-Caveat Lector-

                           Russian Military Veterans
                           Warn US - 'Don't Go
                               Into Afghanistan'
                                         By Richard Balmforth
                                               9-20-1

                       "Despite the fact that the Soviet force had hundreds of 
thousands
                       of men, powerful weaponry and held the main transport arteries, 
it
                       had to deal with a well-prepared and well-trained enemy," said
                       Gromov.

                       And while U.S. society was "sensitive to loss of life", human
                       losses in Muslim Afghanistan were viewed differently. "What
                       Allah has given, so Allah takes, they believe. A person who is
                       killed in battle for his motherland and faith passes straight to
                       paradise," he said.



                       MOSCOW (Reuters) - U.S. plans for military operations in
                       Afghanistan have triggered an outpouring of advice from Russia's
                       Afghan veterans who say a full-scale war there would be folly.

                       With painful memories of Moscow's costly 10-year Afghan
                       adventure still etched in their minds, they are issuing a single
                       message to their old Cold War enemy: "Don't do it."

                       "We lost 15,000 men in 10 years of war in Afghanistan -- I don't
                       think the Americans could escape that either," said Boris 
Gromov,
                       the Soviet general who led the retreat of Moscow's defeated
                       forces from Afghanistan in 1989.

                       "They (the Americans) are getting ready to repeat our mistakes. 
It
                       is just not possible to conquer or pacify Afghanistan by 
military
                       means," General Makhmut Gareyev, a former military adviser to
                       the late Afghan President Najibullah, wrote in a newspaper
                       interview on Thursday.

                       The historical irony has not been lost on the Russian military
                       establishment as it now lectures the United States on the 
dangers
                       of drawn-out involvement in Afghanistan.

                       When the late Soviet leader Leonid Brezhnev ordered "a limited
                       military contingent" into Afghanistan in December 1979 it 
plunged
                       East and West into a new Cold War crisis.

                       The United States led the West in angrily condemning the Soviet
                       intervention and called on the Kremlin to pull its forces out 
and
                       leave the Afghan people to determine their own fate.

                       As Soviet forces slipped into the quagmire of combat with Afghan
                       mujahideen forces, turning it into Russia's Vietnam, the word 
from
                       the West was: "We told you so."

                       By the time they left, besides the Soviet losses, an estimated 
one
                       million Afghans had been killed and another eight million had 
been
                       exiled or displaced.

                       OLD SOLDIER'S ADVICE

                       Gromov, the last Soviet soldier out of Afghanistan in February
                       1989, told Moskovsky Komsomolets newspaper that mountain
                       fighting against hardy and elusive guerrillas had proved a 
bitter
                       experience.

                       "Despite the fact that the Soviet force had hundreds of 
thousands
                       of men, powerful weaponry and held the main transport arteries, 
it
                       had to deal with a well-prepared and well-trained enemy," said
                       Gromov, now governor of the Moscow region.

                       "Intelligence of all kinds will play the most important role,
                       especially in the form of intelligence agents. Don't worry about
                       spending money on them, because there can't be success without
                       them."

                       Gareyev, writing in Obshaya Gazeta, said Afghanistan's lack of
                       real infrastructure meant there was little of value to be 
destroyed
                       by an air campaign.

                       And while U.S. society was "sensitive to loss of life", human 
losses
                       in Muslim Afghanistan were viewed differently. "What Allah has
                       given, so Allah takes, they believe. A person who is killed in 
battle
                       for his motherland and faith passes straight to paradise," he 
said.

                       Communications and supply lines in the rugged, mountainous
                       terrain would be key for any ground operation.

                       "We had 100,000 men and five divisions in Afghanistan. But we
                       could use only 15,000 troops in combat operations. The rest had
                       to guard roads, bases, headquarters, communication junctions
                       and other military infrastructure," said Gareyev.

                       BEWARE TALIBAN'S MILITARY STRENGTH

                       Colonel-General Vladimir Kulakov, deputy chairman of the defence
                       and security committee of Russia's upper house Federation
                       Council, told Interfax that "certain failure awaits the 
Americans"

                       The United States and its allies must avoid a large-scale war 
and
                       target clearly defined "terrorist" bases.

                       Referring to Saudi-born dissident Osama bin Laden, whom the
                       United States sees as the prime suspect in the U.S. attacks,
                       Kulakov said: "They will have to work out where bin Laden and 
the
                       leaders of the guerrilla fighters are and seize them in a 
special
                       services operation."

                       Lieutenant-General Boris Agapov, a former deputy commander of
                       Soviet border forces, said the problem would not end with bin
                       Laden's capture. "We need to wage a strongly-founded and
                       merciless fight against terrorists. Either we finish with this 
endless
                       evil or it will not only exist but spread," he told the Novaya 
Gazeta
                       newspaper.







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