-Caveat Lector-

>From http://www.dailystar.com.lb/22_10_02/art16.asp

US secret war against Saddam enters new phase
Pentagon awaits second chance to eliminate bush family nemesis

‘We have the authority to assassinate people before they can assassinate us’

Ed Blanche
Special to The Daily Star

On the evening of Feb. 27, 1991, only hours before George W. Bush’s father called a 
halt to
Operation Desert Storm, two US Air Force F-111 bombers, callsigns Cardinal 1 and 2,
dropped two 1,800-kilogram penetration bombs on an underground bunker near Al-Taji Air
Base, northwest of Baghdad, which senior Iraqi commanders were known to use. The huge
bombs, known as GBU-28s, had been specially made to target Saddam Hussein and had
been flown to Taif Air Base in Saudi Arabia in a giant C-141 transport from Florida 
only five
hours earlier.
The raid was the Americans’ last desperate bid to kill the Iraqi leader before the 
cease-fire
took effect. Cardinal 1 swept in from the east and dropped its bomb, but it missed. 
Cardinal
2 scored a direct hit, destroying the bunker buried 15 meters underground, which 
earlier
strikes with 900-kilogram “penetrators” had failed to knock out. Several hours later US
military commanders learned that Saddam had not been in the bunker, as they had hoped.
Now, 12 years on, Saddam faces renewed attempts to kill him as Bush the younger picks 
up
where his father left off. But this time, the game has changed. Bush the younger is 
out to
wipe the slate clean and seems to be prepared to rid himself of the troublesome tyrant 
by
any and all means. He wants Saddam out of the way, “dead or alive.” He said the same
thing about Osama bin Laden, but that nemesis still eludes the American president. 
Without
bin Laden’s scalp on his belt to use the cowboy idiom that Bush has chosen to 
characterize
his war against terrorism Saddam has become a convenient substitute.
White House spokesman Ari Fleischer made it abundantly clear on Oct. 1 that the
administration would be only too happy to see Saddam assassinated by his own people, of
course. US law prohibits the assassination of foreign leaders, but Bush and his gung-ho
defense secretary, Donald Rumsfeld, have given the Central Intelligence Agency and the
military’s special forces virtual carte blanche to ensure that Saddam gets taken down 
once
and for all by whatever means necessary.
Fleischer’s comments were the bluntest made by a senior administration official about 
the
options of achieving “regime change” in Iraq without a war. Asked about congressional 
cost
estimates of $9 billion-$13 billion for a start-up for the war against Iraq, he said 
that Bush
had not yet made the decision to go to war, adding: “I can only say that the cost of a 
one-
way ticket is substantially less than that. The cost of one bullet, if the Iraqi 
people take it
upon themselves, is substantially less than that.”
He hastened to add: “This is not a statement of administration policy. The point is 
that if the
Iraqis took matters into their own hands, no one around the world would shed a tear.
Regime change is welcome in whatever form it takes.”
Whatever way Bush and his advisers put it, there seems little doubt the decision has 
been
made to kill Saddam if the opportunity presents itself. Officials have said, for 
instance, that
there are no plans to put Saddam on trial for war crimes or crimes against humanity, 
such
as repeatedly and systematically using poison gas against his own people, at The Hague 
or
anywhere else. The brutal dictator whom Trent Lott, the Republican leader in the 
Senate ,
has taken to calling “So Damn Insane” is firmly in America’s crosshairs again. His 
death is
an implicit aim of efforts to establish a US-backed regime in Baghdad.
During the six-week air campaign in 1991, 260 of 36,046 “strike sorties” were 
designated
“L” for leadership. That was less than 1 percent of the bombing missions, but these 
attacks,
which included Saddam’s palaces and other buildings he was known to frequent, were
intended to decapitate the regime. No doubt, similar attacks will be mounted in the 
looming
war.
Robert Gates, then a national security adviser and later director of the CIA, recalled 
that the
White House of Bush the elder “lit a candle every night hoping that Saddam Hussein 
would
be killed in a bunker. Those candles will be lit again if we have to bomb again. 
Command
and control sites will be targeted and we hope that Saddam’s in one of them.”
Assassinating Saddam would be the most obvious and expedient way of getting rid of him.
