-Caveat Lector-
Begin forwarded message:
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Date: August 23, 2007 4:38:30 PM PDT
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Cc: [EMAIL PROTECTED], [EMAIL PROTECTED], [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: CIA Plotting Military Coup in Iraq -- Keep an Eye on
Allawi & Chalabi
http://www.juancole.com/2007/08/military-coup-planned-for-iraq.html
Juan Cole
August 23, 2007
Military Coup Planned for Iraq?
A rumor is circulating among well-connected and formerly high-level
Iraqi bureaucrats in exile in places like Damascus that a military
coup is being prepared for Iraq. I received the following from a
reliable, knowledgeable contact. There is no certitude that this
plan can or will be implemented. That it is being discussed at high
levels seems highly likely.
"There is serious talk of a military commission (majlis `askari) to
take over the government. The parties would be banned from holding
positions, and all the ministers would be technocrats, so to
speak. . . [The writer indicates that attempts have been made to
recruit cabinet members from the ranks of expatriate technocrats.]
The six-member board or commission would be composed on non-
political former military personnel who are presently not part of
the government OR the military establishment, such as it is in Iraq
at the moment. It is said that the Americans are supporting this
behind the scenes.
The plan includes a two-year period during which political parties
would not be permitted to be part of the government, but instead
would prepare and strengthen the parties for an election which
would not have lists, but real people running for real seats. The
two year period would be designed to take control of security and
restore infrastructure.
. . .[I]t is another [desperate plan], but one which many many
Iraqis will support, since they are sick of their country being
pulled apart by the "imports" - Maliki, Allawi, Jaafari et al. The
military group is composed of internals, people who have the goal
of securing the country even at the risk of no democracy, so they
say."
COMMENTS:
Bush couldn't get the parliament to pass the Hydrocarbon Law like
obedient puppets, so he'll put in a new Saddam to turn over the oil
to his cronies at Chevron, Exxon, Conocco, Shell, and BP.
IRAQ OIL THEFT RESOURCES
http://professorsmartass.blogspot.com/2006/09/iraq-oil-war-
resources.html
------------------
EX-CIA AIDES SAY ALLAWI HELPED AGENCY IN 90'S ATTACKS
http://www.nytimes.com/2004/06/09/politics/09ALLA.html?
ex=1087747955&ei=1&en=c040fed2685e7eb8
Iyad Allawi
Allawi at a ceremony for the transfer of governmental authority to
the Iraqi Interim Government.Dr. Ayad Allawi (born 1945) is an
Iraqi politician, and was the interim Prime Minister of Iraq prior
to Iraq's 2005 legislative elections. A prominent Iraqi political
activist who lived in exile for almost 30 years, the politically
secular Shia Muslim became a member of the Iraq Interim Governing
Council, which was established by U.S.-led coalition authorities
following the 2003 invasion of Iraq. He became Iraq's first head of
government since Saddam Hussein when the council dissolved on June
1, 2004 and named him Prime Minister of the Iraqi Interim
Government. His term as Prime Minister ended on April 7, 2005,
after the selection of Islamic Dawa Party leader Ibrahim al-Jaafari
by the newly-elected transitional Iraqi National Assembly.
As of January 2007, he appears to have left Iraq for the relative
security of Amman and London, according to the New York Times's
Damien Cave.
A former Ba'athist, Allawi helped found the Iraqi National Accord,
which today is an active political party. In the lead up to the
2003 invasion of Iraq the INA provided intelligence about alleged
weapons of mass destruction to MI6. Allawi has lived about half of
his life in the UK and retains British citizenship. His wife and
children still live in Britain for their security. He survived an
assassination attempt on April 20, 2005.
Allawi's name is sometimes rendered as Eyad Allawi, the Iraqi
pronunciation for Ayad.
Allawi's early life
Allawi was born in 1945 to a prominent Shia merchant family; his
grandfather helped to negotiate Iraq's independence from Britain,
and his father was an Iraqi Member of Parliament. He became
involved in Ba'athism at a young age and organized against the
government of Abdul Karim Qassim. In the 1960s, he studied at
medical school in Baghdad and became friendly with fellow Ba'athist
Saddam Hussein. He graduated high school from Baghdad College, an
American Catholic Jesuit high school, same as Ahmed Chalabi and
Adil Abdul Mahdi.
Allawi is related to Ahmed Chalabi, another prominent former exile
and now disgraced though somewhat rehabilitated U.S. ally, through
his sister. Former minister of trade Ali Allawi is Chalabi's
sister's son as well as Iyad Allawi's cousin. The relationship
between Chalabi and Allawi has been described as alternating
between rivals and allies.[1] In addition, Nouri Badran, interim
Minister of Interior, is married to Iyad Allawi's sister.[2] He is
half Lebanese, as he is son of Najat Osseiran, and cousin of Leila
Adel Osseiran.[3][4]
Early political career
In 1971, he moved to London in order to continue his medical
education. He resigned from the Baath party in 1975, "having
decided that Saddam was exerting too much control over it".[5][6]
Allawi himself states that he remained active in the international
Ba'athist movement but had no ties to the Iraqi Ba'athist party.
