Re: [FRIAM] [EXT] the Monty Hall problem

2023-08-11 Thread Nicholas Thompson
In *Stella Maris*, Cormac Macarthy's new novel depicting the inner life of a female polymaths, the author has this wonderful quote concerning the relation between mathematical intuition and mathematical proof: *The core question is not how you do math but how does the unconscious do it. How is i

Re: [FRIAM] [EXT] the Monty Hall problem

2023-08-11 Thread John Kennison
Hi Nick, I think you are onto something with the "intuition trap". When I first heard the Monty Hall problem, I suspected the best strategy would be to stick to one's original choice. If Monty Hall is trying to get me to change my choice, he is probably trying to avoid having to give me an expe