Forwarded Post: Newsmax.com
   Although this is a contraray opinion to liberal press ideas; doesn't this
seem rather like the direction of things in the US?  I mean letting our
conventional forces become bedraggled and unready for real combat while
police forces become stronger and militarized?  Governments afraid of their
peoples.  DP

Russian Military Is Not In Big Trouble After All

Col. Stanislav Lunev Thursday, Sept. 14, 2000

After the recent Russian nuclear attack submarine tragedy in the Barents
Sea, some military experts and the U.S. mainstream press have been
speculating about the alleged poor condition of Russia's strategic nuclear
and conventional armed forces.

Unfortunately the reality is different, and one of the world largest and
most powerful military machines is not in really bad shape at all.

The Kursk submarine tragedy was no accident, but was the logical result of
Russia¹s President Vladimir Putin's policy, which is intent on moving the
nation toward the re-establishment of a totalitarian state by any means
possible.

The sub's disaster also provides an example of former KGB Lt. Colonel
Putin's manner of leading Russia in very difficult time of its history.

We know that the supposedly visionary Putin was missing in action when it
came to handling the submarine crisis in the Barents Sea. His "activity"
during the disaster suggests a picture of a cold-hearted man who does not
care about the people, including the men and women in military uniforms
involved in the realization of his ambitious plans and intentions.

We also know these plans are based on Putin¹s militaristic policy. As the
Russian press reported on Aug 11, one day before Kursk tragedy, President
Putin summoned his highest military officials to the Kremlin for a secret
debate over the future of Russian defense, and to defuse tensions over
control of its nuclear arsenal.

At a four-hour meeting of the Security Council President Putin discussed
with his military leaders and the most powerful members of his Cabinet
future developments of Russia's strategic nuclear and conventional forces.

For weeks these problems were at the center of a dispute between Defense
Minister Igor Sergeev and the Chief of General Staff Anatoly Kvashnin.
Sergeev, a former commander of the Strategic Missile Forces, is a strong
supporter of these forces and argued that Russia needs to improve its
nuclear arsenal to deter possible attacks by other nations.

Army General Kvashnin, on the other hand, planned to reduce the strategic
nuclear forces by merging them with the Air Force, and spend more money for
the development of conventional weapons. In recent weeks this dispute became
so personal that Mr.Sergeev blasted the General Staff Chief's idea as
"criminal insanity" at an public military event.

Details of this meeting¹s final outcome remains unclear. Sergei Ivanov,
Security Council Secretary, said that resolutions on increasing military
spending and improving combat readiness had been adopted, but they had yet
to be finalized.

Defense Minister Sergeev stated that "no missile silo will be destroyed
until its service life expires."

Like everyhing going on in Russia today, this dispute looks more like a show
than a real concern. First of all, future development of Russia's military
has already been proclaimed by the new Military Doctrine, approved by Putin
last spring. According to this document, the nuclear weapons are Russia's
first line of defense against any outside aggression, but in the future the
government will pay more attention to conventional forces because of the
former imbalance in their development.

We know that over the last eight years Boris Yeltsin's government used about
70 percent of Russia's military budget for the development of its strategic
nuclear forces. Currently Moscow¹s arsenal has so many thousands of nuclear
warheads that it's more then enough to destroy our planet several times
over.

But Mr.Sergeev, former commander of these forces, spent most of this money
to acquire about 20 new Topol-M (Poplar-M) missiles every year since he
became defense minister in 1997.

Its one of the paradoxes of our life that although having been in a very
deep economic crisis Russia developed and deployed the operational Topol-M
top-of-the-line mobile intercontinental strategic ballistic nuclear missile
system, a system which even the U.S. military simply cannot afford.

Traditionally Russia has always used its nuclear forces to extort money from
the West by threatening the prospect of a world nuclear catastrophe if new
loans and credits do not come to Moscow in time to prevent one. At the same
time, however, the Yeltsin government paid little attention to Russia's
conventional forces because of a simple shortage of money, most of whch had
been used for the nuclear arsenal.

During the last several years the near-1 million man-strong conventional
forces were in a real decline, with very low combat readiness and extremely
low morale among military personnel. That, however wasn¹t true for all
members of the conventional armed forces.

Yeltsin and his " Family" cronies paid very close attention to several army
divisions they considered to be something of a PRAETORIAN GUARD that existed
solely to protect them and their interests.