At first Saddam, then Iraq's deputy president, pressured Allawi,
who was in contact with senior military and party officers that
were increasingly critical of Saddam, to rejoin the Ba'ath Party.
In 1978, friends told Allawi that his name was on a liquidation
list. In February 1978 Allawi was awoken in bed one night by an
intruder in his Surrey home, who proceeded to attack him with an
axe. The intruder left, convinced that Allawi was dead as he lay in
a pool of blood. He survived the attempted murder, and spent the
next year in hospital recovering from his injuries. His first wife,
Athour, was also wounded in the attack and became mentally
disturbed. It is presumed that the attack was an assassination
attempt ordered by Saddam Hussein. [1] His wife then left him after
this in fear of her life would once again be under threat.
The Iraqi National Accord
While still recovering in hospital from the attack, Allawi started
organising an opposition network to work against the government of
Saddam Hussein. Through the 1980s he built this network, recruiting
Iraqis while traveling as a businessman and for the UNDP. It is
widely believed that he spent much of this period working for
British intelligence.
In December 1990, Allawi announced the formation of the Iraqi
National Accord (INA). Allawi's main partner in the INA was Salah
Omar Al-Ali, a former member of the Iraqi Revolutionary Command
Council and ambassador to the United Nations. Al-Ali eventually
broke off his relations with Allawi when he learned of his
relationship with foreign intelligence agencies. The main sponsors
of INA were the British, but they received secret backing from
Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and the United States. The group
consisted mainly of former military personnel who had defected from
Saddam Hussein's Iraq to instigate a military coup.
Allawi was recruited by the CIA in 1992 as a counterpoint to the
more well-known CIA asset Ahmed Chalabi, and because of the INA's
links in the Ba'athist establishment. Allawi's INA organised
terrorist attacks in Iraq. This campaign never posed a threat to
Saddam Hussein's rule, but was designed to test INA's capability to
effect regime change. It is estimated to have caused up to 100
civilian deaths.[7]
A military coup was planned for 1996, in which Iraqi generals were
to lead their units against Baghdad and remove Saddam Hussein. The
CIA supported the plot, code-named DBACHILLES, and added Iraqi
officers that were not part of INA. The plan ended in disaster as
it had been infiltrated by agents loyal to Saddam. US support was
also questionable - requests by the CIA station chief in Amman for
American air support were refused by the Clinton administration.
Many participants were executed. Lands and factories belonging to
the Allawi family were confiscated, even their graveyard in Najaf
was demolished. According to Allawi, his family lost $250 million
worth of assets. [2] US support for INA continued, receiving $6
million covert aid in 1996 and $5 million in 1995 (according to
books by David Wurmser as well as Andrew and Patrick Cockburn).[8]
Allawi channelled the report from an Iraqi officer claiming that
Iraq could deploy its supposed weapons of mass destruction within
"45 minutes" to British Intelligence.[9] This claim featured
prominently in the September Dossier which the British government
released in 2002 to gain public support for the Iraq invasion. In
the aftermath of the war, the "45 minute claim" was also at the
heart of the confrontation between the British government and the
BBC, and the death of David Kelly later examined by Lord Hutton.
Giving evidence to the Hutton Inquiry, the head of MI6 Richard
Dearlove suggested that the claim related to battlefield weapons
rather than weapons of mass destruction.[10]
Post-Saddam
Shortly after the fall of Saddam Hussein in 2003, the Coalition
Provisional Authority (the "CPA") was established by the occupying
forces in order to administer the country until sovereignty could
be restored to the country. The CPA decided to establish a grouping
of senior Iraqi politicians to carry out some administrative
responsibilities, with a view to giving the occupation a more
"Iraqi face". This grouping was referred to as the Governing
Council, and was made up of 25 Iraqis that were appointed by the CPA.
Allawi was one of those that were selected to serve on the
Governing Council, and occupied the position Minister of Defence
(although his real responsibilities in that regard were obviously
limited considering Iraq remained under occupation). He held the
rotating presidency of the interim governing council during October
of 2003. In April 2004, Allawi reportedly resigned as head of the
IGC security committee over concerns for US bombing of Fallujah,
according to a letter published in INA's newspaper.[11]
In December 2003, Allawi flew to CIA headquarters in Langley
together with fellow INA official Nouri Badran to discuss detailed
plans for setting up a domestic secret service. The agency was to
be headed by Badran, a former Ba'athist who served Saddam as an
ambassador until 1990, and, controversially, recruit many agents of
Saddam's Ba'athist Mukhabarat.[12] When the Iraqi National
Intelligence Service was set up in March 2004, its designated
director was Mohammed Abdullah Mohammed al-Shehwani, another former
Ba'athist exile with ties to INA.
Interim Prime Minister
On May 28, 2004, he was selected to be the Interim Prime Minister
of Iraq to govern the country beginning with the United States'
handover of sovereignty (June 30, 2004) until national elections,
scheduled for early 2005. Although many believe the decision was
reached largely on the advice of United Nations special envoy to
Iraq, Lakhdar Brahimi, the New York Times reported that Brahimi
only endorsed him reluctantly after pressure from U.S. officials.
