The National Park Service has released the publication
<http://climate.calcommons.org/bib/using-scenarios-explore-climate-change-handbook-practitioners>Using
Scenarios to Explore Climate Change: A Handbook for
Practitioners. Developed under the National Park Service Climate
Change Response Strategy, this guide is part of an interdisciplinary,
cross-cutting approach to addressing climate change. The overall
program supports National Park Service efforts to understand climate
science in national parks and surrounding areas and to adapt to a
changing climate to promote the resiliency of our cultural and
natural heritage. Actively engaging ourselves and our audiences in
park stewardship is a key ingredient of the climate change
communication strategy and an integral component in addressing the
effects of climate change.
This handbook describes the five-step process for developing
multivariate climate change scenarios taught by the Global Business
Network (GBN) during a series of training workshops hosted by the
National Park Service in 2010 and 2011. The authors created this
guide as a reference for workshop participants who possess some
familiarity with scenario planning. The process featured in this
manual is not a definitive method for building climate change
scenarios, since many valid methods exist to develop climate change
scenarios. The technique presented here is just one effective and
proven approach.
The handbook can be found
<http://climate.calcommons.org/sites/default/files/CCScenarios-Handbook%20FINAL%20080113.pdf>here.
