-Caveat Lector-

http://www.khilafah.com/1421/category.php?DocumentID=2775&TagID=2

US interests in Somalia

THE OIL FACTOR IN SOMALIA; FOUR AMERICAN PETROLEUM
GIANTS HAD AGREEMENTS WITH THE AFRICAN NATION BEFORE
ITS CIVIL WAR BEGAN. THEY COULD REAP BIG REWARDS IF
PEACE IS RESTORED.

Far beneath the surface of the tragic drama of
Somalia, four major U.S. oil companies are quietly
sitting on a prospective fortune in exclusive
concessions to explore and exploit tens of millions of
acres of the Somali countryside.

That land, in the opinion of geologists and industry
sources, could yield significant amounts of oil and
natural gas if the U.S.-led military mission can
restore peace to the impoverished East African nation.


According to documents obtained by The Times, nearly
two-thirds of Somalia was allocated to the American
oil giants Conoco, Amoco, Chevron and Phillips in the
final years before Somalia's pro-U.S. President
Mohamed Siad Barre was overthrown and the nation
plunged into chaos in January, 1991. Industry sources
said the companies holding the rights to the most
promising concessions are hoping that the Bush
Administration's decision to send U.S. troops to
safeguard aid shipments to Somalia will also help
protect their multimillion-dollar investments there.

Officially, the Administration and the State
Department insist that the U.S. military mission in
Somalia is strictly humanitarian. Oil industry
spokesmen dismissed as "absurd" and "nonsense"
allegations by aid experts, veteran East Africa
analysts and several prominent Somalis that President
Bush, a former Texas oilman, was moved to act in
Somalia, at least in part, by the U.S. corporate oil
stake.

But corporate and scientific documents disclosed that
the American companies are well positioned to pursue
Somalia's most promising potential oil reserves the
moment the nation is pacified. And the State
Department and U.S. military officials acknowledge
that one of those oil companies has done more than
simply sit back and hope for pece.

Conoco Inc., the only major multinational corporation
to mantain a functioning office in Mogadishu
throughout the past two years of nationwide anarchy,
has been directly involved in the U.S. government's
role in the U.N.-sponsored humanitarian military
effort.

Conoco, whose tireless exploration efforts in
north-central Somalia reportedly had yielded the most
encouraging prospects just before Siad Barre's fall,
permitted its Mogadishu corporate compound to be
transformed into a de facto American embassy a few
days before the U.S. Marines landed in the capital,
with Bush's special envoy using it as his temporary
headquarters. In addition, the president of the
company's subsidiary in Somalia won high official
praise for serving as the government's volunteer
"facilitator" during the months before and during the
U.S. intervention.

Describing the arrangement as "a business
relationship," an official spokesman for the
Houston-based parent corporation of Conoco Somalia
Ltd. said the U.S. government was paying rental for
its use of the compound, and he insisted that Conoco
was proud of resident general manager Raymond
Marchand's contribution to the U.S.-led humanitarian
effort.

John Geybauer, spokesman for Conoco Oil in Houston,
said the company was acting as "a good corporate
citizen and neighbor" in granting the U.S.
government's request to be allowed to rent the
compound. The U.S. Embassy and most other buildings
and residential compounds here in the capital were
rendered unusable by vandalism and fierce artillery
duels during the clan wars that have consumed Somalia
and starved its people.

In its in-house magazine last month, Conoco reprinted
excerpts from a letter of commendation for Marchand
written by U.S. Marine Brig. Gen. Frank Libutti, who
has been acting as military aide to U.S. envoy Robert
B. Oakley. In the letter, Libutti praised the oil
official for his role in the initial operation to land
Marines on Mogadishu's beaches in December, and the
general concluded, "Without Raymond's courageous
contributions and selfless service, the operation
would have failed."