But it is prohibited by Executive Order No. 11905, signed by President Gerald Ford on 
Feb.
18, 1976, following political scandals caused by bungled CIA efforts to assassinate 
foreign
leaders in the 1960s and early 1970s. The Senate Select Committee on Intelligence,
remembered as the Church Committee, concluded on Nov. 20, 1975, that plots against five
foreign leaders under Presidents Dwight Eisenhower, John F. Kennedy, Lyndon Johnson and
Richard Nixon were deliberately organized in terms “so ambiguous that it is difficult 
to be
certain at what levels assassination activity was known and authorized.”
That simple 22-word document was endorsed by three successive presidents Jimmy Carter,
Ronald Reagan and George Bush (the elder) and was enshrined in its present form “No
person employed or acting on behalf of the United States government shall engage in, or
conspire to engage in, assassinations by Executive Order No. 12333, signed by Reagan, 
on
Dec. 4, 1981. But this has not prevented the US from carrying out operations against
foreign leaders, usually under the guise of “military operations” rather than singling 
out
individuals, a fine distinction by any standard.
Since Sept. 11, 2001, demands that the presidential ban on assassinations be rescinded
which Bush the younger can do without consulting lawmakers have swelled significantly
with little public opposition. How far tempers have cooled amid the beat of Bush’s war
drums is not clear, but only a few political voices have cautioned against removing 
such
restraints that would mark a dramatic change in the ethics of US foreign policy. If 
Bush
formally declares war against Iraq, Saddam would automatically become a legitimate
target.
Secretary of State Colin Powell has said that rules governing military and intelligence
operations, including Ford’s 1976 ban on assassinations, were under review. “We have to
have the authority to assassinate people before they can assassinate us,” said Senator 
Bob
Graham, who chairs the Senate Intelligence Committee.
Given Bush’s warlike rhetoric and his espousal of pre-emptive strikes against those 
deemed
enemies of the US, it would seem reasonable to assume that he is in favor of lifting 
the
ban. In July, the CIA ditched its 1995 guidelines limiting agents’ freedom to recruit 
“dirty”
informers people involved in criminal or terrorist activities in the field after 
Congress
criticized the agency’s failure to penetrate Al-Qaeda and learn of bin Laden’s plans 
for the
suicide attacks that killed more than 3,000 people last year.
Apart from the vexing moral questions that jettisoning the assassination ban would 
raise, it
would also emphasize the Bush administration’s hypocrisy in denouncing Israel’s policy 
of
assassinating Palestinian militants, what the administration euphemistically calls 
“targeted
killings.” This is an issue that has drawn the ire of Israel’s supporters in Congress, 
who
have branded it a “double standard.” No doubt, if Bush rescinds the ban, it would mean 
his
administration would no longer be able to criticize Israel’s actions, intensifying the 
growing
anti-US hostility sweeping the Arab world.
Bill Clinton paved the way for stepping up clandestine operations by US military and
intelligence forces. He authorized covert lethal force against Al-Qaeda in 1998, 
including
shooting down private aircraft if the Saudi renegade or his lieutenants were believed 
to be
aboard, and ordered the CIA to train and equip surrogate forces in Afghanistan, 
Uzbekistan
and Pakistan to kill or capture bin Laden. A 60-strong Pakistani commando team was 
poised
to strike in October 1999, but the operation was canceled when General Pervez Musharraf
deposed Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif in a military coup.
And shortly after the carnage of Sept. 11, 2001, Bush the younger was reported to have
signed a more comprehensive “presidential finding” which concluded that the executive
orders banning assassination did not prevent the president from lawfully singling out a
terrorist for death by covert action by intelligence agencies. Whether that would cover
Saddam is not clear, but given Bush’s efforts to link the Iraqi leader to Al-Qaeda, 
that is
probably the case.
On Sept. 17, 2001, six days after the suicide attacks on America, Bush declared Osama 
bin
Laden “wanted dead or alive.” Fleischer said Executive Order 12333 remained in effect, 
but
insisted that “it does not inhibit the nation’s ability to act in self-defense.” No 
