http://learnbonds.com/125732/tesla-motors-inc-just-solved-its-biggest-problem-in-fremont/
Tesla Motors Inc Just Solved Its Biggest Problem In Fremont
December 19, 2015  Paul Shea

[image  
http://2zeobl3ojpj43evvq11p5yodq7e.wpengine.netdna-cdn.com/wp-content/uploads/Tesla-Model-X1.jpg
Tesla  Model X parked outside Tesla Motors’ Fremont plant
]

Tesla Motors Inc has been under a huge amount of pressure to perform in the
wake of its underwhelming Model X event [
http://learnbonds.com/124358/tesla-motors-inc-tsla-model-x-still-locked-in-fremont-factory/
]. It’s been clear for weeks, and perhaps months, that the firm is
struggling to build the EV SUV. Those worries should begin to recede today.
Elon Musk managed to deliver the first Signature Model X on Friday night.

The person who received Signature Model X #1 posted on the Tesla Motors Club
forums about their experience. The post means that recent info about bookers
receiving calls about their Model X were about right. “Mid-December” was
indeed the date at which the Model X shipments started [
http://learnbonds.com/125602/tesla-motors-inc-said-to-set-model-x-122-shipment-for-mid-december/
].

Tesla Motors Inc solves a major problem

Tesla Motors Club forum [
http://www.teslamotorsclub.com/showthread.php/59174-Signature-1-delivered-today
] user adelman reported on Friday night that Signature Model X number one
was delivered in Fremont on December 18. He added that the firm planned to
deliver even more units of the EV SUV on Friday night and later in the
thread supplied pictures of the first Signature Model X being delivered.

adelman has held the Signature Model X booking for more than three years and
has patiently waited for Elon Musk and his team to put the car together and
get it out the door. That long wait, and $40,000 loan to Tesla Motors Inc,
likely feels worth it today, but we’ll have to wait some time before we get
an unbiased review of the car.

Bonnie Norman, and angel investor who holds the second Signature Model X
booking, told the Tesla Motors Club forum, and Twitter [
https://twitter.com/bonnienorman/status/677703491498962946
], that she would be picking up her Model X on Sunday. That doesn’t speak to
the speed at which the firm is shipping the cars, however, it simply appears
to be the first date of availability for both parties.

For now we can be sure that Tesla Motors biggest problem, a stunning lack of
shipments of its prized Model X, is over. What we don’t know is how the firm
will manage to grow its fleet from here on out.

How many 2015 Model X shipments will there be?

Tesla Motors is sure to get a big group of Model X shipments to their buyers
this week, but nobody can be sure how many the firm will actually get out
before the end of the year. For those with shares this question is of prime
importance, not because it will really impact full year numbers, but because
it give some insight  what stage the firm’s production line is at.

Those backing Tesla Motors Inc want to see the Model X, and the firm as a
whole, ready for the prime time sooner rather than later. Earlier this year
Elon Musk said the firm could likely produce an average of 1,600-1,800 cars
in the two lines at its Fremont factory.

Tesla Motors will release shipment numbers for the fourth quarter some time
around the first week of January. In its third quarter release, the firm
didn’t break out its shipments into Model S and Model X numbers. Back then
only six or so units of the EV SUV had left the Fremont factory, however.

We know that Tesla Motors is going to fall well short of the shipment
numbers Wall Street put forth earlier on this year. That has been clear,
however, since the firm officially downgraded its forecast for full year
shipments.

We’ll have to wait and see how Tesla Motors counts the Model X on its fourth
quarter shipment numbers. If the firm doesn’t offer a glimpse into the
success of the car by then, we’ll be waiting until the start of February,
and the release of the firm’s full results for the fourth quarter, to get a
picture of its success in the period.

No time to celebrate at Tesla Motors

Model X shipments will do a lot for the confidence of those with shares in
Tesla Motors over the coming weeks, assuming that the car lives up to the
Tesla quality mark. That’s a good thing for Elon Musk’s firm, but it’s far
from the only problem that’s weighing on its shares right now.

The biggest issue for shareholders is total shipment numbers in the fourth
quarter. That’s not a problem unless Tesla Motors Inc falls short. Dan
Galves of Credit Suisse reckons that Tesla Motors will hit its target of
17,000 shipments in the three months through December and have a much
cleaner 2016 as a result.

The biggest issue facing Tesla Motors Inc in the coming year will be much
the same as 2015’s troubles. The firm will release its targets for the full
year alongside an earnings report at the start of February. As soon as it
does people will begin to question whether the firm can really hit the
announced targets.

As well as that, just like 2015, Tesla Motors is loaded up with debt and
it’s still burning cash. The fourth quarter of 2015 is likely to see record
breaking sales, and if Tesla Motors edged back on its spending we might even
see positive cash flow for the quarter. For the full year, however, the
picture is very clear.

Tesla Motors is going to burn cash for a significant period ahead, and it
may have to head back to the capital markets in search of support. With Wall
Street just absorbing the impact of a higher Fed target rate, that may not
be as easy as it was in the past.

Tesla Motors had its celebration for the Model X, at least in the eyes of
the public, on September 29. There’s little time for the firm to mark the
occasion this time around. Elon Musk and the rest of the EV-making team will
be focused on getting as many cars as possible out of the Fremont factor
before the new year strikes.
[© learnbonds.com]



http://www.cheatsheet.com/automobiles/tesla-model-x-is-flying-off-production-lines.html/?a=viewall
Tesla Model X Is Flying Off Production Lines
[December 22, 2015]  If you ordered a Tesla Model X today, you would see the
car delivered in “the latter half of 2016,” according to the automaker’s
current timetable ... a few models of the electric SUV found their owners in
the first three months of production ...




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