[geo] Re: runaway climate change

2009-02-02 Thread Govindasamy bala
Runaway feedback means running its course completely. It is feedback specific. A good example is the presumed water vapor feedback on Venus. Apparently, earth and venus started with similar amount of h2o. Because Venus started with much higher surface temperature, the evolution of temperature and

[geo] Re: Crop residue ocean permanent sequestration

2009-02-02 Thread markcapron
Stuart,   Why bundle and stash terrestrial straw.  Growing straw requires substantial fresh water and nutrients.  You could bundle and stash algae instead.  How about sargassum or kelp?  A macro-algae can be bundled in large mesh "tea bags" with much of the water being squeezed out during the bund

[geo] Ocean fertilization: dead in the water?

2009-02-02 Thread Steven Lutz
http://www.nature.com/news/2009/090128/full/457520b.html Game Over - "Ocean iron fertilization is simply no longer to be taken as a viable option for mitigation of the CO2 problem" --~--~-~--~~~---~--~~ You received this message because you are subscribed to the Go

[geo] Re: runaway climate change

2009-02-02 Thread Govindasamy bala
Page # 71 of the book "Global warming: Understanding the forecast" by David Archer has a nice description on runaway feedback. BTW, I guess there is no such thing as runaway climate change B On Mon, Feb 2, 2009 at 5:55 PM, Andrew Lockley wrote: > > I have been unable to find any citations in

[geo] the current state of science and scientists.

2009-02-02 Thread Tip
Hello All, "A government committee had as a witness a government-employed doctor. When asked if his public speeches throughout the country presented both sides of the discussion touching compulsory national health insurance, this witness answered, "I don't know what you mean by both sides." "Thi

[geo] Re: runaway climate change

2009-02-02 Thread Oliver Wingenter
Dear Group, To me a runaway greenhouse means the negative feedbacks have been overwhelmed by accelerating positive forcing. In such a case only an ice age could reverse the runaway effect, a few other checks could contribute (CLAW hypothesis). If an ice age cannot cool the planet and stop the p

[geo] Steering, acceleration and brakes.

2009-02-02 Thread Stephen Salter
Hi All Oliver is being too pessimistic. If it seems as if we are overdoing the cooling and emission reductions we rapidly switch off the cooling systems and start releasing some of the sequestered CO2, perhaps even persuading people to burn more coal. Any control engineer will tell you that

[geo] Re: Steering, acceleration and brakes.

2009-02-02 Thread Eugene I. Gordon
Wow! Saying Oliver is being too pessimistic is kindly. Runaway greenhouse does not mean negative feedback is being overwhelmed by positive forcing. The climate system is controlled by by positive feedback and is unstable until the feedback saturates, which occurs at about 24 C and 10 C. Those are

[geo] Few thoughts about 4 different types of runaway climate change

2009-02-02 Thread Albert Kallio
Few thoughts about different types of runaway climate change 1) Positive feebacks and anthropogenic releases in combinations move the climate system to a state of increasing independency from its initial anthropogenic GHG influence. Human inability, where a true inability to effect GHG reduct

[geo] Runaway climate change as Good and pop as "Black Hole"

2009-02-02 Thread Albert Kallio
Hi, I think that "runaway climate change" or "runaway global warming" are in such good use that trying to do them away probably hurts more than benefits, sometimes the public embrace things like words and concepts, as "global warming" and "climate change" embrases everyone, the legitimate sta

[geo] Re: Runaway climate change as Good and pop as "Black Hole"

2009-02-02 Thread Christopher Green, Prof.
>From "catastrophe" to "runaway" climate change/global warming; will opportunism and hyperbole never end? I guess the question answers itself. What started with responsible and serious geo-engineering science by including Crutzen, Caldiera, Wigley, Keith, Schelling, MacCracken, and has been serious

[geo] Re: Runaway climate change as Good and pop as "Black Hole"

2009-02-02 Thread David Schnare
Per Chris - Here! Here! dschnare On Mon, Feb 2, 2009 at 3:06 PM, Christopher Green, Prof. < chris.gr...@mcgill.ca> wrote: > From "catastrophe" to "runaway" climate change/global warming; will > opportunism and hyperbole never end? I guess the question answers itself. > What started with respons