doubt this
could be bent to include Saddam and his cronies.
Away from the legalistic hoops of the presidential orders, the ban has left some 
wriggle
room and US administrations have shown little hesitation in targeting foreign leaders
through military action, where a separate chain of command is involved and which uses
separate legal instruments for such operations. The Reagan administration hatched 
several
plots to eliminate Moammar Gadhafi, including one by the notorious Colonel Oliver 
North,
who helped plunge the Reagan presidency into near-collapse through the 1986 Iran-Contra
scandal.
In the event, US bombers attacked Tripoli and Benghazi on the night of April 5, 1986,
including the Azziziya Barracks in the capital, listed as a “terrorist-related 
target,” where the
Libyan leader was sleeping in a tent in the courtyard.
Planners insisted that they were not targeting Gadhafi that might have been just a 
little too
close to assassination but aiming at command- and-control centers. If Gadhafi just
happened to be under one of their bombs or rockets, that would just have been his tough
luck. Gadhafi survived.
The issue arose again with Bush the elder’s invasion of Panama on Dec. 29, 1989, by
24,000 troops who seized General Manuel Noriega, an indicted drug trafficker accused of
threatening US lives, and removed him from power. Abraham Sofaer, then the State
Department’s chief legal adviser, said both the Reagan and Bush administrations had
“concluded that the assassination prohibition relates to assassination, which is 
really a form
of murder, and that military actions do not constitute assassinations.”
Thus it was that during the 1999 NATO air campaign against Yugoslavia, President
Slobodan Milosevic’s mansion was attacked, even though assassinating him was not
supposed to be an option for the US. Milosevic was not harmed during the US bombing
strike. The Defense Department’s spokesman at the time, Kenneth Bacon, declared with a
straight face: “We’re not targeting President Milosevic or the Serb people. We’re 
targeting
the military and the military infrastructure that supports the instruments of 
oppression in
Kosovo.”
The then-deputy attorney-general, Eric Holder, said the bombing of Milosevic’s home was
within the guidelines given to the military by the Justice Department, which included
“command and control facilities.”
The scenario of senior Iraqis overthrowing Saddam the so-called “silver bullet” 
approach
has been central to CIA efforts to bring down the regime. But the administration 
should not
expect too much in its hope that Saddam’s domestic opponents, not inhibited by US
executive orders, will kill him or depose him on their own. Saddam, who is paranoid 
about
his personal security, has survived dozens of coup plots and assassination attempts 
since
he took power from his kinsman, Ahmed Hassan al-Bakr, on July 17, 1979, after a decade
of being the real power as Bakr’s deputy.
He is reported to have a protection force of some 10,000 handpicked troops. He is 
believed
to have at least three lookalikes, some of whom underwent plastic surgery, to confuse 
his
enemies. He rarely makes public appearances and, according to defectors, his movements
are known only to a few trusted aides around him, who are the only ones with direct 
access
to him.
The Clinton administration was primarily confined to a policy of “containing” Saddam, 
but it
also authorized the biggest CIA operation since the 1979-89 Afghan war in an attempt to
undermine his rule. A 1994-95 CIA-sponsored plot involving exiled Iraqi military and 
political
leaders based in Amman to get senior Iraqi Army officers to kill or seize Saddam and
establish a new regime fell apart disastrously after Saddam’s agents infiltrated the 
group
and executed those involved inside Iraq.
In August 1995, CIA agents had to flee Iraqi Kurdistan, protected since 1991 by an 
allied
no-fly zone, when Saddam sent his troops in to teach Kurdish rebels a lesson. But now 
by
all accounts the CIA, as well as military special forces teams, are back and plotting 
to get
Saddam, preferably dead.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
A<>E<>R
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Forwarded as information only; I don't believe everything I read or send
(but that doesn't stop me from considering it; obviously SOMEBODY thinks it's 
important)
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shut."
--- Ernest Hemingway

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