But the close relationship between Conoco and the U.S.
intervention force has left many Somalis and foreign
development experts deeply troubled by the blurry line
between the U.S. government and the large oil company,
leading many to liken the Somalia operation to a
miniature version of Operation Desert Storm, the
U.S.-led military effort in January, 1991, to drive
Iraq from Kuwait and, more broadly, safeguard the
world's largest oil reserves.

"They sent all the wrong signals when Oakley moved
into the Conoco compound," said one expert on Somalia
who worked with one of the four major companies as
they intensified their exploration efforts in the
country in the late 1980s.

"It's left everyone thinking the big question here
isn't famine relief but oil -- whether the oil
concessions granted under Siad Barre will be
transferred if and when peace is restored," the expert
said. "It's potentially worth billions of dollars, and
believe me, that's what the whole game is starting to
look like."

Although most oil experts outside Somalia laugh at the
suggestion that the nation ever could rank among the
world's major oil producers -- and most maintain that
the international aid mission is intended simply to
feed Somalia's starving masses -- no one doubts that
there is oil in Somalia. The only question: How much?

"It's there. There's no doubt there's oil there," said
Thomas E. O'Connor, the principal petroleum engineer
for the World Bank, who headed an in-depth, three-year
study of oil prospects in the Gulf of Aden off
Somalia's northern coast.

"You don't know until you study a lot further just how
much is there," O'Connor said. "But it has commercial
potential. It's got high potential . . . once the
Somalis get their act together."

O'Connor, a professional geologist, based his
conclusion on the findings of some of the world's top
petroleum geologists. In a 1991 World Bank-coordinated
study, intended to encourage private investment in the
petroleum potential of eight African nations, the
geologists put Somalia and Sudan at the top of the
list of prospective commercial oil producers.

Presenting their results during a three-day conference
in London in September, 1991, two of those geologists,
an American and an Egyptian, reported that an analysis
of nine exploratory wells drilled in Somalia indicated
that the region is "situated within the oil window,
and thus (is) highly prospective for gas and oil." A
report by a third geologist, Z. R. Beydoun, said
offshore sites possess "the geological parameters
conducive to the generation, expulsion and trapping of
significant amounts of oil and gas."

Beydoun, who now works for Marathon Oil in London,
cautioned in a recent interview that on the basis of
his findings alone, "you cannot say there definitely
is oil," but he added: "The different ingredients for
generation of oil are there. The question is whether
the oil generated there has been trapped or whether it
dispersed or evaporated."

Beginni 1986, Conoco, along with Amoco, Chevron,
Phillips and, briefly, Shell all sought and obtained
exploration licenses for northern Somalia from Siad
Barre's government. Somalia was soon carved up into
concessional blocs, with Conoco, Amoco and Chevron
winning the right to explore and exploit the most
promising ones.

The companies' interest in Somalia clearly predated
the World Bank study. It was grounded in the findings
of another, highly successful exploration effort by
the Texas-based Hunt Oil Corp. across the Gulf of Aden
in the Arabian Peninsula nation of Yemen, where
geologists disclosed in the mid-1980s that the
estimated 1 billion barrels of Yemeni oil reserves
were part of a great underground rift, or valley, that
arced into and across northern Somalia.

Hunt's Yemeni operation, which is now yielding nearly
200,000 barrels of oil a day, and its implications for
the entire region were not lost on then-Vice President
George Bush.

In fact, Bush witnessed it firsthand in April, 1986,
when he officially dedicated Hunt's new $18-million
refinery near the ancient Yemeni town of Marib. In
remarks during the event, Bush emphasized the critical
value of supporting U.S. corporate efforts to develop
and safeguard potential oil reserves in the region.

In his speech, Bush stressed "the growing strategic
importance to the West of developing crude oil sources
in the region away from the Strait of Hormuz,"
according to a report three weeks later in the
authoritative Middle East Economic Survey.

Bush's reference was to the geographical choke point
that controls access to the Persian Gulf and its vast
oil reserves. It came at the end of a 10-day Middle
East tour in which the vice president drew fire for
appearing to advocate higher oil and gasoline prices.

