Dear Craig (the SnowDog),

>Jim, you're just confused. 

Just and confused, I agree!

> There are NO bars in Ontario any more. One year ago, there 
> was 116 bars in Toronto at the Bank of Nova Scotia. 

Yes, I see that.  But, for some odd reason, the folks at e-gold.com
insisted on pointing me at this year-old information on their site
which claims to be "live."  So, while I admit to being confused by
their site, I don't think my confusion is unjust.

Moreover, isn't it rather odd that there has not been an audit in
a year?  I mean, that page linked from examiner.html is a year old.
Now.  Can we expect another review?  Or can we expect e-gold, Ltd.
to continue confusing people, such as myself, who are otherwise
of good intent?

At some point, merely confusing people who are using your
service stops being mere confusion and becomes something much
more aggravating.

> That's a done deal, and the gold has been moved. 

I see that the examiner.html page suggests as much.  I don't
see any clear indication, to me, of where I might send an
auditor to find all of my gold, if a customer were to demand
it of me.

> Morover, if you watch the examiner, 

Oh, I never do.  I'm so busy, I only visit it on occasion.
More often as Dagny Taggart makes searing criticisms about it.

> the number of gold bars changes frequently. In the past week, 
> it has gone from 132 to 133, back to 132, then up again to 133.

That's charming.  And, tell me, does the value of gold ounces
change by 400 every time?  Looking at the table, I would guess
that it does, since the bars are listed in that table as having
400.0000 ounces, average, even though they almost certainly do not.

> The 'London' referred to now is London, England, UK.

I don't know that, and neither do you.  You think that is true
because it may be implied in the contract with JP Morgan Chase,
but you don't know anything of the sort.  The examiner.html
page does not say so.  For that matter, it does not say that
the gold bars are in Zurich, Switzerland and not in Lake
Zurich, Illinois (in the lake itself and all wet like me! ;-).  
My point, and I think it is just, is that the examiner.html 
page should be as specific as possible about where my gold 
is being stored, and exactly how much gold is involved.

>PS: Note also that we know there are 58 bars in Dubai because 
> we saw a picture of them in the Jan. issue of Wired.

Now, c'mon.  We saw a picture of bars of gold in _Wired_. We
are told these are in Dubai.  But what do we know?  We know
nothing.  These could be a pile of bars, or a bunch of pixels
faked together by some clever drone at _Wired_ or a pile of
lead painted gold.  They could be in Dubai, in Zurich, or, now,
at the bottom of Lake Zurich, Illinois, for all that we know.

And that's my entire point: we don't know where our gold is.
I have gold stored by e-gold, Ltd., somewhere.  I have no idea
where.  Really.  I don't believe them when they tell me that
there are 116 bars inspected in Ontario that pertain in any way
to the 133 bars they claim to have now.

>PSS: Note, also, that the gold amount is an approximation. 

Where does it say that???!!! That's not right!  
  http://www.e-gold.com/examiner.html

It purports to be live data.  It purports to be accurate to
four decimals.  Four decimals, Craig!  If the four decimals of
accuracy aren't a realistic use of specific numbers, then
why are they being used?  I submit they may be used to
convey an exactitude that is false to fact, and should not
be stated by men of good will.  I assume that the men of
e-gold are of good will, but these examinations appear to
have convinced Dagny Taggart otherwise.  And I simply cannot
account for the fact that 400 ounce bars which are only
approximately 400 ounces each are described at examiner.html
as being 400.0000 ounces (on average) exactly.  Why use four
decimal places, when the rest of the industry appears to use
three?  Why use four zeroes when the average cannot possibly
be exactly that weight?

> There is not exactly 53,200 ounces in aggregate; the bars 
> do not weigh equally 400oz each.

Yes, that is very true.  Two of them reviewed in Ontario when
they were there a year ago this week were not even the weight
that e-gold, Ltd., thought they were.  They were not even close
to being 400 oz.

If we take the average weight of these two bars, that we do
know about because someone went to where they are and weighed
them, we get some real data to work with.  Those two bars
actually weigh an average of exactly 385.6365 oz.  I don't know 
the actual weight of any other bars in e-gold's inventory.

So, a conservative assumption on my part is that all the bars
they have weigh about the same amount, which is not about 400
ounces, but is about 385.637 ounces.

The e-gold examiner says that there is exactly 52,077.73 ounces
of gold in circulation.  I believe that Jay Wherley's fantastic
software makes this number known, live, very well.  But the 
corresponding value of gold in storage is not known, well, by
any of us users.  It is our gold, individually and severally,
but we are denied the knowledge of where it is, how much of it
there is, and that just isn't right.

Taking the exact value of the average weight of the two bars
about which we have some knowledge, and multiplying this 
average weight (calculated from two actual measurements) by the
number of bars we are told are "in reserve" we get 51,289.6545
ounces.  I think this number is better than the number on the
examiner.html page, because it is calculated from two very
precise measurements.  While we don't have a list of 116 very
precise measurements to work from, nor yet 133, we do have two.
And two exact measurements is a better basis to form an estimate
than zero measurements.

