Re: [EM] Approval strategy in close three-way race?

2005-08-14 Thread Dave Ketchum
Thanks for the reminder that methods sometimes matter. For many elections there are only one or two likely winners, and about any method, including Plurality, will satisfy. Here we have three candidates and many voters DESIRE to say three things: I WANT my favorite to win. I WANT to

[EM] Approval strategy in close three-way race?

2005-08-14 Thread Rob Lanphier
Hi folks, As I alluded to before, I'm still a little shakey when it comes to the optimal Approval strategy. So, first, let me paraphrase what I believe is the right strategy, and then ask about a case that's been bugging me. My understanding is that current strategy involves classic two-party po

[EM] Approval Strategy

2005-03-29 Thread Forest Simmons
Basic Approval Strategies: 1. Given a list L of winning probabilities for the various alternatives, you should approve an alternative A if and only if it is more likely that the winner will be worse than A than that it will be better than A. That's the recommendation when the alternatives are ra

Re: [EM] Approval strategy for Condorcet?

2005-02-28 Thread Russ Paielli
MIKE OSSIPOFF nkklrp-at-hotmail.com |EMlist| wrote: Russ said: After thinking more about this proposition, I think the Approval formula (see http://ElectionMethods.org/Approval-formula.htm) applies to Condorcet voting also. The Approval formula simply says to approve any candidate that is above the

[EM] Approval strategy for Condorcet?

2005-02-28 Thread MIKE OSSIPOFF
Russ said: After thinking more about this proposition, I think the Approval formula (see http://ElectionMethods.org/Approval-formula.htm) applies to Condorcet voting also. The Approval formula simply says to approve any candidate that is above the expected value of the entire election. The same rea

Re: [EM] Approval strategy at Russ´s website

2005-02-23 Thread Russ Paielli
MIKE OSSIPOFF nkklrp-at-hotmail.com |EMlist| wrote: What Russ refers to as Weber´s Approval formula, or the Approval formula, actuallly describes the Better-Than-Expectation strategy that Forest defined a long time ago on EM. It was demonstrated on EM that, as I´ve said, by some reasonable appro

[EM] Approval strategy at Russ´s website

2005-02-23 Thread MIKE OSSIPOFF
What Russ refers to as Weber´s Approval formula, or the Approval formula, actuallly describes the Better-Than-Expectation strategy that Forest defined a long time ago on EM. It was demonstrated on EM that, as I´ve said, by some reasonable approximations, Better-Than-Expectation becomes the same

Re: [EM] approval strategy

2005-01-20 Thread Dave Ketchum
Below I will talk of "Ranked" rather then IRV, for it would be rare, if ever, that strategists could plan on voting fitting one of the distributions for which Condorcet (IRR) awards a different winner than IRV. Quoting 'Approval *is* considerably simpler than IRV' from below, I have to choke.

Re: [EM] approval strategy

2005-01-18 Thread Kevin Venzke
Russ, --- Russ Paielli <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> a écrit : > I'm replying to myself because I would like to expand on the point I was > making. > > A couple of proposals were made to alleviate the voting dilemma I > pointed out above. I did not reply to them because I honestly don't know > if they

Re: [EM] approval strategy

2005-01-18 Thread Russ Paielli
Russ Paielli 6049awj02-at-sneakemail.com |EMlist| wrote: Voter strategy in Approval will be simple at first, but it could become very difficult later. Simple formulas are nice, but they cannot resolve the dilemma that voters could eventually face. Let's say that Approval has just been adopted. W

[EM] Approval Strategy

2005-01-18 Thread MIKE OSSIPOFF
It's true that no Approval strategy formula is useful for everyone, or even every progressive. Certainly I disagree with most progressives' Plurality strategy, which I claim is based on unreliable information. But even if it were true that Kerry were the best that we could get, I still wouldn't

Re: [EM] approval strategy

2005-01-17 Thread Russ Paielli
Let me try my first "normal" post. At the risk of repeating a point that has probably already been made many times in the past ... Voter strategy in Approval will be simple at first, but it could become very difficult later. Simple formulas are nice, but they cannot resolve the dilemma that vot

Re: [EM] approval strategy

2005-01-17 Thread Forest Simmons
From: Anthony Duff <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> Subject: Re: [EM] approval strategy My favourite approval strategy to recommend generally is "vote for your strategic plurality candidate and every candidate you like better." (suggested to me by Marc LeBlanc) Besides Kevin's suggesti

Re: [EM] approval strategy

2005-01-16 Thread Anthony Duff
My favourite approval strategy to recommend generally is "vote for your strategic plurality candidate and every candidate you like better." (suggested to me by Marc LeBlanc) Anthony --- James Green-Armytage <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > > I'm trying to understand the argument in favor of app

Re: [EM] approval strategy

2005-01-16 Thread Kevin Venzke
James, --- James Green-Armytage <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> a écrit : > I'm trying to understand the argument in favor of approval voting, and so > I need to know a bit more about approval strategy. Approval fans, does > this sound like a good statement of approval strategy?: > > "Approve your favorite

[EM] approval strategy

2005-01-16 Thread James Green-Armytage
I'm trying to understand the argument in favor of approval voting, and so I need to know a bit more about approval strategy. Approval fans, does this sound like a good statement of approval strategy?: "Approve your favorite candidate, plus anyone whom you like better than the frontrunner." Jame

