http://online.wsj.com/article/0,,SB1019592893619862520,00.html?mod=opinion

"Nobody can reliably predict if or when Japan's much-feared meltdown 
will come. But consider that Japanese themselves are reading the tea 
leaves and are frightened enough by what they see to pull increasing 
amounts of their savings out of banks. They have put $300 billion of 
cash in home safes, about the same amount invested in mutual funds in 
Japan, and bought 45 tons of gold in the first quarter of the year, 
up from 14 tons in the same period last year. Deflation and low 
nominal interest rates encourage these moves, but the scaling back of 
deposit guarantees, which began on April 1 and continues next year, 
as well as the weakness of the yen, are the real driving forces.
"



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