[geo] Re: runaway climate change

2009-02-02 Thread David Schnare
The concept, as applied to climate change, was introduced to discuss loss of ice shelves, an "irreversible" event over the short run, and one with large consequences. Then, the concept was expanded to the speed of the event, also as applied to the ice shelves. Then it was expanded to the "fat tai

[geo] Re: runaway climate change

2009-02-02 Thread Alvia Gaskill
[geo] Re: runaway climate changeNot enough CO2 in the atmosphere. - Original Message - From: Andrew Revkin To: bala@gmail.com ; euggor...@comcast.net Cc: j...@cloudworld.co.uk ; Tom Wigley ; Andrew Lockley ; geoengineering ; Prof John Shepherd ; Tim Lenton ; David Lawrence

[geo] Re: Crop residue ocean permanent sequestration

2009-02-02 Thread Andrew Lockley
Isn't it more efficient to pyrolyse the waste first, recovering energy and reducing transport carbon? A 2009/2/2 David Schnare : > Stuart: > > I've been studying notill agriculture that relies, in major part, on > building soil carbon to hold nutrients in the soil (reducing application > require

[geo] Re: Crop residue ocean permanent sequestration

2009-02-02 Thread Stuart Strand
I am reading the biochar literature now and it is fascinating stuff. But first glance reveals that pyrolysis schemes return 20-50% of the total carbon originally in the biomass back to sequestration in the soil (ES&T Sept 1 2007, p 5932). So already there is an efficiency problem compared to

[geo] Re: Runaway climate change as Good and pop as "Black Hole"

2009-02-02 Thread Eugene I. Gordon
In the train analogy there is an end of the line and train falls off the tracks or collides with the stop. In runaway global warming the positive feedback mechanism that drives the temperature up (or down depending on which way it is headed) is self limiting. When the greenhous layer becomes a blac

[geo] Re: Crop residue ocean permanent sequestration

2009-02-02 Thread Stuart Strand
David, You are wrong about the carbon that would be emitted during transportation of residues to the sea. Our calculation of 92% carbon sequestration efficiency for CROPS is based on truck transport to the upper Mississippi and barging to deep water in the Gulf. If you want a reprint please a

[geo] Re: runaway climate change

2009-02-02 Thread dsw_s
I don't like "irreversible climate change". That would mean (if taken at face value, in vernacular English) that we can't do anything to reverse it, not just that it won't reverse itself spontaneously. On Feb 2, 6:46 am, David Schnare wrote: > The concept, as applied to climate change, was intr

[geo] Re: runaway climate change

2009-02-02 Thread Andrew Lockley
I have been unable to find any citations in 'hard' climate science literature. Is the term therefore ONLY a pop-science concept? If anyone has any such citations, please can they send them to me? A 2009/2/2 David Schnare : > The concept, as applied to climate change, was introduced to discuss

[geo] Re: runaway climate change

2009-02-02 Thread Eugene I. Gordon
I guess it is not going to end. A runaway train meets only #2 and even that has to be qualified because the train eventually runs out of (fossil?) fuel or track. Certainly climate has run away a half dozen times in 540 million years but always hits a limit which seems to be 24C except when an as

[geo] Re: runaway climate change

2009-02-02 Thread Andrew Lockley
As I understand the science, I think it would be premature to precisely estimate the gain factor without stating error bars. Can we really be confident that we've got it nailed to the 25% error margin we need, when we can't even agree to within a 50-year window when the Arctic will melt? I do ac

[geo] Re: Ocean fertilization: dead in the water?