"Throughout the course of his 17,000-mile trip, Bush
suggested continued low (oil) prices would jeopardize
a domestic oil industry 'vital to the national
security interests of the United States,' which was
interpreted at home and abroad as a sign the onetime
oil driller from Texas was coming to the aid of his
former associates," United Press International
reported from Washington the day after Bush dedicated
Hunt's Yemen refinery.

No such criticism accompanied Bush's decision late
last year to send more than 20,000 U.S. troops to
Somalia, widely applauded as a bold and costly step to
save an estimated 2 million Somalis from starvation by
opening up relief supply lines and pacifying the
famine-struck nation.

But since the U.S. intervention began, neither the
Bush Administration nor any of the oil companies that
had been active in Somalia up until the civil war
broke out in early 1991 have commented publicly on
Somalia's potential for oil and natural gas
production. Even in private, veteran oil company
exploration experts played down any possible
connection between the Administration's move into
Somalia and the corporate concessions at stake.

"In the oil world, Somalia is a fringe exploration
area," said one Conoco executive who asked not to be
named. "They've overexaggerated it," he said of the
geologists' optimism about the prospective oil
reserves there. And as for Washington's motives in
Somalia, he brushed aside criticisms that have been
voiced quietly in Mogadishu, saying, "With America,
there is a genuine humanitarian streak in us . . .
that many other countries and cultures cannot
understand."

But the same source added that Conoco's decision to
maintain its headquarters in the Somali capital even
after it pulled out the last of its major equipment in
the spring of 1992 was certainly not a humanitarian
one. And he confirmed that the company, which has
explored Somalia in three major phases beginning in
1952, had achieved "very good oil shows" -- industry
terminology for an exploration phase that often
precedes a major discovery -- just before the war
broke out.

"We had these very good shows," he said. "We were
pleased. That's why Conoco stayed on. . . . The people
in Houston are convinced there's oil there."

Indeed, the same Conoco World article that praised
Conoco's general manager in Somalia for his role in
the humanitarian effort quoted Marchand as saying, "We
stayed because of Somalia's potential for the company
and to protect our assets."

Marchand, a French citizen who came to Somalia from
Chad after a civil war forced Conoco to suspend
operations there, explained the role played by his
firm in helping set up the U.S.-led pacification
mission in Mogadishu.

"When the State Department asked Conoco management for
assistance, I was glad to use the company's influence
in Somalia for the success of this mission," he said
in the magazine article. "I just treated it like a
company operation -- like moving a rig. I did it for
this operation because the (U.S.) officials weren't
familiar with the environment."

Marchand and his company were clearly familiar with
the anarchy into which Somalia has descended over the
past two years -- a nation with no functioning
government, no utilities and few roads, a place ruled
loosely by regional warlords.

Of the four U.S. companies holding the Siad Barre-era
oil concessions, Conoco is believed to be the only one
that negotiated what spokesman Geybauer called "a
standstill agreement" with an interim government set
up by one of Mogadishu's two principal warlords, Ali
Mahdi Mohamed. Industry sources said the other U.S.
companies with contracts in Somalia cited "force
majeure" (superior power), a legal term asserting that
they were forced by the war to abandon their
exploration efforts and would return as soon as peace
is restored.

"It's going to be very interesting to see whether
these agreements are still good," said Mohamed Jirdeh,
a prominent Somali businessman in Mogadishu who is
familiar with the oil-concession agreements. "Whatever
Siad did, all those records and contracts, all
disappeared after he fled. . . . And this period has
brought with it a deep change of our society.

"Our country is now very weak, and, of course, the
American oil companies are very strong. This has to be
handled very diplomatically, and I think the American
government must move out of the oil business, or at
least make clear that there is a definite line
separating the two, if they want to maintain a
long-term relationship here."

Source:  Los Angeles Times




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