-Caveat Lector-

http://truthout.org/docs_02/022203B.htm

Complications on U.S. Road to War
By Reuters

Friday 21 February 2003

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - On the verge of war in Iraq, the Bush
administration finds its goals complicated by its own uncompromising
approach as it builds a legacy that could do long-term damage to NATO, the
United Nations and U.S. leadership, diplomats and analysts say.

Such criticism, made in the heat of rhetorical struggle over Iraq policy
and vigorously rejected by administration officials, could well be revised
if war against Baghdad is quick and reasonably successful.

But as it works to maximize world support in the countdown to military
action against Saddam Hussein and to isolate North Korea, the United
States finds itself nearly as much on the defensive as the ``axis of
evil'' regimes it seeks to curtail.

Tensions between the United States and two of its oldest allies -- France
and Germany -- were on display at a European security conference in early
February, then exploded in a NATO dispute over defending alliance member
Turkey and at a U.N. Security Council meeting on Iraq.

At the United Nations, council members took the extraordinary step of
applauding French and Russian demands to slow the rush to war while
comments by Secretary of State Colin Powell, who more than any U.S.
official pursued a diplomatic solution, were met with stony silence.

Later, French Foreign Minister Dominique de Villepin fumed during a
closed-door meeting with Powell that the United States was trying to
divide Europe as France and Germany sought to unify the continent.

Meanwhile, anti-war demonstrations around the world last weekend drew
millions of people in some of the largest protests since the Vietnam War.

PASSION STOKED

``There's no question that a succession of diplomatic moves by (President
George W.) Bush, including (opposition to) the Kyoto protocol, the
International Criminal Court, the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty and other
similar defections from multilateralism, have created the backdrop for
this standoff on Iraq,'' said European expert Charles Kupchan.

``Does that mean if these other events hadn't come first there would be
unity on the Security Council? I wouldn't go that far. But it helps to
explain the passionate nature of the debate and the widespread protests
that have been sweeping Europe. Anti-Americanism has been on a steady rise
since Bush took office. It's not just about Iraq,'' said Kupchan of the
Council on Foreign Relations.

Even before the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks, Bush sought to reassert American
leadership and power in many spheres, often fomenting resentments in the
process by pursuing what critics view as a unilateral agenda with
heavy-handed tactics.

On such issues as the global warming treaty known as Kyoto, the
International Criminal Court and the ABM Treaty, U.S. officials declared
their position repeatedly, brooking no compromise, until opponents were
either persuaded or worn down.

Bush also asserted a willingness to wage preventive wars, reinforcing an
image of America as too quick to use force.

The president's reluctant decision to seek U.N. Security Council support
for a tough line on Iraq was an effort to win over critics but many
believed Bush and his team, keen to finish the job left undone in the 1991
Gulf War, were not serious about a diplomatic solution.

RISING TENSIONS

In recent weeks, tensions have risen as NATO allies France and Germany dug
in their heels against military action against Iraq, Turkey bargained hard
for more aid in exchange for U.S. basing rights and Defense Secretary
Donald Rumsfeld rankled Paris and Berlin by dismissing them as ``Old
Europe.''

``I think you can definitely argue the Bush people may have rubbed a
little salt in the wounds and the rhetoric tended to exaggerate rather
than diminish the differences,'' said Walter Russell Mead, also of the
Council on Foreign Relations.

But the idea of Europe ``being increasingly unhappy with American
leadership while the U.S. feels its leadership is more needed than ever
after Sept. 11 -- that's something that's there. It doesn't matter who was
president,'' he said.

U.S.-European consensus on Iraq is still possible but even if America goes
to war without U.N. approval, transatlantic ties will survive, as in
previous upheavals, he added.

NATO Secretary-General George Robertson said the dispute over whether to
give Turkey equipment to defend itself against Iraq showed alliance
disarray but was not a mortal blow.

Kupchan was more pessimistic, doubting NATO would survive the crisis and
warning that Washington's failure to win U.N. support for military action
would be a ``historical turning point that would ... deal a powerful blow
to the U.N.,the West as a coherent political entity ... and risk the
United States' international political legitimacy.''

(In accordance with Title 17 U.S.C. Section 107, this material is
distributed without profit to those who have expressed a prior interest in
receiving the included information for research and educational purposes.)

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