-Caveat Lector-

>From http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,3-460985,00.html

World News

October 28, 2002

US-British strategy on Iraq close to collapse
>From James Bone in New York and Chris Ayres in Cabo San Lucas, Mexico


THE six-week effort by Britain and the United States
to secure a tough United Nations resolution on Iraq is in danger of collapse because of
continued opposition to their threats of military action.

With US officials pushing for a decision by the end of the week, the two powers are
struggling to enlist the nine votes needed to push their strongly worded draft 
resolution
through the 15-nation UN Security Council.

Both France and Russia have circulated rival proposals omitting “trigger language” for 
the
use of force. Seeing strength in numbers, Paris and Moscow hope to draw away enough
votes from the US-British draft that they will not have to confront the world’s sole
superpower directly by exercising their veto.

Britain and the United States have formally tabled their text in the Security Council 
to
ensure that it comes to a vote first, but France threatened at the weekend to submit 
its
draft for a vote as well if it did not win further concessions. “We are going to try 
to work
with the Americans on the basis of the text they have proposed,” Dominique de 
Villepin, the
French Foreign Minister, said on Saturday. “If we don’t manage that, then we will 
obviously
officially propose our own text.”

Diplomats say that Britain and the United States can count on the support only of 
Bulgaria,
Colombia, Norway and Singapore for its latest proposal. Russia, China, France and 
Syria do
not support the present US-British text. The swing votes are Cameroon, Ireland, Guinea,
Mauritius and Mexico.

President Bush, attending the Asia-Pacific Economic Co-operation (Apec) summit in 
Mexico,
apparently failed to convince President Fox of Mexico to use his UN vote to back 
military
action. After a tense meeting on Saturday, Señor Fox said: “What we need to accomplish 
is
a resolution that is satisfactory to all the parties there in the United Nations. We 
are
listening and talking and we want to search for and do everything possible for a strong
resolution.”

Glowering at the cameras, Mr Bush responded: “As I have said in speech after speech 
after
speech, if the UN won’t act, if Saddam Hussein won’t disarm, we will lead a coalition 
to
disarm him.”

In the meeting Mr Bush reportedly balked at Señor Fox’s invitation to make a state 
visit to
Mexico next year to mark the tenth anniversary of the North American Free Trade
Agreement. “Maybe we’ll be at war,” Mr Bush replied, according to the Los Angeles 
Times.
Señor Fox said: “If you’re at war, you’re at war. But right now you’re not at war, so 
think
about it.”

Colin Powell, the US Secretary of State, conceded that the push for a new resolution 
might
fail. “I don’t want to say that we’re near a solution because it may evade us,” he 
said, “but I
think we have successfully narrowed down the differences to a few key issues. And if we
can resolve these few key issues in the days ahead, then I think we might get a 
resolution
that would be strong.”

Diplomats say that the key point of disagreement is the so-called “trigger language”. 
The
US-British draft declares Iraq in “material breach” of the 1991 Gulf War ceasefire and 
gives
warning of “serious consequences” if it fails to live up to UN demands — both 
considered
“hidden triggers”. France, in its rival text, is willing to go along with a veiled 
warning of
“serious consequences”, but it refuses to accept a declaration of “material breach” 
that
could provide the legal basis for military action. Security Council members are also 
split
over US-British proposals to toughen the UN weapons inspectors’ mandate with new
powers, such as the right to declare no-fly and no-drive zones.

In a bid to break the deadlock, Dominique de Villepin, the French Foreign Minister, has
proposed a ministerial meeting of the Security Council to several of his counterparts,
including General Powell. He said that they had welcomed the idea.

The Apec leaders agreed on a series of counter- terrorism measures that focused on
denying would- be attackers access to ships and aircraft and stemming their access to
funds.


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and The Sunday Times.

Copyright 2002 Times Newspapers Ltd.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
A<>E<>R
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(but that doesn't stop me from considering it; obviously SOMEBODY thinks it's 
important)
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shut."
--- Ernest Hemingway

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