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--- In [EMAIL PROTECTED], "Bodhi Man" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

http://www.msnbc.com/news/697721.asp?cp1=1

U.S. plans air traveler database

Proposed security system aimed at weighing risks

By Robert O'Harrow Jr.
THE WASHINGTON POST

Feb. 1 — Federal aviation authorities and technology companies will
soon begin testing a vast air security screening system designed to
instantly pull together every passenger's travel history, living arrangements
and a wealth of other personal and demographic information.

`This is not fantasy stuff. This technology, based on transaction
analysis, behavior analysis, gives us a pretty good idea of what's going on
in
a person's mind.'

— JOSEPH DEL BALZO
Security consultant          THE GOVERNMENT'S plan is to establish a
computer network linking every reservation system in the United
States to private and government databases. The network would use data-mining
and predictive software to profile passenger activity and intuit obscure
clues about potential threats, even before the scheduled day of flight.

PRIVACY WORRIES

       It might find, for instance, that one man used a debit card to
buy tickets for four other men who sit in separate parts of the same
plane — four men who have shared addresses in the past. Or it might discern
that someone who is unemployed or a low-wage worker is buying a one-way
first-class ticket to a destination he has never visited.

       Those sorts of details — along with many other far more subtle
patterns identified by computer programs — would contribute to a
threat index or score for every passenger.

       Passengers with higher scores would be singled out for
additional screening by authorities.  As described by developers, the system
will be an unobtrusive network enabling authorities to target potential
threats far more effectively while reducing lines at security checkpoints for
most passengers. Critics
say it would be one of the largest monitoring systems ever created by the
government and a huge intrusion on privacy.

       At least one airline, Delta, has been working with several
companies on a prototype. Northwest Airlines has acknowledged that it is
talking with other airlines about a similar screening system. Federal
authorities
hope to test at least two different prototypes in coming months or possibly
sooner, according to government and industry sources familiar with the effort.

       "This is not fantasy stuff," said Joseph Del Balzo, a former
acting administrator of the Federal Aviation Administration and a security
consultant working on one of the profiling projects. "This technology, based
on transaction analysis, behavior analysis, gives us a pretty good idea of
what's going on in a person's mind."

       The screening plans reflect a growing faith among aviation and
government leaders that information technology can solve some of the
nation's most vexing security problems by rooting out and snaring
people who intend to commit terrorist acts.

       But a range of policy and technical questions still need to be
answered before the system can become a reality. The Transportation
Security Administration, for example, must decide on a set of standards so
technology companies and airlines can begin building a system. They must also
figure out how to pay for the system and its operation. Industry officials
have said they hope the system will cost, on average, less than $2 per
ticket.

         Officials at the TSA declined to comment, saying they did
not want to disclose any details that might undermine aviation security.

       Government officials and companies also face questions about
privacy. In interviews, more than a dozen people working on two parallel
projects said they are taking pains to protect individual privacy. They
intend
to limit the personal information shared with airlines and security
officials.
Instead, passengers' records are likely to be color-coded based on the level
of threat computers determine they pose.

 But developers face restrictions on how much information they
can use. Industry officials have already discussed with lawmakers the
possibility of rolling back some privacy protections in the Fair
Credit Reporting Act and Driver's Privacy Protection Act to enable them to
use more of the credit and driver data.

       Civil liberties activists said they fear the system could be
the beginnings of a surveillance infrastructure that will erode existing
privacy protections. When told about the system, Barry Steinhardt, associate
director of the ACLU, said it would be "a massive complex system of
surveillance."

`PROFOUND STEP'

`We can quickly build a system that is much more effective than
anything in place today. There is a night-and-day difference.'

— JOSEPH SIROSH
HNC Software          "It really is a profound step for the government to be
conducting background checks on a large percentage of Americans.
We've never done that before," he said. "It's frightening."

       Some critics also worry that law enforcement authorities will
be tempted to use it for broader aims, such as snaring deadbeat parents
or profiling for drug couriers.

       "If you can profile for terrorists, you can profile for other
things," said Richard M. Smith, an independent computer security and
privacy specialist. "The computer technology is so cheap and getting so much
cheaper, you just have to be careful: Turn up the volume a little
bit, and we just use the air transportation system to catch everybody."

       Airlines rely on a couple dozen variables to screen
passengers, such as how they bought tickets, whether they're flying one way
and travel history, people familiar with the system said. The details of that
system, known as Computer Assisted Passenger Screening, or CAPS, are closely
guarded. But security specialists regard that system — expanded after
Sept. 11 — as limited.

