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http://www.amfire.com/unpopularletter/11-19-98ul.htm

<A HREF="http://www.amfire.com/unpopularletter/11-19-98ul.htm">11-19-98
Unpopular Letter</A>

Unpopular Letter
November 19th, 1998

Left-Wing Media Purvey Deadly Myths

By John R. Lott, Jr.

Reprinted from The Wall Street Journal, November 11, 1998


Gun control became a defining issue in several of last week's elections. Those
candidates opposing new regulations were painted as uncaring thugs indifferent
to people’s deaths. Meanwhile, New Orleans Mayor Marc Morial last month filed
suit against 15 gun makers, demanding that they reimburse the city, and pay
punitive damages for all the city's health care expenses, and police salaries
that arise from gun violence. Other cities seem certain to follow, and that is
only part of the litigation threatening to engulf gun makers. To these
plaintiffs, the solution to crime is simple minded: eliminate guns.

American media and movies may be obsessed with guns, but much of what passes
as fact, or is pictured in movies, simply isn’t true. The news media focus on
tragic outcomes, while ignoring tragic events that were avoided. Rarely do we
hear about the more than two million times each year that people use guns
defensively, including cases in which public shootings are stopped before
they happen. Dramatic stories of mothers using guns to prevent their children
from being kidnapped by car-jackers seldom even make the local news.

Myths about guns can threaten people's safety, by frightening them and
preventing them from using the most effective means to defend themselves. Here
are five of the most prevalent myths:

Myth #1

"When one is attacked, passive behavior is the safest approach". The
Department of Justice's National Crime Victimization Survey reports that the
probability of serious injury from an attack is 2.5 times greater for women
offering no resistance than for women resisting with a gun. Men also benefit
from using a gun, but the benefits are smaller: Offering no resistance is 1.4
times more likely to result in serious injury than resisting with a gun.
Resistance with a gun is the safest course of action for victims to take.


 Myth #2

"Friends or relatives are the most likely killers." This myth is usually
based on two claims: that 53% of murder victims are killed by either
relatives or acquaintances and that anyone could be a murderer. With the
broad definition of "acquaintances" used in the FBI’s Uniform Crime Reports,
most victims are indeed classified as knowing their killer. But what's not
made clear is that acquaintance murder primarily includes drug buyers killing
pushers, cabdrivers killed by first-time customers, gang members killing
other gang members, prostitutes killed by their clients, and so on. Only one
U.S. city, Chicago, reports a precise breakdown on the nature of acquaintance
killings, and the statistic gives a very different impression: between 1990
and 1995, just 17% of murder victims were either family members, friends,
neighbors or roommates of their killers. Murderers are also not average
citizens. About 90% of adult murderers already have an adult criminal record.
Murderers are overwhelmingly young males with low IQs who have long histories
of difficulty getting along with others.

Myth #3

"The U.S. has a high murder rate because Americans own so many guns." There
is no international evidence backing this up. The Swiss, New Zealanders and
Finns all own guns as frequently as Americans, yet in 1995 Switzerland had a
murder rate 40% lower than Germanys, and New Zealand had one lower than
Australia’s. Finland and Sweden have very different gun ownership rates, but
very similar murder rates. Israel, with a higher gun ownership rate than the
U.S., has a murder rate 40% below Canada’s. When one studies all countries
rather than just a select few, there is no relationship between gun ownership
and murder. U.S. data indicates that those states that have had the largest
increases in gun ownership also had the greatest drops in violent crime
rates. Thus, more guns really mean less overall crime.

Myth #4

"If law-abiding citizens are allowed to carry concealed handguns, people will
end up shooting each other after traffic accidents as well as
accidentally shooting police officers." Millions of people currently hold
concealed handgun permits, and some states have issued them for as long as 60
years. Yet only one firearm permit holder in American history has ever used a
concealed handgun after a traffic accident, and that case was ruled as
self-defense.

 The type of person willing to go through the permitting process is extremely
law-abiding. In Florida, almost 444,000 licenses were granted from 1987 to
1997, but only 84 people have lost their licenses for any violations
involving firearms. Most violations that lead to permits being revoked
involve accidentally carrying a gun into restricted areas, like airports or
schools. In Virginia, not a single permit holder has committed a violent
crime. Similar encouraging results have been reported in Kentucky, Nevada,
North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee and Texas, the only other states
where information is available.

Myth #5

"The family gun is more likely to kill you, or someone you know, than to kill
in self-defense." The 1993 study yielding such numbers, published in the New
England Journal of Medicine, never actually inquired as to whose gun was used
in the killing! Instead, if a household owned a gun, and if a person in that
household or someone he knew was shot to death while in the home, the gun in
the household was blamed. In fact, virtually all the killings in the study
were committed with guns brought in by an intruder. No more than 4% of the
gun deaths in the study can be attributed to the homeowner’s gun! Also
ignored is that 98% of the time when people use a gun defensively, merely
brandishing the weapon is sufficient to stop an attack. In less than 1% of
the cases is a gun even fired directly at the attacker. How many attacks have
been deterred from ever occurring by the potential victims owning a gun? My
own research finds that the more permits there are for concealed handguns,
and the more gun ownership in general, this unambiguously deters murder,
robbery and aggravated assaults. This is also in line with the well-known
fact that criminals prefer attacking victims that they consider weak.

These are only some of the myths about guns and crime that drive the public
policy debate. We must not lose sight of the ultimate question: Does allowing
citizens to own guns save lives? The evidence strongly indicates that it does.



Mr. Lott is a fellow at the University of
Chicago Law School. He is author of "More
Guns, Less Crime: Understanding Crime
and Gun Control Laws" (University of
Chicago Press, 1998), $23 US, University of Chicago Book website is:
www.press.uchicago.edu

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