-Caveat Lector-

http://www.boston.com/dailyglobe2/363/oped/What_we_can_do_aft
er_Wakefield+.shtml

THIS STORY HAS BEEN FORMATTED FOR EASY PRINTING

What we can do after Wakefield

By John R. Lott Jr., 12/28/2000

WITH A GUNMAN'S  attack that killed seven people at a Wakefield
Internet company  on Tuesday, the question is simple: What can
be done to stop similar shootings in the future?
For many the answer is more government regulation.  The creation
of gun-free zones, waiting periods, background checks, and safe
storage regulations are just a few of the laws typically proposed.
Yet, Massachusetts already has these restrictions and  many
more.
Surely the intentions of these laws are noble. The goal of
preventing concealed handguns or creating gun-free zones is to
protect people.  But what might appear to be the most obvious
policy may actually cost lives.
When  gun control laws are passed, it is law-abiding citizens, not
would-be criminals, who obey them. Unfortunately, the police
cannot be everywhere, so these laws risk creating situations in
which the good guys cannot defend themselves from the bad ones.
This point was driven home to me when I received an e-mail from a
friend recently, telling me that he had just dropped off his kids at a
public school and outside the school was a sign that said ''This is a
gun-free  zone.'' I couldn't help think, if I put up a sign on my home
that said, ''This home is a gun-free zone,'' would it make it more
attractive or less attractive to criminals entering my home and
attacking  myself or my family?
While horrible crimes like the one in Wakefield get the attention
they deserve,  rarely mentioned are the many attacks that are
stopped by citizens who are able to defend themselves.  About two
million times a year people use guns defensively.  Few realize that
some of the public school shootings were stopped by citizens with
guns.
For example, in the first public shooting spree at a high school, in
Pearl, Miss., in October 1997 that left two dead, an assistant
principal retrieved  a gun from his car and physically immobilized
the shooter for more than five  minutes before police arrived.
A  school-related shooting in Edinboro, Pa., in spring 1998 that left
one dead, was stopped after a bystander pointed a shotgun at the
shooter when he started to reload his gun. The police did not arrive
for another 11 minutes.
But anecdotal stories cannot resolve this debate.  A study at the
University of Chicago by  a colleague  and myself compiled data on
all of the multiple-victim public shootings that occurred in the
United States from 1977 to 1999. Included were incidents in which
at least two people were killed or injured in a public place; to focus
on the type of shooting seen in Wakefield, we excluded gang wars
or shootings that were the byproduct of another crime,  such as
robbery.  The United States averaged more than 20 such shootings
annually, with an average of 1.5 people killed and 2.5 wounded in
each one.
So what can stop these attacks? We have examined a range of
different gun laws, such as waiting periods, as well the frequency
and level of punishment.   However, while arrest and conviction
rates, prison sentences, and the death penalty reduce murders
generally, they do not consistently deter public shootings.
The reason is simple: Those who commit these crimes usually die.
 They are either killed in the attack or commit suicide.  The normal
penalties rarely apply.
To be effective, policies must deal with what motivates these
criminals, which is to kill and injure as many people as possible.
Some appear to do it for the publicity, which is itself related to the
amount of harm they inflict.
The best way to stop these attacks is to enact policies that can
limit the carnage. We found only one policy that effectively
accomplishes  this: the passage of right-to-carry laws.
With Michigan's adoption this month, 32 states now give adults the
right to carry concealed handguns as long as they do not have a
criminal record or a history of significant mental illness. When
states passed such  laws during the 23 years we studied, the
number of multiple-victim public shootings declined by a dramatic
67 percent. Deaths and injuries from these  shootings fell on
average by 78 percent.
To the extent that attacks still occur in states after these laws are
enacted, they disproportionately occur in areas in which concealed
handguns are forbidden. The people who get these permits are
extremely law-abiding and rarely lose their permits for any reason.
Without letting law-abiding citizens  defend themselves, we risk
leaving victims as sitting ducks.
John R. Lott Jr. is a senior research scholar at Yale University Law
School and the author of ''More Guns, Less Crime.''
This story ran on page A15 of the Boston Globe on 12/28/2000.

© Copyright 2000 Globe Newspaper Company.


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