Re: [EM] Approval strategy from rankings

2004-01-10 Thread Forest Simmons
On Mon, 5 Jan 2004, Bart Ingles wrote: > Bart Ingles wrote: > > The main reason is that, while we have no information about the voters' > > utilities for each candidate, the voters themselves surely would. > > > MIKE OSSIPOFF wrote: > > They don't. That's the assumption. All I said was that, if a

Re: [EM] Approval strategy from rankings

2004-01-05 Thread Bart Ingles
Bart Ingles wrote: > The main reason is that, while we have no information about the voters' > utilities for each candidate, the voters themselves surely would. > MIKE OSSIPOFF wrote: > They don't. That's the assumption. All I said was that, if a voter doesn't > have opinions about rating the c

Re: [EM] Approval strategy from rankings

2004-01-05 Thread Stephane Rouillon
  MIKE OSSIPOFF wrote : (David Gamble I think) continued: Thus in a four-way race, for a block of voters with identical preference orders, I would assume that 1/3 approve of three candidates, 1/3 approve two candidates, and the final 1/3 bullet vote. I believe this would give results identical to

Re: [EM] Approval strategy from rankings

2004-01-05 Thread Stephane Rouillon
  MIKE OSSIPOFF wrote : (David Gamble I think) continued: Thus in a four-way race, for a block of voters with identical preference orders, I would assume that 1/3 approve of three candidates, 1/3 approve two candidates, and the final 1/3 bullet vote. I believe this would give results identical to

[EM] Approval strategy from rankings

2004-01-05 Thread MIKE OSSIPOFF
In Approval, everyone should vote strategically. When there's no information about other voters' preferences or voting plans, people should vote for the above-mean candidates. But if the voter doesn't have ratings, but only a ranking of the candidates, then, as I said, s/he should vote for the b

[EM] Approval strategy for the methods comparison test

2004-01-04 Thread MIKE OSSIPOFF
In the examples for the test, rankings are specified. When the only information a voter has is his ranking of the candidates, when he doesn't have utility ratings of the candidates, and knows nothing about how others will vote, then the best Approval strategy is to vote for the best half of the

Re: [EM] Approval Strategy A- Question for Rob LeGrand

2003-11-24 Thread Kevin Venzke
Gervase, --- Gervase Lam <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> a écrit : > Some people argue that (Plurality) PR can cause too much diversity. This > can be detrimental when the elected chamber try to vote on things. This > is the reason why Italy went from proportional to a single seats election. I'm afrai

RE: [EM] Approval Strategy A- Question for Rob LeGrand

2003-11-23 Thread Gervase Lam
> From: "James Gilmour" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> > Subject: RE: [EM] Approval Strategy A- Question for Rob LeGrand > Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 09:34:05 - > I am surprised that Borda should receive any serious consideration at > all.  The defects of this voting syst

RE: [EM] Approval Strategy A- Question for Rob LeGrand

2003-11-23 Thread James Gilmour
Gervase wrote (in parts): > Some people argue that (Plurality) PR can cause too much > diversity. What is "Plurality PR"? I thought Plurality could give acceptable PR only by chance. Certainly the results of UK Plurality (single-seat and multi-seat) elections at all levels of government show

Re: [EM] Approval Strategy A- Question for Rob LeGrand

2003-11-22 Thread Gervase Lam
> Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 01:21:16 +0100 (CET) > From: =?iso-8859-1?q?Kevin=20Venzke?= <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> > Subject: Re: [EM] Approval Strategy A- Question for Rob LeGrand > My thoughts: > Plurality will be the most proportional because it can occasionally > elect a fluk

Re: [EM] Approval Strategy A- Question for Rob LeGrand

2003-11-20 Thread Kevin Venzke
David, --- [EMAIL PROTECTED] a écrit : > Hello Rob and List > > Recently I've been trying to develop a spreadsheet model to investigate the > effect of the use of different voting systems ( Plurality, IRV, Borda, > Condorcet and Approval) on the results of elections to a multi-member assembly

[EM] Approval Strategy A- Question for Rob LeGrand

2003-11-20 Thread Dgamble997
Hello Rob and List Recently I've been trying to develop a spreadsheet model to investigate the effect of the use of different voting systems ( Plurality, IRV, Borda, Condorcet and Approval) on the results of  elections to a multi-member assembly elected in single districts. I wanted to use in my

Re: [SPAM: #] [EM] Approval Strategy

2003-08-14 Thread Neal Finne
I don't know if this is considered within the scope of what is considered legitimate content on this list, but I'll send it anyway... Forest Simmons wrote: Simple answer for the man on the street: Approve the candidate that you would vote for under Plurality, as well as every candidate that you

[EM] Approval Strategy

2003-08-14 Thread Dgamble997
Adam Tarr wrote in response to my comments on Approval voting: "A few responses: 1)  People aren't idiots so they will probably only approve one of the front-runners in a race.  Understanding this isn't any harder than understanding the LO2E problem, which most people are capable of." If people

Re: [SPAM: #] [EM] Approval Strategy

2003-08-09 Thread Forest Simmons
Simple answer for the man on the street: Approve the candidate that you would vote for under Plurality, as well as every candidate that you like better. Civic minded voters can learn refinements of this basic (and perfectly adequate) strategy as easily as they can learn the rules of football and

Re: [SPAM: #] [EM] Approval Strategy

2003-08-08 Thread Alex Small
Neal Finne said: > I'd be reluctant to use any electoral system that requires voters to > vote strategically. Still, within those systems, approval is a huge > improvement over plurality or IRV. There is a theorem (named after its discoverers, Gibbard and Satterthwaite) which states that no ranked