Re: Several Criticisms of the Doomsday Argument

2008-01-23 Thread Russell Standish
This has been discussed on the list before. See my book Theory of Nothing, in particular page 88. Its available as a free download if you haven't bought a copy. Cheers On Wed, Jan 23, 2008 at 01:31:40PM -0800, Rosy At Random wrote: > > Hi, > > I'm just mulling this over in my head, but what ef

Re: Several Criticisms of the Doomsday Argument

2008-01-23 Thread Rosy At Random
Hi, I'm just mulling this over in my head, but what effect do you guys think a many worlds context would have on the Doomsday argument? There seems to be an implicit assumption that we're _either_ in a universe where the human race has a long future, _or_ we're not. The missing possibility there,

Re: Several Criticisms of the Doomsday Argument

2007-11-27 Thread Gene Ledbetter
Günther Greindl <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > If all of the balls had been numbered unambiguously from 1 through > 1,000,010, the statistical effect produced by Bostrom's ambiguous ball > 7 would vanish. Agreed. Also consider another version: do not name the balls in the first urn 1 to 10, but w

Re: Several Criticisms of the Doomsday Argument

2007-11-27 Thread Günther Greindl
HI, > If all of the balls had been numbered unambiguously from 1 through > 1,000,010, the statistical effect produced by Bostrom's ambiguous ball > 7 would vanish. Agreed. Also consider another version: do not name the balls in the first urn 1 to 10, but with uniform random numbers of the inte