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-Caveat Lector-
 
Huge US Trade Deficit Hits Dollar
BBC News
2-13-4


The US trade deficit hit a record $489bn (£258bn) in 2003, with a
quarter of the shortfall coming in trade with China, official figures
have shown. The deficit was 17.1% larger than the previous record gap
recorded in 2002.
 
The US economy pulled in 8.3% more imports in 2003 than 2002, while
exports grew at a slower pace of 4.6%.
 
The news pushed the dollar to an 11-year low against the pound, and
to within a cent of its all-time low against the euro, before
recovering.
 
The euro skirted a new record high but in late-day deals had fallen
to $1.2754 dollars, having at one point in the session touched
$1.2896, just short of its record 1.2898 set on 12 January.
 
The pound was quoted at $1.8867, down from $1.8898, having earlier in
the day hit a new 11-year high of $1.8986.
 
The burgeoning deficit has put downward pressure on the dollar, which
could create inflationary pressure as Americans pay more for imported
goods.
 
The monthly deficit hit a near-record $42.5bn in December, well above
a median analyst forecast of $40bn.
 
Gary Thayer, chief economist at AG Edwards & Sons, said: "(The
figures are) suggesting the decline we've seen in the dollar over the
last couple of years is not having an impact.
 
"It suggests the dollar may still need to fall to help narrow the
trade deficit. But there's a risk to higher inflation if it does."
 
The dollar has fallen heavily against the euro and other currencies
over the past six months, pressured by concerns that the soaring
trade gap and a hefty US budget deficit could destabilise the
economy. BMO financial group senior economist Sal Guatieri
said: "What seems to be happening is that strong US demand is
trumping the weak US dollar, causing the trade deficit to widen.
 
"It probably means the US dollar has to weaken further for the trade
side to contribute to economic growth through this year and as well
reduce the current account deficit."
 
European trade
 
In testimony this week before Congress, Federal Reserve chairman Alan
Greenspan appeared comfortable with the dollar's decline, saying
foreign companies had so far been able to absorb the impact.
 
He said it would also eventually help contain the huge trade surplus
as foreign producers export less to the United States.
 
The politically sensitive deficit with China, among the world's
biggest exporters, grew to $124bn from $103bn the previous year.
 
The deficit with the EU surged to $10.29bn from $7.35bn. With the
eurozone, the gap grew to $8.19bn from $6bn.
 
© BBC MMIV 
 



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www.ctrl.org DECLARATION & DISCLAIMER ========== CTRL is a discussion & informational exchange list. Proselytizing propagandic screeds are unwelcomed. Substance—not soap-boxing—please! These are sordid matters and 'conspiracy theory'—with its many half-truths, mis- directions and outright frauds—is used politically by different groups with major and minor effects spread throughout the spectrum of time and thought. That being said, CTRLgives no endorsement to the validity of posts, and always suggests to readers; be wary of what you read. CTRL gives no credence to Holocaust denial and nazi's need not apply.

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