-Caveat Lector-

*** ERIC MARGOLIS, TORONTO SUN - When Pakistan ditched its ally, the
Taliban, in September, and sided with the U.S., Islamabad and Washington
fully expected to implant a pro-American regime in Kabul and open the way
for the Pak-American pipeline. But this was not to be. In a dazzling coup,
Russian President Vladimir Putin stole a march on the Bush administration,
which was so busy trying to tear apart Afghanistan to find bin Laden it
failed to notice the Russians were taking over half the country. The wily
Russians achieved this victory through their proxy Afghan force, the
Northern Alliance. Moscow, which has sustained the Alliance since 1990,
re-armed it after Sept. 11 with new tanks, armored vehicles, artillery,
helicopters and trucks. The Alliance's two military leaders, Gen. Rashid
Dostam and Gen. Muhammed Fahim, were stalwarts of the old Communist regime
with close links to the KGB.

Putin put the chief of the Russian general staff, Viktor Kvashnin, and the
deputy director of the KGB, in charge of the Alliance. During the Balkan
fighting in 1999, the hard-charging Kvashnin outfoxed the U.S. by seizing
Pristina's airfield, thus assuring a permanent Russian role in Kosovo. Now,
he's done it again. To the fury of Washington and Islamabad, Kvashnin
rushed
the Northern Alliance into Kabul, in direct contravention of Bush's
dictates
. . . The Russians have regained influence over Afghanistan, revenged their
defeat by the U.S. in the 1980s' war, and neatly checkmated the Bush
administration which, for all its high-tech military power, understood
little about Afghanistan.

America's ouster of the Taliban regime meant Pakistan lost its former
influence over Afghanistan and is now cut off from Central Asia's
resources.
So long as the Alliance holds power, the U.S. is equally denied access to
the much coveted Caspian Basin. Russia has regained control of the best
potential pipeline routes. The "new Silk Road" will become a Russian energy
superhighway. By charging like an enraged bull into the South Asian china
shop, the U.S. handed a stunning geopolitical victory to the Russians and
severely damaged its own great power ambitions. Moscow is now free to
continue plans to dominate South and Central Asia in concert with its
strategic allies, India and Iran.

The Bush administration does not appear to understand its enormous blunder,
and keeps insisting the Russians are now our friends.  MORE
http://www.canoe.ca/Columnists/margolis.

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