-Caveat Lector-

Hamas will retaliate. The only thing the Israelis don't yet know is when

By Robert Fisk in Jerusalem

04 August 2001

http://news.independent.co.uk/world/middle_east/story.jsp?story=86977

"If it doesn't happen today, it will happen tomorrow," the Israeli
policeman said. I could hardly disagree. The Eged buses were driving
through Jerusalem empty yesterday and the Israeli soldiers above the
Damascus gate were crawling beneath bus shelters to examine paper bags.

When Hamas talks about revenge, it usually means what it says.

But I couldn't help asking the policeman why  if retaliation was such a
certainty  the Israelis had murdered the Hamas men earlier in the week? He
shrugged. "It is a war and we know what war is. You don't need to worry.
This is safer than London."

But it's not. Only a day earlier, a bus driver called Menashe Nuriel, en
route from Jerusalem to Kiryat Shmona, stopped to pick up a 17-year-old
Palestinian who was carrying a bomb. He thought the youth looked
suspicious, noticed wires coming from a bag in his hand and wrestled him
off the bus while the 46 passengers looked on in astonishment. The bag
contained three 81mm mortar shells and explosives and could have killed
every passenger aboard. According to Mr Nuriel, the youth "seemed a little
weird ... stoned".

Will the next bomber to stop a bus find a driver as smart as Mr Nuriel?
That, of course, was the police officer's point as cops and border police
lounged in their dozens outside the walls of Jerusalem's Old City.

A few Palestinian boys cursed them  16 youths were arrested  but if the
Israeli police presence had not been so massive, the Palestinian crowds
would assuredly have been smaller. Blue and green uniforms attract anger
and scorn in equal measure.

So do the press. A Palestinian baker walked up to me, hurled his entire
tray of rolls onto the road and then threw the tray at me. "You people
live off our suffering," he screamed. "F--k your sister!"

There were, it's true, a few mild signs that the Palestinian Authority is
trying to prevent more bloodshed. Tanzim militiamen are on the streets of
Beit Jala each evening to stop freelance Palestinian gunmen firing at the
settlement of Gilo  built on Beit Jala's land  and thus prevent Israel's
usual revenge: tank fire into the Palestinian village. Palestinian
newspapers are also urging an end to suicide attacks inside Israel. The
Palestinian news agency Wafa  whose rhetoric is as awful as it was during
the 1982 Israeli siege of Beirut  has run an editorial calling for an end
to military aspects of the intifada.

In one paragraph, the agency declared: "We have to admit that no matter
how many casualties we may cause the Israelis, we will not be able to win
the war against them, and threatening the Europeans and the US is a
foolish step that will affect us negatively."

Although they may be wise words, they will not be heeded. A hundred
thousand Palestinians turned up for the funerals in Nablus this week,
mourning two children killed during the attack on Hamas. They had no
doubts about what they wanted: retaliation.

Telling the Palestinians to throw shoes and stones rather than bombs at
the Israelis  as Wafa advised  is unlikely to cut much ice. Like the cop
said, if it doesn't happen today...

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