2009-02-02 Thread Dan Whaley
I think the nature headline is fairly rejected by the authors of the paper, based on subsequent conversations as well as the guardian article. Clearly this is one data point, which is both at wide variance with other island/seamount induced natural iron seedings (77 times lower than the Kerguelen

[geo] Re: Crop residue ocean permanent sequestration

2009-02-02 Thread Stuart Strand
By straw we are referring to the stalks of agricultural plants, wheat stalks and corn stover. The water and nutrients were expended to grow the grain. Straw has a low nutrient content (C/N = ca 50/1). Presently straw is wasted by allowing it to decay on the soil surface (only 14% or less of t

[geo] Re: runaway climate change

2009-02-02 Thread Eugene I. Gordon
This discussion is not really useful anymore. Runaway means uncontrolled and nothing more. It does not mean to infinity or too fast, it simply means we have not regained control. Techniques are in use for controlling trains out of control but until they are used the train is in a runaway condition

[geo] Re: runaway climate change

2009-02-02 Thread John Nissen
Dear Tom, The concept of "runaway" has certain connotations: 1. Significant in resultant effect 2. Uncontrollable 3. Exponential initial behaviour - characteristised by acceleration of process 4. No obvious limit 5. Irreversible 6. Rapid. These can all be applied to climate change: 1.

[geo] Re: Crop residue ocean permanent sequestration

2009-02-02 Thread David Schnare
Stuart: I've been studying notill agriculture that relies, in major part, on building soil carbon to hold nutrients in the soil (reducing application requirements and keeping it out of streams). While a 14% sequestration (limited to only about 20 years before maxing out on sequestration potential

[geo] Re: runaway climate change

2009-02-02 Thread Andrew Lockley
I have an alternative theory as to why we don't see too many instances of runaway climate change from the 'clathrate gun' effect, or from permafrost. Methane has a very short life in the atmosphere, but is a potent greenhouse gas. If the rate of warming is low, a little methane is released, whic

[geo] runaway climate change

2009-02-02 Thread Andrew Revkin
Who on this list knows why the Arctic warming ~ 8,000 years ago (quite protracted and significantly warmer than today) did not lead to "runaway" warming? Presumably something kicked in the other direction? I'm pursuing a clearer picture of lessons from the Holocene and the Eemian (the previo

[geo] Re: Crop residue ocean permanent sequestration

2009-02-02 Thread Alvia Gaskill
The real problem is not with the carbon dioxide emissions from the fuel. It's with how much fuel has to be used and its cost. That is the argument for starting with residue as close to deep water as possible, e.g. as previously mentioned, eastern Japan and the Bay of Biscay off the west coast

[geo] Re: runaway climate change

2009-02-02 Thread David Schnare
Andrew No one cares what the wiki people like. David Schnare Center for Environmental Stewardship On Feb 2, 2009, at 6:50 PM, Andrew Lockley wrote: > > I have an alternative theory as to why we don't see too many instances > of runaway climate change from the 'clathrate gun' effect, or from

[geo] Re: runaway climate change

2009-02-02 Thread Andrew Lockley
Well if 'runaway climate change' is to be the 'standard' term, then why isn't it used in journals? This may seem like a minor squabble, but if scientists are talking a different language to the public, how can these vital concepts be communicated? Remember all the nonsense about 'black holes' wh

[geo] Re: Crop residue ocean permanent sequestration

2009-02-02 Thread Andrew Lockley
Could someone please explain why you would want to throw fuel into the sea? Surely it's better to: a) Burn it, then use CCS b) Pyrolise it to recover energy and to reduce mass/bulk and then throw the char in the sea. Just to question the 'safety factor' of terra preta as opposed to ocean burial:

[geo] Re: Crop residue ocean permanent sequestration

2009-02-02 Thread xbenford
On the comments below: All this isdiscussed in detail in our paper. Gregory Benford === Could someone please explain why you would want to throw fuel into the sea? Surely it's better to: a) Burn it, then use CCS b) Pyrolise it to recover energy and to reduce mass/bulk and then throw t

[geo] Re: Crop residue ocean permanent sequestration

2009-02-02 Thread Stuart Strand
Because it's better for the atmosphere. If I hand you a lump of coal, which is better for the atmosphere and global warming? For you to burn it or to throw it into the sea? You can burn it and sequester the liquid carbon dioxide in deep saline aquifers, as we must do to continue to burn coal,