       The systems under development would include a thousand or more
minute details and computer-derived conclusions about a person's travel,
daily activity over time and whether he or she has coordinated activity
with other passengers, possibly on other flights, according to the groups
developing the systems.

       Two leading prototypes are being developed. One group is led
by HNC Software, a risk-detection specialist that works for credit card
issuers, telephone companies, insurers and others. HNC is working with
several
companies, including PROS Revenue Management, which has access to
seating records of virtually every U.S. passenger, and Acxiom Corp., one of
the world's largest data-marketing companies, which collects such
information as land records, car ownership, projected income, magazine
subscriptions and telephone numbers.

       "We can quickly build a system that is much more effective
than anything in place today," said Joseph Sirosh, executive director of
advanced technology solutions at HNC Software. "There is a night-and-day
difference."

      A second group is being led by Accenture. It has worked for
months on a prototype with a variety of companies, including Delta.
Data-giant
Equifax, Sabre Inc., which is responsible for about half of U.S.
airline reservations, IBM and other companies have also been working on
profiling efforts.

NORMAL VS. RISKY

       Both systems are designed to use travel information and other
data to create models of "normal" activity. Then they will look for
variations in individual behavior that might suggest risk. Both may
eventually make
use of some sort of biometic system that uses iris scans, fingerprints or
other immutable characteristics.

       Officials at both HNC and Accenture said they take care with
the personal information their systems collect and parse. The HNC
prototype, for instance, does not link a passenger's personal information to
a
passenger's threat index. Officials also pledged that there will be no racial
profiling, in part because ethnicity often has no bearing on potential risk.

       The HNC prototype uses software known as neural networks,
which can "learn" subtle patterns and relationships by processing millions of
records, to predict when a particular transaction is likely to be fraudulent.
The company already uses neural networks software to accurately profile
the activity of millions of credit card owners, telephone callers and
people receiving insurance benefits to crack down on fraud.

       The HNC prototype would allow authorities, based in control
rooms, to examine potential threats across the aviation system. One computer
screen, for instance, includes a "prioritized passenger list" with passengers
ranked from the highest risk to the lowest. The same screen also includes a
box called "passenger coordination" with the names of other travelers
that the computer has somehow linked to the high-risk passenger. Other
screens
show an aggregate threat for planes, airports and the entire system.

       The Accenture system also creates a threat index, using
massive computing power and relational database software. It examines travel
data to look for things such as routes involving odd destinations or flying
patterns. To search for threads linking individuals, the system will
sift huge amounts of travel records, real estate histories and "seven
layers" of passenger associates, according to Accenture partner Brett Ogilvie.

       For instance, it would note if an individual lived at the
former address of someone considered high risk. Theoretically, the system
could be calibrated to watch for people with links to certain restaurants,
hotels or parts of the country thought to be favored by terrorist cells. The
system also would match individuals against government watch lists. Any
potential link to a threatening character or region could boost a passenger's
score.

COLOR-CODED SIGNALS

The index would send color-coded signals to airlines. Green would
indicate no problem. Yellow would indicate the need for more questioning. Red
means apprehend.

         A limited model report, generated by Accenture on one
individual, looked like any number of publicly available dossiers provided by
information services. It included all his addresses for the past two
decades; the telephone numbers and former addresses of people who now
occupy those residences; the names, ages, addresses, telephone numbers and
partial Social Security numbers of possible relatives. Some of the
information was incomplete or, apparently, unrelated to the passenger.

       The company said it would eventually like to have more data in
the analysis, including embassy warnings, passport information, foreign
watch lists. Eventually, with government approval, they would link the
system to a national ID or some sort of biometric or both.

       The index would send color-coded signals to airlines. Green
would indicate no problem. Yellow would indicate the need for more
questioning. Red means apprehend. Ogilvie said the company would try to offer
the
same sort of service to cruise ships, theme parks and other facilities
that want to bolster security.

       "The data is there and the technology is there," Ogilvie said.
"There's a lot of value. There's a lot of data."

       Paul Werbos, a senior National Science Foundation official and
a neural networks specialist, said such systems need to be used
carefully. While there is no doubt that profiling can improve security,
Werbos
said, "We have to be very careful not to create punishments, disincentives,
for being different from average."
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© 2002 The Washington Post Company

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