Re: Is the vote brouhaha due to statistical fallacy?

2000-11-21 Thread Chuck Davis
In article <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>, Rich Ulrich <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> writes: |> "With 10,000 no-punches where only half that many no-votes should be |> expected (in Palm Beach County), they re-counted a 1% sample and came |> up with 47 additional votes -- about half of the 100 or so that were |> possi

Re: Is the vote brouhaha due to statistical fallacy?

2000-11-19 Thread Bob Wheeler
In addition to being unable to spell "fallacy," I can't do arithmetic. Chung is right. The formula is 28000*0.24*V, which is 672 for V=0.1. It might be better to add a multiplicative parameter to remove from the 28000 the genuine "no vote" totals. Thus one has 28000*H*0.24*V, from which one can g