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US Plans To Merge Iraq And Jordan After War
http://www.rense.com/general29/USplanstomerge.htm

US Plans To Merge Iraq
And Jordan After War
By Aslam Khan (Pakistan)
9-28-2

ISLAMABAD -- The United States is working on a plan to merge Iraq and Jordan
into a unitary kingdom to be ruled by the Hashemite dynasty headed by King
Abdullah of Jordan with Amman as the capital of the proposed new country,
reveals a startling report made available here on Friday.
The idea to unite Jordan and Iraq in a pro-US Hashemite kingdom after an
American war is aimed at "ensuring a stable post-war Iraq", according to
Stratfor, a strategic forecasting think tank based in the US.
It says that as a US war against Iraq nears both Washington and Middle
Eastern players are working to make sure the expected American victory will
result in strategic long-term gains. "The idea of a central Iraq populated
by Sunni Arabs joining with Jordan to form one Hashemite kingdom is being
considered as one way to secure such gains," Stratfor says.
The plan, authored by US Vice President Dick Cheney, was first discussed at
an unusual meeting between Crown Prince Hassan of Jordan and pro-US Iraqi
Sunni opposition members in London in July.
The plan's goal in Iraq is to create a united Hashemite kingdom embracing
Jordan and Iraq's Sunni areas. In a nutshell, the plan involves uniting
Jordan and Sunni-populated areas of Iraq under the rule of the current
Jordanian regime.
The report says this will be done if Iraqi Sunni leaders "appeal to King
Abdullah with such a request, which has a weak but still legally valid
justification, as Abdullah is the second cousin of the last Iraqi king,
Faisal II, who was overthrown in 1958". The report says the plan will bring
strategic benefits to the US, Israel and Jordan.
Benefits for US: The fact that the Western-based Iraqi opposition completely
depends on Washington will help the "Hashemite Plan". The US favours the
plan because the current goal of replacing Saddam Hussein with a pro-US
Iraqi government still would not guarantee long-term US control over the
territory and its oil.
"First, it may become too hard for a new government in Baghdad to
effectively control the whole country, even with US troop support. An
example is Afghanistan, in which the government of President Hamid Karzai
still controls only the capital," the report says.
"Second, the new government's attempts to establish control over all of Iraq
may well lead to a civil war between Sunni, Shia and Kurdish ethnic groups,
with US troops caught in the middle. The fiercest fighting could be expected
for control over the oil facilities," it adds. Uniting Jordan and Iraq under
a Hashemite government will give US several strategic advantages.
"First, the creation of a new pro-US kingdom under the half-American
Abdullah will shift the balance of forces in the region heavily in the US
favour," the report says. After eliminating Iraq as a sovereign state, there
would be no fear that one day an anti-American government would come to
power in Baghdad, as the capital would be in Amman.
"Current and potential US geopolitical foes Iran, Saudi Arabia and Syria
would be left isolated from each other, with big chunks of land between them
under control of the pro-US forces," according to Stratfor.
"Equally important, Washington would be able to justify its long-term and
heavy military presence in the region as necessary for the defence of a
young new state asking for US protection and to secure the stability of oil
markets and supplies. That in turn would help the US gain direct control of
Iraqi oil and replace Saudi oil in case of conflict with Riyadh," it adds.
The richest oil areas would not go to the Hashemite kingdom but to a widely
autonomous Kurdish region that still will be formally a part of the
Hashemite state. To make sure the Kurds don't upset US ally Turkey by
declaring an independent state, US will have the excuse of deploying its
forces in the Kurdish region, with new bases located just next to oil fields
in areas such as Kirkuk.
"Washington then will be able to offer the new Hashemite kingdom as a model
for other Arab states, combining what the Arab masses see as the advantages
of a traditional monarchy with the benefits of a US alliance," the report
says.
"The potential combination of educated Iraqis, US aid and military
assistance, and oil revenues might help the new state become a beacon for
the Arab world to follow," it adds. Were more states to adopt this example,
the geopolitical influence of both Saudi Arabia and Egypt would decline,
making it easier for Washington to deal with them.
"In case of a future conflict with Saudi Arabia or Iran, US forces would be
in the ideal position to strike not only from sea but also from land by
using new bases in the Hashemite kingdom and the Kurdish region," the report
reveals.
Benefits for Israel: "Iraq, arguably Israel's most determined foe, will be
eliminated and Baghdad's end will deprive the Palestinians of much financial
and other assistance, which can reduce the effectiveness of attacks against
the Jewish state."
Benefits for Jordan: "King Abdullah will vastly expand his role and
prominence in the region with a joint Hashemite state, becoming the
second-most important US ally after Israel. In addition to his huge
territorial gains, he also will get a chunk of Iraqi oil.
"And Palestinians, who currently make up half of Jordan's population, will
become a minority in the new state, with much less potential to stir up
trouble," the report adds.
http://www.jang.com.pk/thenews/sep2002-daily/28-09-2002/main/main3.htm





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