-Caveat Lector-

http://www.dailynews.com/Stories/0,1413,200~20954~1185170,00.html

U.S. eyes North Korea sanctions

By James Dao
The New York Times

WASHINGTON -- The Bush administration is developing plans for sanctions
against North Korea that would include halting its weapons shipments and
cutting off money sent there by Koreans living in Japan, in the event that
North Korea continues its march toward developing nuclear weapons, senior
administration officials say.

The officials said late last week that the administration had no plans to
push for the sanctions soon, since the United States' Pacific allies still
opposed the idea and the U.N. Security Council was likely to remain
focused on Iraq for weeks.

But the Pentagon and State Department are developing detailed plans for
sanctions, and perhaps other actions, so that the United States has a
forceful response ready in case North Korea takes aggressive new steps
toward developing nuclear weapons, senior officials said.

Many administration officials believe that it is just a matter of time
before North Korea resumes testing long-range missiles, for example, or
starts reprocessing nuclear fuel for weapons production. Many officials
also worry that if the United States attacks Iraq, North Korea will use
the opportunity to push forward with weapons production.

"If they start to dismantle their weapons programs, then we can talk about
incentives," a senior administration official said. "But if they torque up
the pressure, you're looking at the other direction. That's when sanctions
become much more likely."

The officials said the possibility of sanctions would be part of a broader
diplomatic campaign intended to get North Korea to step back from its
nuclear programs. The first step will be to urge the Security Council,
perhaps in the next two weeks, to condemn North Korea's recent steps
toward nuclear weaponry, which have included withdrawing from the Nuclear
Nonproliferation Treaty and restarting a mothballed reactor at Yongbyon
that can produce weapons-grade plutonium.

The United States will also continue pressing Russia and China, major
trading partners and providers of foreign aid to North Korea, to take more
active roles in pressuring North Korea to dismantle its programs, the
officials said.

Both countries have said they would not support sanctions yet, contending
that less confrontational approaches should be given more time. North
Korea has said it would consider sanctions an act of war.

Precisely because Russia and China, as well as South Korea and Japan, have
been unwilling to support cutting off trade with North Korea, the United
States is looking at more tailored sanctions that will focus on banned
activities like smuggling drugs or proliferating weapons of mass
destruction, officials said.

For instance, Pentagon planners are looking closely at using American
military forces to stop, turn back or seize ships and aircraft from North
Korea that are suspected of carrying missiles or nuclear weapons
materials, officials said. The sale of missile technology to Iran, Iraq
and other countries has been a major source of foreign currency for the
impoverished North Korea, American officials contend.

In December, Spanish warships working with American military and
intelligence officials stopped a North Korean freighter that was found to
be carrying 15 Scud missiles bound for Yemen.

But the Bush administration, at the urging of Yemen's government,
determined that it had no legal right to seize the cargo and ordered the
freighter released.

To prevent a similar situation, administration officials say that they
will need Security Council authorization to seize or turn back weapons
shipments from North Korea.

At a Senate hearing last week, Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld hinted
at that strategy, advocating revamping international rules to allow steps
to halt North Korea's weapons exports and calling North Korea "the world's
greatest proliferator of missile technology" and a threat for selling
fissile material to terrorists or rogue nations.


http://www.trivalleyherald.com/Stories/0,1413,86~10669~1182125,00.html

Development of new nukes receives ok
Gloves come off as administration sets stage for debate on tailor-made
nuclear weapons
By Ian Hoffman, STAFF WRITER


Top Bush administration nuclear-weapons executives and weapons scientists
are sketching out a strategy for adding a new menu of mininukes, neutron
bombs and other nuclear arms to the nation's Cold War-style arsenal.

In talks at the Pentagon last month, federal defense executives and
weapons scientists from California and New Mexico set the stage for a
debate over "selecting first 'small builds,'" -- that is, choosing
tailor-made weapons for limited production runs.

"What's clear is, in this administration, the brakes are off in nuclear
development and the push for nuclear testing," said Greg Mello, head of
the Los Alamos Study Group, an arms-control group in New Mexico that
obtained minutes to a meeting of top nuclear-weapons advisers.

