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-Caveat Lector-

U.S. - IRAQ INVASION LIKELY TO BEGIN WITH STATE of the UNION, Tuesday

by
Michael C. Ruppert

January 24, 2003, 1930 PST (FTW) - Serious international developments
are indicating that the first stages of the U.S. invasion of Iraq
will begin unilaterally no later than next Wednesday and most likely
as the President delivers his State of the Union address to Congress
on Tuesday night.

The Associated Press reported today, in a story little noticed by
mainstream American press, that the Japanese government had today
urged all Japanese citizens to leave Iraq as soon as possible. Japan
has large numbers of its nationals working in Iraq in various trade
and oil-related business ventures. According to a second report today
on CNN Headline News the Japanese advisory was specific that all
Japanese citizens should be out of the country by next Wednesday at
the latest.

The Japanese alert was followed by a simultaneous advisory from the
U.S. State Department issuing a worldwide alert to all Americans
traveling overseas. According to another AP story, State Department
officials tried to downplay the significance of the warning, "but
officials were unable to say when the last such advisory had been
issued." A worldwide alert for U.S. citizens is extremely rare and
suggests that the administration is concerned about a global backlash
against Americans traveling overseas. Cautionary advisories are
normally isolated to specific countries or geographic regions.

The invasion of Iraq will most likely commence with a massive aerial
campaign in which the U.N. and many military analysts have predicted
widespread collateral damage with heavy civilian casualties. One
recent UN estimate suggested that the total Iraqi casualty count for
the entire operation could exceed 500,000.

This decision should not be taken as a surprise. In recent weeks
support for the obvious U.S. intentions, both worldwide and at home,
has been declining rapidly. At the time this story was written a
contemporaneous CNN poll showed that 62% of those responding believed
that the United States should not attack Iraq without UN approval.
Politically, the Bush administration has seen that this situation is
not going to improve. Every delay in an attack to which the
administration has already committed not only risks greater military,
political and economic opposition but also increases the risk that
U.S. ground forces will be engaged in desert fighting in hot summer
weather. Recent moves by both the French and Russian governments to
approve new trade and development agreements with the Hussein
government might also weaken U.S. economic control in a post-Saddam
regime.

With crude oil prices at two-year highs and with U.S. oil reserves at
27-year lows the signs of a crumbling U.S. economy made themselves
felt again today with a more than 200 point drop in the Dow Jones
Industrial average. The Bush administration has apparently decided to
roll the dice now in a go-for-broke imperial conquest that has as its
primary objective the immediate control of 11 per cent of the world's
oil reserves.

In many previous stories FTW has documented how the Iraqi invasion is
but the first in a series of sequential worldwide military campaigns
to which the United States has committed. All of these are based upon
globally dwindling oil supplies and the pending economic and human
consequences of that reality. On January 21st, CNN Headline News
acknowledged, for the first time, the reality of Peak Oil and
accurately stated that "all the cheap oil there is has been found."
The story also acknowledged that there was only enough oil left to
sustain the planet for thirty to forty years and that what oil
remained was going to become increasingly more expensive to produce
and deliver.

It is likely that the resiliency of Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez,
in his effort to resist U.S.-inspired strikes by wealthy Venezuelan
industrialists, has had an impact on this decision by the Bush
administration. Venezuela, which is the third largest foreign
importer of oil to the U.S., has seen its U.S. deliveries cut to a
fraction of normal levels in recent weeks. Within the last week oil
analysts have been predicting shortages and price spikes similar to
those of 1973-4 if U.S. oil stocks were not replenished quickly. The
administration's apparent decision to launch the attacks against Iraq
appears to be at least a partial acknowledgement that Chavez is
successfully resisting U.S. pressure to oust him.

Chavez angered multinational investors and financiers recently by
moving to increase the share of oil profits retained in Venezuela for
the benefit of its people.

Today's announcements signal that the world is entering a period of
danger not seen for forty years. That the announcements from the
Japanese government and the State Department came on the same day
that the Department of Homeland Security became active and its
Secretary Tom Ridge was sworn in seems an unlikely coincidence.
Previous reporting from FTW had indicated that even massive protests
and non-violent global resistance would prove ineffective in
preventing an Iraqi invasion. And our predictions that the Bush junta
had prepared for all the worst-case scenarios, including domestic
unrest and worldwide opposition appear to be vindicated.

The administration has clearly issued a statement to the
world. "Screw you. We're going to play this game any way you want to
play it. And we're ready for anything that comes."

Only time will tell if they are correct.



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CTRL is a discussion & informational exchange list. Proselytizing propagandic
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sordid matters and 'conspiracy theory'—with its many half-truths, mis-
directions and outright frauds—is used politically by different groups with
major and minor effects spread throughout the spectrum of time and thought.
That being said, CTRLgives no endorsement to the validity of posts, and
always suggests to readers; be wary of what you read. CTRL gives no
credence to Holocaust denial and nazi's need not apply.

Let us please be civil and as always, Caveat Lector.
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