Hi all,

Our paper looking at precipitation pattern changes in CO2 ramp-up/ramp-down 
experiments, where CO2 concentrations are smoothly increased then decreased 
along the same path in a GCM, is out now online first in Climate Dynamics;

http://www.springerlink.com/content/v3181058p404147j/

This follows up on the lag between global mean precipitation and temperature 
change observed in similar GCM ramp-up/ramp-down experiments by Wu et al 2010 
GRL and Cao et al 2011 GRL.

The main result is that as well as a lag in the global mean precipitation, 
there is also an asymmetry in the pattern of tropical rainfall changes between 
CO2 ramp-up and ramp-down. Whereas the global mean precipitation lag can be 
explained by different levels of CO2 for the same global mean temperature 
between ramp-up and ramp-down, the pattern changes cannot. Instead they are 
likely to be due to lags in ocean heat transfer affecting sea surface 
temperatures and precipitation patterns.   

The implication is that a CO2 pathway of increasing then decreasing CO2 
concentrations may lead us to climate states during CO2 decrease that have not 
been experienced during the increase.

Any comments/feedback much appreciated,

Regards,

Rob

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