Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet, halve the cost within 6yrs

2013-10-08 Thread Hoegberg .
> Date: Fri, 4 Oct 2013 17:24:37 -0400 > From: r...@beebe.org > To: ev@lists.evdl.org > Subject: Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet, halve the cost > within 6yrs > > Not according to people using them. But I will save th

Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet, halve the cost within 6yrs

2013-10-05 Thread Jukka Järvinen
-boun...@lists.evdl.org] On > > Behalf > >> Of Martin WINLOW > >> Sent: Friday, October 04, 2013 2:38 AM > >> To: Electric Vehicle Discussion List > >> Cc: 1Me Met > >> Subject: Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet, halve the cost > &g

Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet, halve the cost within 6yrs

2013-10-05 Thread Martin WINLOW
hicle Discussion List >> Cc: 1Me Met >> Subject: Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet, halve the cost > within >> 6yrs >> >> Hi David, >> >> I've done the math (as you US bods say) and posted about the results here > on >> the EVDL

Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet, halve the cost within 6yrs

2013-10-04 Thread Rick Beebe
Not according to people using them. But I will save this message and send you back a report in the Spring after I've gone through a Connecticut winter with them. --Rick On 10/04/2013 12:15 AM, Al wrote: > The 100Ah cells will not have a happy life no matter what the data sheet > says. > The cold

Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet, halve the cost within 6yrs

2013-10-04 Thread Rush Dougherty
icle Discussion List > Cc: 1Me Met > Subject: Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet, halve the cost within > 6yrs > > Hi David, > > I've done the math (as you US bods say) and posted about the results here on > the EVDL before and if you do too then you will se

Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet, halve the cost within 6yrs

2013-10-04 Thread Martin WINLOW
Hi David, I've done the math (as you US bods say) and posted about the results here on the EVDL before and if you do too then you will see there is a very big gap in price between what cells are costing now and the cost of the constituents. Even allowing a reasonable cost attributable to manufa

Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet, halve the cost within 6yrs

2013-10-04 Thread Martin WINLOW
Tom, See my reply to Peter posted just now. For us in the UK Li has fallen almost 50% in the last 4-5 years. MW On 3 Oct 2013, at 14:44, tomw wrote: > /"The price of lithium has already dropped to half of what it used to be > I priced out a lithium bank for my truck back in 2009 and it's

Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet, halve the cost within 6yrs

2013-10-03 Thread EVDL Administrator
On 3 Oct 2013 at 22:45, Lee Hart wrote: > A better metric would be cost per KWH (at some useful discharge rate, like > the 1-hour rate). > > Other useful metrics are weight per KWH, and volume per KWH (also at > useful discharge rates). And cost per mile (or km) of usage, based on capacity and a

Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet, halve the cost within 6yrs

2013-10-03 Thread Al
October 03, 2013 10:23 AM Subject: Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet, halve the cost within 6yrs On 10/03/2013 10:06 AM, Zeke Yewdall wrote: I don't remember costs per AH back then, but I remember that it was going to be about $12 to $15k for a 96 volt 180AH bank back wh

Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet, halve the cost within 6yrs

2013-10-03 Thread Lee Hart
Zeke Yewdall wrote: I'm not used to pricing batteries per AH... without knowing the voltage, I think it's kind of useless, and I know it's for a 3.2 volt cell in this case, but I'm used to thinking per pack voltage, not cell voltage, and just using however many cells or batteries necessary to ach

Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet, halve the cost within 6yrs

2013-10-03 Thread Zeke Yewdall
I'm not sure what the prices of lithium are doing, but I suspect lithium is still undergoing a lot of manufacturing improvements which may decrease the cost, whereas lead is much the same battery as 80 years ago, so its cost is largely settled manufacturing costs plus commodity costs of materials.

Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet, halve the cost within 6yrs

2013-10-03 Thread David Nelson
Do you really think they will continue to drop in price much? Just look at the cost of the aluminum and copper. Unless something changes significantly in the amount of Al and Cu per Ah I don't think prices will go down much. On Thu, Oct 3, 2013 at 7:07 PM, Zeke Yewdall wrote: > Ummm.. my math

Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet, halve the cost within 6yrs

2013-10-03 Thread Zeke Yewdall
Ummm.. my math is a little funny there, you are right. Make that $1.40/AH. But, right around $7500 for a 96 volt 180AH pack is accurate. I'm not used to pricing batteries per AH... without knowing the voltage, I think it's kind of useless, and I know it's for a 3.2 volt cell in this case, b

Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet, halve the cost within 6yrs

2013-10-03 Thread Hoegberg .
> Date: Thu, 3 Oct 2013 09:10:36 -0700 > From: cou...@casadelgato.com > To: ev@lists.evdl.org > Subject: Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet, halve the cost > within 6yrs > > On Thu Oct 03 07:06:56 PDT 2013 zyewd...@gmail.com

Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet, halve the cost within 6yrs

2013-10-03 Thread John Lussmyer
On Thu Oct 03 07:06:56 PDT 2013 zyewd...@gmail.com said: >performed per specs, and talk of group buys and all), and now it's more >like $7.5k for an in stock CALB bank, plus BMS of course, around $0.71/AH. >From where? Sure isn't Evolve Electric - nor any other place that I can find. -- Try my

Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet, halve the cost within 6yrs

2013-10-03 Thread Zeke Yewdall
That's from my local company that I can pick them up in person (evolve electrics in Boulder) I probably could find them cheaper on line, true. That's also the price for a 96 volt pack... high voltage packs are cheaper per cell. Z On Thu, Oct 3, 2013 at 8:18 AM, SLPinfo.org wrote: > Zeke >

Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet, halve the cost within 6yrs

2013-10-03 Thread Rick Beebe
On 10/03/2013 10:06 AM, Zeke Yewdall wrote: > I don't remember costs per AH back then, but I remember that it was going > to be about $12 to $15k for a 96 volt 180AH bank back when it priced it out > (it might have been more like 2008, I seem to remember Thundersky being > mostly what was available

Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet, halve the cost within 6yrs

2013-10-03 Thread Evan Tuer
I'm assuming the "now" price is based on 100AH cells, which are what's available and you can now get away with using them in most conversions as they have improved power density. It's true that the "price of admission" is lower, perhaps halved, but price per kWh is not changed much from when I did

Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet, halve the cost within 6yrs

2013-10-03 Thread SLPinfo.org
Zeke Where are you finding these prices? The websites I look at put 180ah CALB cells at $225-235 each. Peter Flipsen On Oct 3, 2013 7:07 AM, "Zeke Yewdall" wrote: > I don't remember costs per AH back then, but I remember that it was going > to be about $12 to $15k for a 96 volt 180AH bank back

Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet, halve the cost within 6yrs

2013-10-03 Thread Zeke Yewdall
I don't remember costs per AH back then, but I remember that it was going to be about $12 to $15k for a 96 volt 180AH bank back when it priced it out (it might have been more like 2008, I seem to remember Thundersky being mostly what was available and lots of discussion on whether they actually per

Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet, halve the cost within 6yrs

2013-10-03 Thread tomw
/"The price of lithium has already dropped to half of what it used to be I priced out a lithium bank for my truck back in 2009 and it's half what it was then, now."/ Really? I purchased CALB SE cells in the spring of 2009 for $1.10/AH. Where can I get them for $0.55/Ah? -- View this messag

Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet, halve the cost within 6yrs

2013-10-02 Thread Manfred Bartz
-boun...@lists.evdl.org [mailto:ev-boun...@lists.evdl.org] On >> Behalf >> Of Jukka Järvinen >> Sent: 02 October, 2013 11:38 AM >> To: Electric Vehicle Discussion List >> Subject: Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet,halve the cost >> within 6yrs >> >

Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet, halve the cost within 6yrs

2013-10-02 Thread Jukka Järvinen
> Behalf > Of Jukka Järvinen > Sent: 02 October, 2013 11:38 AM > To: Electric Vehicle Discussion List > Subject: Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet,halve the cost > within 6yrs > > Bruce: "There are many of these pontificating pieces, that I usually pass &g

Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet, halve the cost within 6yrs

2013-10-02 Thread Bruce EVangel Parmenter
13 11:38 AM > To: Electric Vehicle Discussion List > Subject: Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet,halve the cost > within 6yrs > > Bruce: "There are many of these pontificating pieces, that I usually pass > on, as they seem to all talk, talk, & talk about the futu

Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet, halve the cost within 6yrs

2013-10-02 Thread Peri Hartman
ssion List Subject: Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet,halve the cost within 6yrs Bruce: "There are many of these pontificating pieces, that I usually pass on, as they seem to all talk, talk, & talk about the future, and not much tangible meat to make what they say viable.&quo

Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet, halve the cost within 6yrs

2013-10-02 Thread Jukka Järvinen
Bruce: "There are many of these pontificating pieces, that I usually pass on, as they seem to all talk, talk, & talk about the future, and not much tangible meat to make what they say viable." I have found it pretty weird that all everyone is doing is just develop 'new things'. Not with the old th

Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet, halve the cost within 6yrs

2013-10-02 Thread Zeke Yewdall
Yeah I want a plugin that I can drive from Seattle to Chicago without stopping, nevermind that a human can't drive that long without a few hours for recharging... :p The price of lithium has already dropped to half of what it used to be I priced out a lithium bank for my truck back in 200

Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet, halve the cost within 6yrs

2013-10-02 Thread Bruce EVangel Parmenter
[ref http://electric-vehicle-discussion-list.413529.n4.nabble.com/EVLN-Pack-prices-likely-to-plummet-halve-the-cost-within-6yrs-tp4665474.html ] There are many of these pontificating pieces, that I usually pass on, as they seem to all talk, talk, & talk about the future, and not much tangible meat

Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Pack prices likely to plummet, halve the cost within 6yrs

2013-10-02 Thread tomw
If battery costs decrease to half of present costs, say e.g. $10k down to $5k, the vehicle cost should decrease by $5k. Saying it won't due to "complex electronics" means the costs of those electronics would have to increase from their present cost to eat up part or all of that $5k. I think eit