Re: [EM] Consensus?: IRV vs. Primary w/Runoff

2002-02-05 Thread Steve Barney
CTED]> > To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] > Subject: Re: [EM] Consensus?: IRV vs. Primary w/Runoff > [...] > In other words, the simulation versus the real thing was the more > interesting comparison to me. In the case of TTR, there is no appreciable > difference (besides the potential secon

Re: [EM] Consensus?: IRV vs. Primary w/Runoff

2002-02-05 Thread Forest Simmons
On Tue, 5 Feb 2002, Markus Schulze wrote: > > Of course, then you have to explain why it is bad for an election method > to be "erratic". > Adam gave the explanation in his example. My only contribution was to describe the behavior of IRV as "erratic" in that context, and give a homely analo

Re: [EM] Consensus?: IRV vs. Primary w/Runoff

2002-02-05 Thread Forest Simmons
On Tue, 5 Feb 2002, Markus Schulze wrote in part: > > My argument is that in so far as IRV meets majority for solid coalitions > and independence from clones, IRV can hardly be called "erratic" compared > to primary with runoff. You didn't address my argument. Check the > paragraph of mine tha

Re: [EM] Consensus?: IRV vs. Primary w/Runoff

2002-02-05 Thread Markus Schulze
Dear Forest, you wrote (4 Feb 2002): > Markus wrote (4 Feb 2002): > > In so far as IRV meets majority for solid coalitions and independence > > from clones, IRV can hardly be called "erratic" compared to primary > > with runoff. > > Evidently the "erratic" that I have described is different from

Re: [EM] Consensus?: IRV vs. Primary w/Runoff

2002-02-05 Thread Markus Schulze
Dear Mike, you wrote (4 Feb 2002): > Markus wrote (4 Feb 2002): > > In so far as IRV meets majority for solid coalitions and independence > > from clones, IRV can hardly be called "erratic" compared to primary > > with runoff. > > IRV is erratic because it requires strict ordering, collects a ran

RE: Consensus?: IRV vs. Primary w/Runoff

2002-02-04 Thread DEMOREP1
Forest wrote in part- It seems to me that election methods can potentially have two kinds of problems with clones: (1) Some methods tend to give an advantage to parties that runs lots of clones. (2) Other methods tend to penalize parties that run lots of clones. --- D- The *cloneness* level is so

Re: [EM] Consensus?: IRV vs. Primary w/Runoff

2002-02-04 Thread Forest Simmons
On Mon, 4 Feb 2002, Markus Schulze wrote: > Dear Forest, > > you wrote (4 Feb 2002): > > It seems to me that election methods can potentially have two kinds of > > problems with clones: (1) Some methods tend to give an advantage to > > parties that runs lots of clones. (2) Other methods tend to

Re: [EM] Consensus?: IRV vs. Primary w/Runoff

2002-02-04 Thread Markus Schulze
Dear Forest, you wrote (4 Feb 2002): > It seems to me that election methods can potentially have two kinds of > problems with clones: (1) Some methods tend to give an advantage to > parties that runs lots of clones. (2) Other methods tend to penalize > parties that run lots of clones. Actually,

Re: [EM] Consensus?: IRV vs. Primary w/Runoff

2002-02-04 Thread Forest Simmons
On Sat, 2 Feb 2002, Markus Schulze wrote: > Dear Forest, > > you wrote (1 Feb 2002): > > Markus wrote (1 Feb 2002): > > > Forest wrote (1 Feb 2002): > > > > It seems to me that Primary with Runoff is virtually independent from > > > > clones, too, because it would take at least a two thirds majo

Re: [EM] Consensus?: IRV vs. Primary w/Runoff

2002-02-02 Thread Markus Schulze
Dear Forest, you wrote (1 Feb 2002): > Markus wrote (1 Feb 2002): > > Forest wrote (1 Feb 2002): > > > It seems to me that Primary with Runoff is virtually independent from > > > clones, too, because it would take at least a two thirds majority to > > > get two clones as finalists, unless the vot

RE: Consensus?: IRV vs. Primary w/Runoff

2002-02-02 Thread DEMOREP1
Forest wrote in part- I don't claim that Runoff will always pick the CW, only more often than IRV. D- So what are the odds that a CW will be in the final 2 with IRV or in the top 2 with Runoff ??? As usual I note that a single winner choice either gets a YES majority (of desired votes plu

Re: [EM] Consensus?: IRV vs. Primary w/Runoff

2002-02-01 Thread Forest Simmons
On Fri, 1 Feb 2002, Markus Schulze wrote: > Dear Forest, > > you wrote (1 Feb 2002): > > But (as I argued in a previous posting) the CW is less likely to survive > > the tortuous path to the final round in IRV, especially considering all of > > the propaganda telling voters that they can vote

Re: [EM] Consensus?: IRV vs. Primary w/Runoff

2002-02-01 Thread Markus Schulze
Dear Forest, you wrote (1 Feb 2002): > But (as I argued in a previous posting) the CW is less likely to survive > the tortuous path to the final round in IRV, especially considering all of > the propaganda telling voters that they can vote their sincere preference > order and still end up with "T

