Poster's note : potentially relevant in establishing the safety of SSA SRM

http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40726-015-0006-0

Current Pollution Reports
05 May 2015

Paleo-Perspectives on Potential Future Changes in the Oxidative Capacity of
the Atmosphere Due to Climate Change and Anthropogenic Emissions

Becky Alexander, Loretta J. Mickley

Abstract
The oxidizing capacity of the atmosphere, defined as the global mean
tropospheric abundance of the hydroxyl radical (OH·), strongly influences
air pollution by controlling the lifetimes of gaseous pollutants and the
production of particulate matter. Predicting future changes in OH· due to
anthropogenic emissions and climate change is of interest to air quality
managers, but it is difficult because of multiple competing effects. Models
of atmospheric chemistry suggest that these competing effects buffer
significant change in OH· in the past and in the near future. However,
proxy-based observations for past changes in OH· and other oxidants over
the preindustrial-industrial and glacial-interglacial time scales suggest
much larger changes than models estimate. Model sensitivity studies show
that variability in past and future OH· is highly sensitive to relative
emissions of reactive nitrogen and carbon, water vapor, lightning, and
stratospheric ozone, implying that one or more of these variables is highly
sensitive to climate.

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