(In response to a question about the role of the U.S. in Allawi's
appointment, Brahimi replied: “I sometimes say, I'm sure he doesn't
mind me saying that, Bremer is the dictator of Iraq. He has the
money. He has the signature. Nothing happens without his agreement
in this country.”[13] Two weeks later, Brahimi announced his
resignation, due to "difficulties and frustration". [14]
At the time of his nomination, Allawi was often described in the
US mainstream media as a moderate Shia, a member of Iraq's majority
faith, chosen for his secular, pro-American views. Later, as
military situation in Iraq worsened and the death toll increased,
coveraged became sometimes less flattering and included
descriptions suggesting Allawi was Washington's puppet (e.g.
Newsweek:"Iraq's New S. O. B." [3], NYT: "Dance of the
Marionettes"[15]). The BBC attributes his nomination to being
"equally mistrusted by everyone" in Iraq.[16] A secret document
written in 2002 by the British Overseas and Defence Secretariat
reportedly stated that within Iraq, Allawi was seen as "a western
stooge" who "lacked domestic credibility". [17]
On June 28, 2004 (two days early), the U.S.-led coalition handed
over power to Allawi and the Iraqi Interim Government, who were
sworn in later that same day. After his interim government assumed
legal custody of Saddam Hussein and re-introduced capital
punishment, Allawi gave assurances that he would not interfere with
the trial and would accept any court decisions. In an interview
with Dubai-based TV station al-Arabiya he said: "As for the
execution, that is for the court to decide — so long as a decision
is reached impartially and fairly."[18]
On July 17, two Australian newspapers, the Sydney Morning Herald
[4], [5] and The Age [6], published an article alleging that one
week before the handover of sovereignty, Allawi himself summarily
executed six suspected insurgents at a Baghdad police station. The
allegations are backed up by two independent sources[19] and the
execution is said to have taken place in presence of about a dozen
Iraqi police, four American security men and Interior Minister
Falah al-Naqib. Mr Allawi reportedly said that the execution was to
"send a clear message to the police on how to deal with
insurgents". Both Allawi's office and Naqib have denied the report.
US ambassador John Negroponte did not clearly deny the allegations.
Additionally, the allegations made by Sydney Morning Herald
journalist Paul McGeough went largely unreported by mainstream
American media. Iraq's Human Rights Minister Bakhtiar Amin pledged
to investigate the allegations against his PM.[7] The stories were
reported to have increased Allawi's reputation in Iraq as they
convinced many that he had the fortitude to rule.
On July 18, Iraqi militants offered a $285,000 reward for anyone
who could kill Iyad Allawi.[20]
During the summer of 2004, Allawi made several controversial
decisions. Most notably, his decision to support the invasions of
both Najaf and Falluja made him extremely unpopular amongst Iraq's
Shia and Sunni populations. He also announced the creation of
General Security Directorate, a domestic spy agency, whose main
role is to counteract terrorist groups and the Iraqi insurgency. He
recruited some former agents of Saddam Hussein's secret police to
form the General Security Directorate. He gave himself the powers
to declare martial law.[21] He closed the Iraqi office of al
Jazeera and nominated Ibrahim Janabi, a former Ba'athist and
Mukhabarat officer, to head the newly created media regulator. He
also made moves to eliminate Muqtada al-Sadr from the scene.[22]
Allawi led the Iraqi National Accord during the January 2005 Iraqi
election. His campaign was mainly characterised by his attempt to
improve his image, which had been seriously damaged as a result of
his many unpopular decisions. His campaign reached a low point when
he visited the Imam Ali shrine in Najaf on December 4, 2004, where
a group of angry shia worshipers hurled their shoes at him. Later
on, in a face saving statement, Allawi claimed that it was an
assassination attempt, a claim that brought him much ridicule from
Iraqis.[23]
The INA polled a distant third, with 14% of the vote, suggesting a
lack of domestic support for Allawi's rule. This was probably due
to, among other factors, his past membership in the Baath party,
numerous allegations of corruption and of financial fraud when he
was prime minister (arrest warrants have been issued for ministers
in his administration), and a real perception among Iraqis, both
Shia and Sunni, that he has a somewhat thuggish character,
reminiscent of Saddam Hussein. While he tried to give his bloc
influence in the new assembly, at times courting mavericks and
independents for support, the INA had almost no impact on
subsequent political developments in the country.
Post-Premiership
In preparation for the next parliamentary elections that took place
in Iraq in December 2005, Allawi formed an alliance between many
groups, including secular Sunni and Shia groups and the Iraqi
Communist Party under one electoral list (the Iraqi National List).
However, despite a slick advertising campaign, and despite high
expectations, this list performed extremely poorly in the polls. It
only managed to secure 25 seats in the national assembly, a net
loss of 15 seats since the January 2005 elections.
The Iraqi National List was represented in the coalition
governmment led by Nouri al-Maliki, but Allawi himself did not take
a Cabinet post. The party eventually boycotted the government in 2007.
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