What We Learned From the Health Care Summit

By PAUL KRUGMAN
<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/opinion/editorialsandoped/oped/columnists\
/paulkrugman/index.html?inline=nyt-per>  - February 25, 2010
        If we're lucky, Thursday's summit will turn out to have
been the last act in the great health reform debate, the prologue to
passage of an imperfect but nonetheless history-making bill. If so, the
debate will have ended as it began: with Democrats offering moderate
plans that draw heavily on past Republican ideas, and Republicans
responding with slander and misdirection.

Nobody really expected anything different. But what was nonetheless
revealing about the meeting was the fact that Republicans — who had
weeks to prepare for this particular event, and have been campaigning
against reform for a year — didn't bother making a case that
could withstand even minimal fact-checking.

It was obvious how things would go as soon as the first Republican
speaker, Senator Lamar Alexander, delivered his remarks.


He was presumably chosen because he's folksy and likable and could
make his party's position sound reasonable. But right off the bat he
delivered a whopper, asserting that under the Democratic plan, "for
millions of Americans, premiums will go up."

Wow. I guess you could say that he wasn't technically lying, since
the Congressional Budget Office analysis of the Senate Democrats'
plan does say that average payments for insurance would go up. But it
also makes it clear that this would happen only because people would buy
more and better coverage. The "price of a given amount of insurance
coverage" would fall, not rise — and the actual cost to many
Americans would fall sharply thanks to federal aid.

His fib on premiums was quickly followed by a fib on process. Democrats,
having already passed a health bill with 60 votes in the Senate, now
plan to use a simple majority vote to modify some of the numbers, a
process known as reconciliation. Mr. Alexander declared that
reconciliation has "never been used for something like this."
Well, I don't know what "like this" means, but
reconciliation has, in fact, been used for previous health reforms —
and was used to push through both of the Bush tax cuts at a budget cost
of $1.8 trillion, twice the bill for health reform.

What really struck me about the meeting, however, was the inability of
Republicans to explain how they propose dealing with the issue that,
rightly, is at the emotional center of much health care debate: the
plight of Americans who suffer from pre-existing medical conditions. In
other advanced countries, everyone gets essential care whatever their
medical history. But in America, a bout of cancer, an inherited genetic
disorder, or even, in some states, having been a victim of domestic
violence can make you uninsurable, and thus make adequate health care
unaffordable.

One of the great virtues of the Democratic plan is that it would finally
put an end to this unacceptable case of American exceptionalism. But
what's the Republican answer? Mr. Alexander was strangely
inarticulate on the matter, saying only that "House Republicans have
some ideas about how my friend in Tullahoma can continue to afford
insurance for his wife who has had breast cancer." He offered no
clue about what those ideas might be.

In reality, House Republicans don't have anything to offer to
Americans with troubled medical histories. On the contrary, their big
idea — allowing unrestricted competition across state lines —
would lead to a race to the bottom. The states with the weakest
regulations — for example, those that allow insurance companies to
deny coverage to victims of domestic violence — would set the
standards for the nation as a whole. The result would be to afflict the
afflicted, to make the lives of Americans with pre-existing conditions
even harder.

Don't take my word for it. Look at the Congressional Budget Office
analysis of the House G.O.P. plan. That analysis is discreetly worded,
with the budget office declaring somewhat obscurely that while the
number of uninsured Americans wouldn't change much, "the pool of
people without health insurance would end up being less healthy, on
average, than under current law." But here's the translation:
While some people would gain insurance, the people losing insurance
would be those who need it most. Under the Republican plan, the American
health care system would become even more brutal than it is now.

So what did we learn from the summit? What I took away was the arrogance
that the success of things like the death-panel smear has obviously
engendered in Republican politicians. At this point they obviously
believe that they can blandly make utterly misleading assertions, saying
things that can be easily refuted, and pay no price. And they may well
be right.

But Democrats can have the last laugh. All they have to do — and
they have the power to do it — is finish the job, and enact health
reform.
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/02/26/opinion/26krugman.html



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