51,289.6545 ounces is a far cry from 52,077.73 ounces.  It is off
by 788.08 ounces of gold, or about $230,906.1215 at today's price.
About two bars of gold are missing.  (Exactly 2.043570824 of
the bars whose average weight we know anything about.)

(At the spike high which I anticipate of $7,500 per ounce,
the deficit amounts to $5,910,566.25 which is a pretty big
chunk of change.)

The thing of it is, Craig, e-gold, Ltd., provided a listing of
116 bars to Central Escrow which listing contained all kinds of
highly specific data about the exact gold bars in question,
save two, which were not numbered or weighed correctly.  See
the Central Escrow page again:
 http://www.e-gold.com/ceal-inspection-2001-02-22.htm
(I don't know how many times I've looked at that URL without
twigging to the fact that it is a year old.  Growing old sucks.)

The page refers to "...comparison of the gold bullion listing 
provided by Repository with that supplied by E-Gold Ltd..."
and notes discrepancies about two bars which include in
both lists the refiner, the bar number, and the exact weight
to three decimal places of accuracy, or one one thousandth of
an ounce of gold (29.3 cents worth of gold).  In other words,
I think the Central Escrow page tells us that e-gold, Ltd.,
knows to within one thousandth of an ounce of gold exactly
how much gold they have in gold bars.

But they don't tell us.  They tell us that there are exactly
133 bars, which, in the table, are presented as having the
average weight of exactly 400.0000 ounces each!  Four decimal
places of utter nonsense!  I cannot believe it!  

The list e-gold provided to Central Escrow was in ounces to 
three decimal places of accuracy.  How did the accuracy grow
to four decimal places when it reached examiner.html?  I
don't think it did.

I think, in fact, and express the opinion, that the notion
that there is any bar of gold in the world which is exactly
400.0000 ounces troy in weight is silly.  Three decimal places
seems to be the industry standard, and I doubt if any bar of
gold measures 400.000 oz, either.  I certainly don't think it 
credible that 133 bars, one of which weights 382.662 ounces 
troy and one of which weighs 388.611 ounces troy, could 
possibly be exactly 400.0000 ounces troy on average.  That's 
silly! Averages don't work that way in real life.

And that's a problem.  See, if the examiner.html page were
trying to convey an approximation, I would expect it to say:
"approximately 400 oz. of gold."  But it does not.  It appears
to be attempting to convey an exactitude of 400.0000 ounces
of gold, which is a very exact number, accurate to one ten
thousandth of an ounce, or just about three cents of gold.

And it is up to date!  http://www.e-gold.com/examiner.asp
claims to have been created as of: 2/20/02 1:32:22 AM.  So,
it isn't like the page is an old, tired page, like the frame
in which it rests, examiner.html which was last modified:
 Tuesday, February 08, 2000 4:21:32 PM Local time
according to View..Page Info in my copy of Netscape.

Seriously.  The whole examiner.html page concept appears to
be about two years old.  But the data that appears there
is very, terribly, tragically recent.  It is now, now, now.

But it is wrong, wrong, wrong.  For two years, e-gold seems
to have had an examiner.html page and examiner.asp with
which to fill it.  For two years, now, they have claimed
that 400 ounce bars of gold are exactly 400.0000 ounces, on
average, unless the .asp page has changed remarkably.  And
that just isn't right; I don't think it is even possible.

I don't believe it.  And, because I don't believe it, I
find the use of four decimal places of accuracy to be a
bit overzealous.  And by "a bit overzealous" I'm attempting
to use some of that disarming understatement that we get
in places like London, England.

The examiner.html page should be accurate to three decimal
places.  E-gold, Ltd., has never bought a single bar of gold
that it did not know the weight of to within three decimal
places, I would be willing to bet.  It has a list, even if
two of the bars on that list were not as listed, and were
collectively off in weight by a tenth ounce.  E-gold, Ltd.,
has a far more accurate idea of exactly how much gold there
is in its possession, and it should share this data on 
examiner.html *or* it should put a big red label on the
page "warning! approximation!"

Otherwise, good people like Dagny Taggart are going to 
think bad thoughts about e-gold, and stop using the e-gold
in their tipjar .sig file URLs, and e-gold is going to
lose business to other, far more reputable, far more
accurate sites, as the customers see it.

And, frankly, that is sad.  It is sad to see people who
have such exact knowledge about how much gold they have try
to pass off a gross approximation like "400 ounce bars 
weigh, on average 400.0000 ounces" on their web site as the
truth about the gold they have "in reserve."  E-gold is
better than that.

I'd like e-gold to simply stand up and say, "We have exactly
53,201.230 ounces of gold, and here's the list of which bars
we own, and where they are stored."

Why not?  A list of the refiner, bar number, and weight
exists.  E-gold knows where these bars are to be found.
Why not tell us?  Then all these "what are they hiding"
rumors can go away.  E-gold would be better, stronger, and
more popular with its customers if it told us these facts,
exactly as they know them.

Regards,

Jim
 http://www.two-cents-worth.com/?101468&EG 


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