Brian makes a good point. However, there has been a lot of discussion
about using technologies (e.g., injection of CO2 into the wells) that
can reduce carbon emissions from coal-fired power plants. This suggests
to me there is not a one-to-one lockstep relationship between economic
growth and global warming. It's not that simple.

=20

Tony Prato

University of Missouri-Columbia

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Subject: [SSWG] Denial * 2: Climate Change and Economic Growth

=20

I've been following the ECOLOG discussion on climate change "denial
science" with great interest.  Many of the climate change deniers have
much in common with those who deny that there is a conflict between
economic growth and environmental protection.  For example, both camps
of deniers tend to be comprised of hirelings of, or were selected in a
process strongly influenced by, "big money" (i.e., pro-growth, typically
corporate and anti-regulatory entities). =20

=20

This point would be too obvious to be worth mentioning, except that now
we are seeing a fascinating denial dialog developing regarding the
relationship of economic growth and climate change.  I noticed this at a
climate change conference yesterday, where the old CIA Director Woolsey
et al., while fully concurring that climate change is upon us, and
substantially human-induced, are not yet ready to concede that climate
change and other environmental threats are fundamental outcomes of
economic growth. =20

=20

(While this is no place to elaborate, I have to at least note that, with
a >90% fossil-fueled economy, and ceteris paribus, economic growth
simply =3D global warming.  And also that, with economic growth -
increasing production and consumption of goods and services in the
aggregate - prioritized in the domestic policy arena, dealing with
climate change means not conservation and frugality but rather wholesale
onlining of nuclear, tar sands, mountaintop removing, etc., because, as
Woolsey pointed out, renewables such as solar and wind won't come
anywhere near the levels our currently fossil-fueled economy needs.)

=20

So perhaps we could view "denial science" as lying on a spectrum, where
endpoints might be defined either in terms of hardness/softness of
science (e.g., physics hard, climate change science medium, ecological
economics softish), or else in terms of political economy (e.g., from
little to big money at stake).  Denial would tend to be motivated
pursuant to principals of political economy, and gotten away with in
proportion to the softness (or alternatively, complexity) of the
science.

=20

=20

Brian Czech, Visiting Assistant Professor=20

Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University

Department of Wildlife and Fisheries Sciences

National Capital Region, Northern Virginia Center

7054 Haycock Road, Room 411

Falls Church, VA  22043=20

=20


Brian Czech, Ph.D., President
Center for the Advancement of the Steady State Economy
SIGN THE POSITION on economic growth at:
www.steadystate.org/PositiononEG.html .
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