>       Is there any overwhelming reason to believe that going back to
>Iraq would be any different?

Short answer: yes.

Long answer:
I'm no expert, but a friend of mine in the military suggested that invading
Iraq now would be a lot different than the Gulf War.  He said that urban
combat, which will be necessary to depose Hussein, is the most difficult and
dangerous type of combat there is.  The Gulf War was fought on a flat plane
with no obstructions or terrain differences (the desert) where superior fire
power has a great advantage.  Other reasons to think that invading Iraq this
time will be much more difficult and likely cause many more U.S. causalities
include:
1.  The troops the U.S. fought against in the Gulf War were mainly recent
conscripts with little training or motivation.  Taking Baghdad will require
fighting veteran republican guard troops.
2.  There is no clear objective to this invasion of Iraq besides deposing
Hussein.  Ignoring the long-term consequences of this invasion (which is the
usual practice), the short-term prospects aren't good.  There is no readily
available alternate government to install in Hussein's place.  The resulting
destabilization in the region will likely result in a U.S. military presense
in the country for a much longer time than in the Gulf War.

-Andy

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