-Caveat Lector-

http://www.moscowtimes.ru/stories/2003/11/04/006.html

Tuesday, Nov. 4, 2003. Page 10

Putin the New Saddam?

By Eric Kraus Emboldened by their historic propaganda success -- the
creation ex nihilo of a justification for the U.S. invasion of Iraq
completely unsanctioned by international law -- members of the dangerous
Washington faction with deep links to the security services and the
military-industrial complex, the dread Bushoviki, have identified a
new "terrorist threat": President Vladimir Putin.

The means they are now deploying are strikingly similar:
planted "intelligence," manipulation of public opinion by tame journalists
and "nonprofit foundations," as well as the insidious repetition of evident
lies on the assumption that at least something will stick.

In a recent op-ed piece in the increasingly reactionary Washington Post,
Bruce Jackson, president of the innocuous sounding Project on Transitional
Democracies, accuses Putin not just of re-establishing a tsarist state, but
of the supreme crime of opposing U.S. political and economic interests in
Russia's historic sphere of influence: the CIS. After long service in the
weapons trade (Lockheed, Martin), Jackson is now a hatchet-man for the Bush
administration. A member of the far-right Project of the New American
Century, he serves with the likes of Paul Wolfowitz, Richard Perle and
Donald Rumsfeld. Jackson was instrumental in rounding up support for the
Iraq war with a stealth attack, corralling East European presidents into
signing the notorious letter of the "Vilnius 10."

All is fair in love and (propaganda) war. In a crass insult to the world's
Jews, Jackson deploys one of the most cynical foreign policy ploys of the
Bushoviki: the callous exploitation of anti-Semitism, demeaning the
sufferings of the Jewish people by reducing the term "anti-Semitism" to an
epithet for any regime inimical to U.S. interests.

Jackson notes that three of the business magnates who came to a sticky end
are Jewish, but neglects to mention that so were six of the original seven
oligarchs, as well as 90 percent of those who currently qualify for the
oligarch title. Given the ratios, the real surprise would have been if the
fallen angels had been, say, Orthodox Hindus.

Nowhere, of course, does Jackson mention the dozens of Russian Jewish
businessmen currently building their businesses, attracting foreign
partners, and enjoying all the good things that Russia's resurrection has
brought. It is ironic that of the spinmeisters warning of the anti-Semitic
threat coming from Russia not one, to my knowledge, is a Jew.

Mikhail Khodorkovsky has managed to shake off a profoundly unenviable
reputation in a very short time. In fairness, Yukos, acquired for some $300
million in the notorious loans-for-shares auctions and still largely
controlled through a cascade of offshore vehicles, has proved to be an
absolute star in recent years. But it is Khodorkovsky's generous funding of
various U.S. neo-conservative causes, in part through his Open Russia
foundation (one of the board members of which is Henry Kissinger,
responsible inter alia for the Pinochet coup and the illegal, secret war
that devastated Cambodia), that has given him with access to the most
reactionary elements of the Bush administration -- Perle, Dick Cheney et
al. -- all of whom are now lobbying furiously for the oligarch's interests.

What is less clear is why Khodorkovsky was naive enough to share their
characteristic misconception that U.S. writ runs across the entire planet,
and that support from Washington would solve his increasingly grave
problems at home. Certainly, if his U.S. backers convinced him of this,
they have done him a major disservice.

Yukos was the first Russian company to understand the profound changes
brought about by the Putin government: with safety of ownership regardless
of past misdeeds and a stable political and economic backdrop, far greater
wealth could be built by increasing company valuations than by stripping
assets. Emulation of their examples has fueled a historic boom in equity
prices.

Most of Khodorkovsky's peers thought the concessions demanded in return
(payment of taxes and an end to the meddling in politics) were a small
price to pay. It is deeply unfortunate that Yukos increasingly sought to
build its influence, not just in the oil fields and capital markets, but by
buying control of the State Duma.

On Thursday, Putin met with the heads of the major investment banks,
reassuring them about the future direction of reform. With arch-reformer
German Gref smiling at his side, he was uncompromising in his message that
he would attack corruption wherever it was found -- be it in the
bureaucracy, private sector or Duma -- but that minority Yukos
shareholders' interests would be zealously protected. He was forceful,
lucid and remarkably well-briefed on market issues. Vitally, Putin
reiterated that there was no question of a generalized attack upon the
other oligarchs nor a revision of the results of privatization --
historically, those who have ignored his words have done so at their own
cost.

The president also announced the dismantling of the Gazprom ring-fence "in
a matter of months." The impact of this move may well outweigh the
unarguably negative effects of the Yukos saga. Opening Gazprom to foreign
investment would overnight almost double Russia's weighting in the main
benchmark, the MSCI Index, mechanically driving a huge wave of buying by
foreign funds.

Looking beyond the current turbulence, the vital issue affecting Russia's
progress over the next four years is not the fate of one oligarch, but the
upcoming Duma elections. Polls show a sharp rise in the popularity of
Putin's party, which is set to win a sizeable majority in the next
parliament. A clear victory would renew the bold reform drive which
characterized the start of his presidency, before the Duma succumbed to
oligarchic lobbying.

Russia has historically done best when it relied on its own internal
strengths -- Jackson's coalition-of-the-available may huff and puff, but
Putin's house is made of stone.


Eric Kraus is chief strategist for Sovlink Securities. His full views can
be found at www.sovlink.ru


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Om

Putin the New Saddam?

http://www.moscowtimes.ru/stories/2003/11/04/006.html

By Eric Kraus

 

Emboldened by their historic propaganda success -- the creation ex nihilo of a justification for the U.S. invasion of Iraq completely unsanctioned by international law -- members of the dangerous Washington faction with deep links to the security services and the military-industrial complex, the dread Bushoviki, have identified a new "terrorist threat": President Vladimir Putin. (follow link)

 


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