Re: Winning votes Intuitive?

2002-06-07 Thread MIKE OSSIPOFF
This message from Blake is only a repetition of his past arguments, arguments that have been answered. I wouldn't bother to reply again to what both I and Adam Tarr have already amply replied to, except that there might be new members who haven't heard the previous recyclings of these old margins

Re: [EM] Winning-votes intuitive?

2002-06-05 Thread Blake Cretney
Sorry I haven't replied on this thread for a while. I think that I got some agreement on some factual points, but didn't really explain why these points mattered. I admit that you can come up with examples where, because of irrational voting, winning-votes is advantageous in terms of electing a

Re: [EM] Winning-votes intuitive?

2002-04-28 Thread Adam Tarr
Sorry for the huge quote block at the top of this message, but I tried to snip out that which was no longer relevant... > >>> A beats B, 70% winning votes (25% losing) > >>> B beats C, 52% winning votes (45% losing) > >>> C beats A, 50% winning votes (40% losing) > >>> > >>> By virtue of a sligh

Re: [EM] Winning-votes intuitive?

2002-04-11 Thread Blake Cretney
Adam Tarr wrote: > Despite the fact that this debate has been on the list since long > before I showed up, I really think we're making progress. I agree. > > I wrote and Blake responded > >>> A beats B, 70% winning votes (25% losing) >>> B beats C, 52% winning votes (45% losing) >>> C b

Re: Is winning votes intuitive?

2002-04-02 Thread MIKE OSSIPOFF
I'd asked: >Ok, winning in violation of majority rule, by truncation, in the way that >can happen in margins methods--how will that happen in wv methods >by flipping a coin? Rob replied: Say a voter's sincere vote is A>B>C and he could gain some advantage under margins by insincerely votin

Re: Winning votes intuitive?

2002-04-01 Thread Rob LeGrand
Mike wrote: > Ok, winning in violation of majority rule, by truncation, in the way that > can happen in margins methods--how will that happen in wv methods > by flipping a coin? Say a voter's sincere vote is A>B>C and he could gain some advantage under margins by insincerely voting A>B=C. Under

Re: [EM] Winning-votes intuitive?

2002-04-01 Thread Dave Ketchum
On Mon, 1 Apr 2002 01:04:43 EST [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: > Adam wrote in part- > > One final thought. on 3/20 I posted a message about Approval Completed > Condorcet. The idea was to use a graded ballot (ABCDEF, for example). If > there was not a Condorcet winner, then the candidate with th

Re: Winning votes intuitive?

2002-03-31 Thread MIKE OSSIPOFF
Rob LeGrand said: I come from a mathematical background; specifically, I'm a student of game theory. So I tend to be pessimistic: I'd rather assume that whatever voters could do to help themselves, they will do. The argument that any insincere strategy that works under margins also works by fl

[EM] Re: Winning-votes intuitive?

2002-03-31 Thread DEMOREP1
ALL methods have problems with 3 or more choices due to having divided majorities (if there is no first choice majority). 2 examples -- Initial votes in each example 26 AB 25 BA 49 Z 100 34 ABC 33 BCA 32 CAB 99 Who, if anybody, has a YES majority ??? If the initial polls do show any

Re: Winning-votes intuitive?

2002-03-31 Thread Rob LeGrand
Adam is certainly the most convincing winning-votes advocate I've seen on the list (and I've never encountered one off-list). I like that he makes his (not unreasonable) assumptions clear. It's hard to imagine a better case for winning-votes, but until there's a better one, I'm still a "margins"

Re: [EM] Winning-votes intuitive?

2002-03-31 Thread Adam Tarr
Despite the fact that this debate has been on the list since long before I showed up, I really think we're making progress. I wrote and Blake responded >>A beats B, 70% winning votes (25% losing) >>B beats C, 52% winning votes (45% losing) >>C beats A, 50% winning votes (40% losing) >> >>By vir

Re: [EM] Winning-votes intuitive?

2002-03-21 Thread Blake Cretney
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: >I apologize for ataking a while to get back to this thread; I have been out of e-mail >contact. > Take all the time you want. I far prefer thoughtful replies to speedy ones, and I hope my own email reflects this. > >Blake wrote, I responded, and Blake wrote again, >

Re: [EM] Winning-votes intuitive?

2002-03-10 Thread Blake Cretney
Adam Tarr wrote: >> The point is that if my first choice is A, the method penalizes me >> for not choosing between B and C, by strengthening one or both >> candidates, and therefore weakening A. > > > Certainly not both candidates! In the zero-information election, you > don't know which one

Re: [EM] Winning-votes intuitive?

2002-02-26 Thread Adam Tarr
> Partial rankings are penalized. I don't think it would be a strong exaggeration to characterize this as the crux of your argument. You basically say, "Ranked Pairs ignores partial rankings, while SSD does not. Since partial rankings are penalized, this allows those who are unaware of this

Re: Is Winning Votes intuitive?

