Doug -
I'm going to be so glad when tomorrow is over. Either totally
disgusted and glad, or just normal cynical disgusted and glad. But
really glad.
And me, I'm just getting wound up!
Getting a little (morbidly?) fascinated by the prediction markets.
Steve, this is a comprehensive resource. It is somewhat reassuring that
the general shapes and inflection points of the curves roughly match the
WTA market graph.
And disappointing as well, in its predictions that very nearly exactly half
of our fine fellow American citizens are apparently
On Mon, Nov 5, 2012 at 12:52 PM, Steve Smith sasm...@swcp.com wrote:
I'm curious what this group thinks about these prediction markets?
1. Are they useful?
They are based on the correctness of the 4 Wisdom of Crowds criteria. In
this case not all are met.
Slate is Aggregating Prediction Markets for 2008 US Presidential
racehttp://feeds.feedburner.com/%7Er/oreilly/radar/atom/%7E3/125889130/slate_is_aggreg.html
Posted: 18 Jun 2007 04:01 PM CDT
By Brady Forrest
[image: democrat candidates]
Slate http://specials.slate.com/futures/2008/ is
