-Caveat Lector-   <A HREF="http://www.ctrl.org/">
</A> -Cui Bono?-

[Had the Stupid Party not hit upon the bright idea of letting
Democrats pick the Republican candidate, McCain wouldn't even be
in the race.  However, and as Steve W. has pointed out, as things
ARE, turnout will be EVERYTHING, so get up and VOTE!  --MS]


From:

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=183

Released: February 19, 2000

Reuters/Zogby South Carolina tracking poll final results: Bush
51% - McCain 42%

Final Four Day Tracking Results

Texas Governor George W. Bush has moved further ahead of Arizona
Senator John McCain (51%-42%), a new Reuters/Zogby tracking poll
of the South Carolina Republican primary showed.

Former Ambassador Alan Keyes polled 7.0% in the final poll of 605
likely Republican primary voters polled Thursday and Friday.

Pollster John Zogby: "Bush pulls ahead by virtue of strong
support among Conservative voters, Very Conservative voters,
Born-Again Christians and Republicans.

"McCain is doing well among Moderates and first-time Republican
Primary voters, Independents and Democrats. But it is Bush's
overwhelming support among Republicans that has allowed him to
open up a wider lead. Turnout again is the key. If there is heavy
turnout in the Coastal area and the Columbia suburban area,
McCain can tighten the race or even win. But if vote is heaviest
in the Western part of the state, Bush should hold on to
victory."

The tracking survey had a margin of error of +/- 4%. The surveys
were daily tracking polls which feature a rolling average of two
days sampling. Approximately 300 likely voters were sampled each
day with the earliest day's sample eliminated, thus creating a
new daily sample of 600.

South Carolina Republican Primary (Four-day tracking results)

Final Results

George Bush

Feb. 16      Feb. 17      Feb. 18      Feb. 19     Final Results

 42.7          43.4         43.3         47.2          51.0



John McCain

 39.6          42.0          39.5         39.4          42.0



Alan Keyes

 4.3            4.0           5.4          6.5           7.0


ZOGBY INTERNATIONAL
Copyright 2000 by Zogby International.


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