According to Kremlin plans these Praetorian Guard troops could defend Moscow
and protect Kremlin insiders from possible revolution or a peoples' revolt
in the event of an economic collapse which was then considered possible.

Located inside and around Moscow were the so-called Presidential Kremlin
Regiment, Tamanskaya and Kantemirovskaya full strength tank and motorized
infantry army divisions, Dzerzhinskaya special forces divisions, 16th
brigade and 218th battalion of special operations forces as well as two of
the so-called "near the palace" air-born divisions. These military units
never had any problems with personnel, or any shortage of money, new
weapons, ammunition, and other supplies.

Their troop commanders and officers were extremely loyal to Boris Yeltsin
personally, and are equally loyal to Putin. Under their supervision there
are enough highly trained and well-armed military professionals, tanks,
APCs, tactical missiles, artillery pieces and other weapons to defend Moscow
and protect Kremlin insiders from any kind of public unrest.

Yeltsin¹s "Family" was totally satisfied with these troops and ignored all
the other conventional forces with all their problems such as low combat
readiness, shortage of money and weapons, as well as the murdering of young
conscripts, suicides of officers, and real hunger in the more remote
military camps.

The same situation existed not only in the army, but in the conventional air
force and navy, including such attack submarines as Kursk which sank during
regular naval exercises.

We now know that neither the Kursk submarine, nor any other combat ships
from Northern Fleet received regular technical maintenance during 1999.
Although the causes of the Kursk's sinking are not yet known, neglect may
end up topping the list.

There have been reports that the submarine left port without vital batteries
to power the backup air-purifying and lighting systems needed in the event
of an emergency. Emergency exits and safety equipment aboard the submarine
were substandard when they were installed in 1994, a compromise hushed up at
that time by bribes.

>From beginning of his presidency Vladimir Putin was unconcerned by the state
of the conventional armed forces, but not any more.

Putin¹s only presidential "success" ­ the blody year-long war in Chechnya
against few thousands rebels ­ clearly demonstrated the very low combat
ability of Russia's conventional forces then engaged in only one limited
military conflict.

And this is in a country with 89 administrative regions and districts
encompassing different nations and nationalities, which any time could
follow Chechnya's example in their drive for independence.

As a result of the lesson learned in this war, Putin decided to establish a
balance in development of Russia's nuclear and conventional forces. Of
course, it is not because he wouldn't like to use strategic arsenal to
extort more money from the West and to blackmail the U.S. and other outside
investors.

There is no doubt that he will continue this practice of his predecessors in
the Kremlin. But while he is consolodating all state power in his hands
Putin desperately needs more reliable conventional forces, which he can use
against his own population, first of all against any people who won¹t follow
orders and obey requests from Kremlin.

We know that Putin does have enough money for both the nuclear arsenal and
the conventional forces. Russia¹s defense budget is over 20 percent of the
total government spending and Putin promised his military leaders he would
increase their budget by as much as 50 percent.

The main-stream American media would like to impress its readers by saying
that Russia's Defense Ministry budget for 2000 is less than $5 billion ­
compared to about $268 billion in the U.S.

But what the media doesn't report is that it is simply impossible to compare
Russian and U.S. military spending.

For example, the media doesn¹t report that if the U.S. enlisted soldiers'
salary is several hundreds dollars per month, a major part of Russian 1,
200, 000 military personnel are conscripts who do not receive ANY SALARY.
The government pays them only few rubles monthly as reimbursement for
several packs of cheap Russian cigarettes, now made somewhere in Africa.

If the monthly salary of U.S. mid-level officers consists of thousands of
dollars, the Russian army officers of similar rank get a monthly salary of
not more then $100. U.S. weapons systems cost American taxpayers millions of
dollars, Russian weapons cost millions of rubles, or only few thousand US
dollars.

American strategic missiles cost billions of dollars while Russia¹s cost
billions of rubles but only millions of US dollars, and so on.

In other words, Russia's military is in not in the bad condition the U.S.
media likes to picture it as being. Additionally Moscow can use additional
extra billions of dollars, currently coming in every month from high oil
prices in the international markets, for the development of its military
machine and defense industry.

And there is no big argument as to where this money would go ­ either to the
strategic nuclear arsenal or to conventional forces. But there is no doubt,
that if this money is not diverted elsewhere and is spent on defense ,
America and NATO in the near future will face a much more powerful and
unfriendly Russian military power.

Thanks to Putin and American politicians who still talking about a mythtical
"strategic partnership" with the Kremlin leaders.

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