-Caveat Lector- Newsmax-December 23, 1999 First Lady for President? Possible, Poll Says By Stephan Archer Hillary Clinton is a viable presidential candidate, new poll results show. A NewsMax.com/Zogby International poll reveals that if presidential elections were held today, First Lady Hillary Rodham Clinton would garner nearly 25 percent of the vote in a hypothetical three-way race with Republican George W. Bush and Reform Party convert Pat Buchanan. Political pundits have said that any candidate who can poll 25 percent of the national vote has reached a serious threshold and is capable of winning the presidency. The NewsMax.com/Zogby nationwide survey of 1,005 likely voters last week found that 24.4 percent of those polled said they would vote for Hillary Clinton. Bush failed to gain a majority, taking 47 percent of the vote. Buchanan came in third, mustering a paltry 6 percent. Another 22 percent of those polled said they weren’t sure for whom they would vote. These poll numbers are certain to be encouraging news to Hillary Clinton. Some Hillary watchers believe her true intention all along has been to run for president, not to be simply a junior senator from New York. Dick Morris, one-time Bill Clinton campaign guru, believes Hillary will decide to opt out of the Senate race from New York later in 2000 and apply her campaign funds in 2004 to either the Senate race in Illinois or a presidential run. Federal Election Commission rules would allow her to do this. These latest poll results, however, indicate she vould be a viable candidate even four years sooner, in the 2000 presidential race, in a three-way race against Bush and Buchanan. Were Hillary to go that route, she would have to beat out both Vice President Al Gore and former New Jersey Sen. Bill Bradley for the Democratic nomination. There have already been signs of friction between the first lady and the Tennessean who has twice been her husband's running mate. Author Barbara Olson, in her new Hillary biography "Hell to Pay," agrees with Morris that Hillary’s real ambition has been the presidency. The first lady’s poll numbers today compare favorably with those for Ross Perot when he first ran for the presidency in 1992. Poll numbers show that Hillary has a strong base of support in the Democratic Party. The NewsMax.com/Zogby poll queried likely Democratic voters about Hillary’s chances should she enter the Democratic primaries today - not four years from now. In a three-way primary field of Bradley, Hillary and Gore, the vice president came out on top, with 36 percent, and Bradley second, with 31 percent. The first lady received 19 percent - a respectable chunk of the vote for someone not even considered in the running at this point. Her number zooms higher were Gore not in the race for the nomination. In a two-way contest today between Bradley and Hillary, Bradley would take 45 percent of the vote - but she would be nipping at his heels with 38 percent of the vote, with 17 percent of Democratic voters still undecided. The NewsMax.com/Zogby poll indicates Hillary’s prospects for future elections may improve markedly. She racks up high support from young voters between ages 18 and 24. Among those voters in a presidential election, Hillary would outpoll both Bush and Buchanan by a comfortable margin. Running in Democratic primaries, Hillary could also expect to win big with young voters. Among those between 18 and 34, she would beat Gore and Bradley by at least 20 points. The survey does reveal some cracks. Jewish voters, a large voting block in New York City and vital for any Senate run in that state, apparently have grave reservations about a Hillary presidential candidacy. In a run for the White House, Bush would outpoll her by two to one among Jewish voters, with almost 50 percent undecided. In a Democratic primary race among Gore, Hillary and Bradley, Hillary would get a mere 7 percent of the Jewish vote. Against Bradley, Hillary would do some better, but still only 12 percent. Jewish voters may be responding to concerns that Hillary has not been a keen supporter of Israel, and did not distance herself from anti-Israel comments made by Yasser Arafat’s wife during a recent speech. Larry Sabato, an election analyst and professor of government and foreign affairs at the University of Virginia, believes these poll results suggest the first lady does have a chance to win the presidency, but she first must prove she can win an election to a lesser office. "She needs to win this New York race to be taken seriously," Sabato told NewsMax.com. "Just being first lady isn’t enough." Sabato also said a successful campaign in New York would separate her from "Clinton fatigue." Although Hillary Clinton was at first seen as the aggrieved spouse, Sabato said, things have changed. She is now considered part of the Clinton administration’s corruption. A win in New York could change that view, Sabato said. NEWSMAX.COM/ZOGBY POLL Question: If the election for U.S. president were held today and the candidates were George W. Bush, Pat Buchanan and Hillary Clinton, for whom would you vote? Bush - 47 percent Hillary - 24 percent Buchanan - 6 percent Not sure - 22 percent. Question: If the Democratic primary for president were held today and the candidates were Al Gore, Hillary Clinton or Bill Bradley, for whom would you vote? (Democratic voters polled) Gore - 36 percent Bradley - 31 percent Hillary - 9 percent Not sure - 14 percent. Question: If the Democratic primary for President were held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton and Bill Bradley, for whom would you vote? (Democratic voters polled) Bradley - 45 percent Hillary - 38 percent Not sure - 17 percent. ================================================================= Kadosh, Kadosh, Kadosh, YHVH, TZEVAOT FROM THE DESK OF: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> *Mike Spitzer* <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> ~~~~~~~~ <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> The Best Way To Destroy Enemies Is To Change Them To Friends Shalom, A Salaam Aleikum, and to all, A Good Day. ================================================================= DECLARATION & DISCLAIMER ========== CTRL is a discussion and informational exchange list. Proselyzting propagandic screeds are not allowed. Substance—not soapboxing! 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