2002-02-25 Thread MIKE OSSIPOFF
In reply to: >You're going to have to explain to me the scenario where some people try to >strategically truncate in SSD, only to be burned for it. > Blake said: Isn't that the point of your example? The Bush voters, not understanding SSD, strategically truncate and are thwarted as a result

Re: Winning Votes intuitive?

2002-02-25 Thread MIKE OSSIPOFF
Rob Legrand said: 49:Bush>Gore=Nader 24:Gore>Bush=Nader 27:Nader>Gore>Bush which should be equivalent to 49:Bush>Gore>Nader 49:Bush>Nader>Gore 24:Gore>Bush>Nader 24:Gore>Nader>Bush 54:Nader>Gore>Bush I reply: Why do you believe that's equivalent? In one case the Bush voters express no prefe

Re: Winning-votes intuitive?

2002-02-22 Thread Forest Simmons
On Thu, 21 Feb 2002, Adam Tarr wrote: > Forest wrote: > > >[...] if we interpret truncations as NO and ranked as YES. > > > >This time Bush wins, having greater approval than Gore. > > > >I suggest that this is a reasonable interpretation, and that the resulting > >version of Approval Complete

Re: [EM] Re: Winning-votes intuitive?

2002-02-22 Thread Forest Simmons
On Thu, 21 Feb 2002, [iso-8859-1] Alex Small wrote: > > Why not go one step further and give voters more flexibility? Simply ask > them to give each candidate a rank, and also a yes/no. The ballot wouldn't > be all that much more complicated. Then they could participate in every > pairwise

Re: [EM] Winning-votes intuitive?

2002-02-22 Thread Adam Tarr
>Are you claiming that it is always, or generally, a bad idea to give a >complete ranking in RP. I believe that to be false. If you don't have >any particular strategic knowledge, you should give a full ranking. I agree, it is unlikely that this is always the case. In my example, however,

Re: Winning-votes intuitive?

2002-02-21 Thread Adam Tarr
Forest wrote: >[...] if we interpret truncations as NO and ranked as YES. > >This time Bush wins, having greater approval than Gore. > >I suggest that this is a reasonable interpretation, and that the resulting >version of Approval Completed Condorcet is not too shabby. The problem with handling

Re: Winning-votes intuitive?

2002-02-21 Thread DEMOREP1
Adams latest example- 49: Bush 12: Gore, Bush 12: Gore, Nader 27: Nader,Gore Bush beats Nader 61-39 Nader beats Gore 27-24 Gore beats Bush 51-49 --- D- Now there is a circular tie. Again- who, if anybody, has a YES majority ???

Re: Winning-votes intuitive?

2002-02-21 Thread Forest Simmons
On Thu, 21 Feb 2002 [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: > Adams latest example- > > 49: Bush > 12: Gore, Bush > 12: Gore, Nader > 27: Nader,Gore > > Bush beats Nader 61-39 > Nader beats Gore 27-24 > Gore beats Bush 51-49 > --- > D- Now there is a circular tie. > > Again- who, if anybody, has a YES maj

Re: [EM] Winning-votes intuitive?

2002-02-21 Thread Adam Tarr
Blake wrote: >So, is the point of your example that the Bush voter's are dishonest >then? Dishonest? Is all strategic voting tantamount to dishonesty? If so, then I agree that the Bush voters are dishonest. If not, I see no reason to slander the (imaginary) Bush voters like that. Their

Re: [EM] Winning-votes intuitive?

2002-02-21 Thread Blake Cretney
Adam Tarr wrote: > This is a totally reasonable strategic truncation on the part of the > Bush camp. They have nothing to lose, since Nader is a sure loser > anyway, and the election to gain. If these people vote Gore second > (which is their obvious second choice) then all they do is make G

Re: [EM] Winning-votes intuitive?

2002-02-21 Thread Forest Simmons
On Wed, 20 Feb 2002, Rob LeGrand wrote: > Adam wrote: > > 49: Bush > > 24: Gore > > 27: Nader,Gore > > > > Bush beats Nader 49-27 > > Nader beats Gore 27-24 > > Gore beats Bush 51-49 > > > > With ranked pairs, the Gore-Bush defeat is overturned, and Bush wins, > > despite a true majority prefer

Re: [EM] Winning-votes intuitive?

2002-02-21 Thread Adam Tarr
Rob wrote: >I think the reason the winning-votes method seems more intuitive in this >case is that, looking at the votes, there seem to be 49 Bush voters and 51 >Gore/Nader voters, so a Bush result seems wrong. But that's >misleading. The 24 Gore voters don't prefer Nader to Bush. If they h

[EM] Winning-votes intuitive?

2002-02-20 Thread Rob LeGrand
Adam wrote: > 49: Bush > 24: Gore > 27: Nader,Gore > > Bush beats Nader 49-27 > Nader beats Gore 27-24 > Gore beats Bush 51-49 > > With ranked pairs, the Gore-Bush defeat is overturned, and Bush wins, > despite a true majority preferring Gore to Bush. In SSD the Nader-Gore > defeat gets overturne