Re: [EM] Consensus?: IRV vs. Primary w/Runoff

2002-02-01 Thread Forest Simmons
On Fri, 1 Feb 2002, Markus Schulze wrote: > Dear Forest, > > you wrote (31 Jan 2002): > > The more manipulable a method is, the easier it eliminates the > > sincere Condorcet Winner. A method that places a premium on > > first place preferences and still eliminates the CW, even when > > the CW h

Re: [EM] Consensus?: IRV vs. Primary w/Runoff

2002-02-01 Thread Markus Schulze
Dear Forest, you wrote (31 Jan 2002): > The more manipulable a method is, the easier it eliminates the > sincere Condorcet Winner. A method that places a premium on > first place preferences and still eliminates the CW, even when > the CW has the greatest first place preference, is a very > manip

Re: Consensus?: IRV vs. Primary w/Runoff

2002-01-31 Thread Forest Simmons
On Thu, 31 Jan 2002, Steve Barney wrote in part: > remains true that some methods are more manipulatable than others. I am only > claiming that IRV is LESS manipulatable than the primary w/runoff procedure > when there are 4 or more candidates. Why do you believe this? Here's a rule of thumb t

Re: Consensus?: IRV vs. Primary w/Runoff

2002-01-31 Thread Steve Barney
bout an example showing a case where the IRV is more manipulatable than the Plurality Primary w/Runoff. SB > Date: Thu, 31 Jan 2002 02:23:24 EST > From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] > To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] > Subject: Re: Consensus?: IRV vs. Primary w/Runoff > > Forest wrote- > > All s

RE: Consensus?: IRV vs. Primary w/Runoff

2002-01-30 Thread DEMOREP1
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote- Let me try to clarify what I meant in the previous message. First, here is a definition. Primary w/Runoff: Elected candidate shall receive 50% plus one or more of the votes cast. If more than two people are nominated, a run-off shall occur between the two people who re

Re: [EM] Consensus?: IRV vs. Primary w/Runoff

2002-01-30 Thread Forest Simmons
On Wed, 30 Jan 2002, Steve Barney wrote in part: > Forest: > > Let me try to clarify what I meant in the previous message. First, here is a > definition. > > Primary w/Runoff: > Elected candidate shall receive 50% plus one or more of the votes cast. If more > than two people are nominated, a

Re: [EM] Consensus?: IRV vs. Primary w/Runoff

2002-01-30 Thread Steve Barney
ED]> > To: Election_Methods-list <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> > Subject: Re: [EM] Consensus?: IRV vs. Primary w/Runoff > > On Tue, 29 Jan 2002, Steve Barney wrote: > > > Do we have a consensus that the instant runoff vote (IRV) is MATHEMATICALLY > > better than the common two s

Re: [EM] Consensus?: IRV vs. Primary w/Runoff

2002-01-30 Thread Forest Simmons
On Tue, 29 Jan 2002, Bart Ingles wrote: > > > Forest Simmons wrote: > > > > Another angle just occurred to me: a simulation of the two step runoff > > might be preferable to the IRV simulation of the many step runoff. > > I believe this is what is known in Britain as the "supplemental vote".

RE: Consensus?: IRV vs. Primary w/Runoff

2002-01-29 Thread DEMOREP1
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote- Do we have a consensus that the instant runoff vote (IRV) is MATHEMATICALLY better than the common two step plurality vote (primary) with a follow-up runoff between the 2 top plurality vote getters? It seems to me that it cannot be worse, given that manipulation is bad. A

Re: [EM] Consensus?: IRV vs. Primary w/Runoff

2002-01-29 Thread Bart Ingles
Forest Simmons wrote: > > Another angle just occurred to me: a simulation of the two step runoff > might be preferable to the IRV simulation of the many step runoff. I believe this is what is known in Britain as the "supplemental vote". The other problem here is that you need to anticipate wh

Re: [EM] Consensus?: IRV vs. Primary w/Runoff

2002-01-29 Thread Bart Ingles
If talking about local non-partisan elections, I don't see much difference. Really, the math of IRV is so complex I don't see how you can make many claims about it either way vs. a system as similar as two-round runoff. One drawback of IRV is the possibility of a paradoxical outcome following a

Re: [EM] Consensus?: IRV vs. Primary w/Runoff

2002-01-29 Thread Forest Simmons
On Tue, 29 Jan 2002, Forest Simmons wrote: > On Tue, 29 Jan 2002, Steve Barney wrote: > > > Do we have a consensus that the instant runoff vote (IRV) is MATHEMATICALLY > > better than the common two step plurality vote (primary) with a follow-up > > runoff between the 2 top plurality vote getter

Re: [EM] Consensus?: IRV vs. Primary w/Runoff

2002-01-29 Thread Forest Simmons
On Tue, 29 Jan 2002, Steve Barney wrote: > Do we have a consensus that the instant runoff vote (IRV) is MATHEMATICALLY > better than the common two step plurality vote (primary) with a follow-up > runoff between the 2 top plurality vote getters? It seems to me that it cannot > be worse, given tha