait the Americans changed side and moved in the Gulf
countries for their defence. Americans over projected the military power
of Iraq and created a false impression in the minds of the world through
propaganda that Saddam Hussein possessed weapons of mass destruction.

The world media portrayed the Iraqi army as the most powerful force in
the region capable of holding the entire Middle East through the threat
of use of nuclear, chemical and biological weapons to bondage. Saudi
Arabia and other gulf countries fell into the trap and provided all the
infrastructure and ground facilities for the Americans to establish the
required military bases here.

Consequently, Iraqis were humbled within days. The UN as a tool in the
hands of the West passed a strong resolution against Iraq and prescribed
economic sanctions against it. Saddam and his regime were purposely
allowed to exist and from time to time the American and the British
forces launched strikes against Iraq on the pretext of the latter's
violation of 70-fly zones.

The Americans extracted billions of dollars from the Arabs for
liberating Kuwait and for providing protection to them against possible
Iraqi military threats. It is about twelve years that the Americans
along with British troops have held bases in all the key Gulf states and
have refused to depart despite the destruction wrought on Iraq. The Arab
governments kept paying billions of dollars to the Americans who have
stationed their forces in the region. The Saudi economy is in bad shape
and their GNP has dipped considerably, and after the Gulf war its annual
budget has gone into deficit.

The American grand design after 1973 oil war was finally achieved:
Russia was no longer a superpower, Iran and Iraq both have been
neutralized and the oil-rich Arab states are now tied to America's apron
strings.

The Arab rulers felt totally helpless and the nationalists started to
rise and started opposing the presence of American and western forces on
their soil. Osama bin Laden, an American hero in the Afghan war,
accepted this as a challenge. He had the will and a highly motivated
group of militant followers to fight for this cause.

During the presidency of Bill Clinton, Arabs had a strong hope that
Palestinian issue would be resolved justly and peacefully. Osama and his
Al Qaeda outfit were assisting the oppressed and down-trodden Muslims
elsewhere in the world too. They had no intention to target the US.
However, things changed dramatically when George W. Bush moved into the
White House. Bill Clinton's peace efforts in the Middle East were
shelved, Israel was encouraged to back-track on its earlier commitments
to reach a settlement with the Palestinians. This change of policy not
only infuriated the Arab states but also forced Osama bin Laden to turn
against the West with even stronger determination.

The unfortunate attack on the World Trade Centre in New York was a
manifestation of this frustration and helplessness against an unjust
superpower. All Muslims seriously condemn such terrorist attacks in
which innocent lives are lost. However, big powers like the US should
also realize that there is a limit to tolerance by the oppressed and
once that limit is crossed, desperate actions, no matter how illogical
or deplorable, become inevitable.

It is also time for the American people as a great and noble nation to
judge the performance of George W. Bush. Since the time he has taken
over, the Americans economy has been in a mess, serious corporate
scandals have come to light, confidence in the corporate sector has been
shaken, innocent lives in Palestine are being lost. America is turning
into a police state and its image in the world as the champion of
freedom and justice has been tarnished.

If the present American government does not change its current policies,
the world order will soon turn into an anarchic and immoral one. George
Bush's doctrines of 'pre-emption' and superpower 'unilateralism' are a
sure recipe for disaster, particularly in the context of the
increasingly volatile and restive Middle East.

The writer is a retired air commodore of the PAF.

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