The revelations are the latest herald of a potential sea-change in U.S.
nuclear policy:

On Thursday, House Republicans touted an aggressive new nuclear-weapons
policy calling for scientists at Lawrence Livermore and Los Alamos labs to
begin studying "advanced concepts" for new weapons for the first time
since 1994. GOP lawmakers say they also are thinking of repealing a 1993
ban on research into low-yield nuclear weapons, that is, those with an
explosive yield at or below a third of the Hiroshima bomb.

President Bush's new budget seeks $21 million for design of new or
modified nuclear weapons in 2004.

White House pronouncements since September lay out a new defense policy
giving greater prominence to pre-emptive strikes on foreign weapons of
mass destruction.

Pentagon war planners already are drawing up contingency plans for a
nuclear strike in Iraq, to pre-empt or retaliate for a chemical or
biological attack, according to a Los Angeles Times report.

Nuclear Weapons Council chairman and Assistant Defense Secretary E.C.
"Pete" Aldridge Jr. asked weapons scientists last October "to assess the
potential benefits that could be obtained from a return to nuclear
testing."

Meanwhile, Assistant Defense Secretary for Nuclear, Chemical and
Biological Weapons Dale Klein has said the nation will have to test within
five to 10 years.

"The drums are beating pretty loudly on all quarters," said Thomas
Cochran, a physicist and head of the Natural Resources Defense Council's
program on nuclear arms.

"Like kids in a toy shop, they have all these ideas (for weapons) they
want to pursue but without any utility," Cochran said.

"The U.S. has not designed a new, successful weapon in decades, and that's
because all the practical improvements you can make in nuclear weapons
were made at least two decades ago."

Senior administration officials stress that they have no requirements for
new nuclear weapons, meaning the military services and President Bush have
not yet detailed a new attack mission demanding a new weapons design.

Yet according to minutes of a Jan. 10 meeting, federal defense executives
and top lab scientists are laying the preliminary groundwork for those new
weapons requirements as they prepare for a Stockpile Stewardship
Conference this August, their first in seven years. They plan to debate
among other things whether a return to low-yield or high-yield nuclear
testing for the first time since 1992 will be needed in proving the new
designs.

"What forms of testing will these new designs require?" Defense Department
officials asked themselves and scientists on a panel advising the Nuclear
Weapons Council, the foremost body for recommending wea-pons policy to the
president.

"What is the role of nuclear testing in reducing risk in the stockpile?
What parts of those risks are associated with the absence of nuclear
testing, in comparison to the risk association with a 150kt (kiloton
explosive yield) threshold or a low-yield test program ...What would
demand a test?"

The talks offer a rare glimpse into the Bush administration as it mulls
building modified or wholly new bombs and warheads as hardware for
preemptive attacks.

Administration officials cautioned that the document distilled frank
conversations a-mong the executives and scientists responsible for "very
long-range issues for the nuclear stockpile."

"So it's appropriate that they consider any range of possibilities and
that's exactly what this group is doing," said Anson Franklin, chief of
governmental affairs for the National Nuclear Security Administration.
"That shouldn't be read to suggest we are actively considering new weapons
systems or a return to testing."

"It's a far cry from a planning document for administration policy,"
Franklin said.

Even so, the Bush administration is seeking $21 million for "advanced
concepts" studies of modified or new weapons in 2004.

That includes $15 million for scientists at Lawrence Livermore and Los
Alamos national labs to compete for design of a "bunker-buster" bomb for
attacking deeply buried, hardened concrete bunkers. Called the Robust
Nuclear Earth Penetrator, the bomb would be based either on Livermore's
B-83 or Los Alamos B-61, both featuring adjustable explosive yields.

The president also is asking for $6 million for "additional and
exploratory studies" of advanced weapons designs.

"These are not vague plans for the future," said the Los Alamos Study
Group's Mello. "This is a detailed planning process that bespeaks a great
deal of thought and coordination between branches of government."

He finds especially disturbing a portion of the document in which top
defense executives and weaponeers ask themselves "what should the policy
and practice be for granting authority to adapt and build small
quantities?"

Traditionally, only the president may authorize the production of a
nuclear weapon. The conversation to Mello suggests lax oversight and
control of the nation's key nuclear weapons agencies at the Defense and
Energy departments. "That you would even talk about that would suggest the
democratic governance of these institutions is already very, very weak.
Every member of Congress should sit up and take notice that we are losing
congressional oversight of the nuclear weapons program of the United
States."

Contact Ian Hoffman at [EMAIL PROTECTED]

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