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 http://www.transparency.org/cgi-bin/dcn-read.pl?citID=45301 Mail Received  

The economics of corruption

  Business Line 17 Sep 2002

     Corrupt  officials  distort public sector choices to generate large
     rents  for  themselves  and  to produce inefficient and inequitable
     public  policies.  The  Government  produces too many wrong kind of
     projects  and  overspends  even  on projects that are fundamentally
     sound.

     THE  former  Chief Vigilance Commissioner, Mr N. Vittal, called for
     greater  transparency  in  the  tender  floatation  and  acceptance
     process  pertaining  to  high-value  capital-intensive projects and
     also  'mega'  tenders  for material supplies. A look at the process
     reduces  the  element  of  'sleaze'  involved  in  a deal enriching
     corrupt officials and politicians.

     Recently,  in a path-breaking judgment, a former Union Minister was
     sentenced  to  a  term  of  imprisonment for corruption in a public
     utility deal, along with a senior public official. This development
     is  to  be  welcomed  as  an example of the dictum: "Be you ever so
     high, the law is above you."

     However,  the  economics  of  corruption  has not been a subject of
     in-depth  research  and  it  is this lacuna we seek to particularly
     fill. "Grand corruption" occurs at the highest levels of government
     projects   programmes.   Governments   frequently   transfer  large
     financial  benefits  to private firms through procurement contracts
     and  the  award  of  concessions. Bribes transfer monopoly rents to
     private   investors  with  a  share  to  the  corrupted  officials.
     Privatisation processes are vulnerable to corrupt insider deals.

     Corrupt  payments  to  win  major  contracts  and  concessions  are
     generally   the   preserve   of  large  businesses  and  high-level
     officials.  The important cases represent a substantial expenditure
     of  funds  and have a major impact on the government budget and the
     country's  growth  prospects.  These  deals  are  by definition the
     preserve  of  top  officials  and  frequently involve multinational
     corporations operating alone or jointly with local partners.

     Corruption  in  contracting occurs in every country at various ends
     of  the  economic  development  scale.  The  Bofors case in Defence
     procurement  and  the Tehelka episode are unravelling. Earlier, the
     palm  oil  scam  had  several reverberations. 'Kickbacks' are quite
     common in public construction activities, in cement procurement, in
     bulk purchase of drugs and stationery and so on.

     If  the  government  is  a  buyer  or contractor, there are several
     reasons  to pay off officials. First, a firm may pay to be included
     in  the list of pre-qualified bidders and to restrict the length of
     the  list. Second, it may pay for inside information. Third, bribes
     may  induce  officials  to  structure the bidding specifications so
     that the corrupt firm is the only qualified supplier.

     Fourth,  a  firm  may pay to be selected as the winning contractor.
     Finally,  once a firm wins the contract, it may pay to get inflated
     prices or to skimp on quality.

     The  Zimbabwe  collusion  between  senior  ministers  in  Posts and
     Telecommunication and a Swedish telecommunications company may have
     circumvented local tender board procedures. Kickbacks were reported
     to  be  as  high  as  $7.1  million.  A  major scandal in Singapore
     involved  several  multinational firms and a senior official of the
     Public  Utility Board. The official was paid to reveal confidential
     information about tenders. The case led to the blacklisting of five
     major  multinationals  implicated  in  the  scandal.  The  official
     received a 14-year jail term.

     In  Italy,  the  cost of several major public construction projects
     reportedly    fell    dramatically    after    the   anticorruption
     investigations  of  the  early  1990s. The construction cost of the
     Milan  subway  fell from $227 million per km in 1991 to $97 million
     in  1995.  The  cost of a rail link fell from $54 million per km to
     $26  million,  and a new airport terminal is estimated to cost $1.3
     billion instead of $3.2 billion.

     The  most  recent  large-scale scandal in the US Defence Department
     was  Operation III Wind, a sting operation of the Federal Bureau of
     Investigation  that  led to the conviction of 54 individuals and 10
     corporations  for  disclosing technical specifications on competing
     bids for contracts in return for money and jobs.

     Goods  that  are  used  up  in consumption are prime candidates for
     payoffs because it may be difficult to discover whether or not they
     actually were delivered.

     Many  corruption  cases  involve  payoffs  to  obtain  confidential
     information   about   minimum   and   maximum   price   thresholds,
     average-offer  prices,  and project evaluation criteria. Corruption
     in  the  divulgence  of information is difficult to prove in court,
     but  it is also difficult for a firm to be sure that it is the only
     buyer.

     Is there anything distinctive about these cases other than the size
     of the deals? At one level, they appear analogous to cases in which
     government   disburses   a  scarce  benefit.  As  before,  systemic
     corruption     can    introduce    inefficiencies    that    reduce
     competitiveness.

     It  may  limit  the  number  of  bidders,  favour those with inside
     connections   over   the   most  efficient  candidates.  Limit  the
     information   available   to   participants,  and  introduce  added
     transactions costs.

     However,  the  scale  of  the  corrupt  deal and the involvement of
     high-level  officials introduces new concerns. First, if top people
     are  concerned  primarily  with  maximising personal gain, they may
     favour   an  inefficient  level,  composition,  and  time  path  of
     investment.  Second,  investors'  decisions  may be affected by the
     fact that they are dealing with corrupt political leaders.

     In  Nigeria,  in  1975, the military government ordered cement that
     totalled  two-thirds  of  the  estimated needs of all of Africa and
     which  exceeded  the  productive capacity of Western Europe and the
     Soviet  Union. The price exceeded the international market price by
     a  wide  margin, presumably to make room for kickbacks, and freight
     companies  collected  compensation for having to wait in the logged
     Lagos harbour. The cost to Nigeria was $2 billion, or one fourth of
     1975  oil  revenues. In Italy, the annual per capita consumption of
     cement  has  been  double that of the US and triple that of Germany
     and the UK.

     For large, capital-intensive projects, the time path of net corrupt
     benefits  may  be  quite  different  from the pattern of net social
     benefits. This will affect the choices of rulers. Suppose, as seems
     likely, the benefits of bribery are relatively more concentrated in
     the present than those of the overall project. At least some of the
     bribes are paid upfront before the project has begun.

     Then,  even  if  the rulers and the populace discount the future at
     the  same  rate,  the rulers will support project and policies that
     have  an inefficient time path of net social benefits. For example,
     with  major construction projects, a country's leaders will extract
     bribes in the present and may experience few of the future costs of
     shoddy workmanship or an excessive debt burden.

     Furthermore, corrupt officials may well have a higher discount rate
     than  the  country's citizens. Even a ruler who has good short-term
     control over society may not have secure long-term tenure.

     The  rulers'  very  venality  may  make him insecure and subject to
     overthrow.  This  insecurity  induces him to steal more, making him
     even  more insecure, and so forth. As a consequence, he or she will
     have  a  relatively  high discount rate for government projects and
     will support project with quick short-term payoffs and costs spread
     far into the future.

     Paradoxically,  an  active pro-democracy movement that destabilises
     an  incumbent  autocrat  can  lead to an increase in corruption and
     insecure  status. In short, corrupt policies as the ruler reacts to
     his  new  insecure  status.  In short, corrupt rulers are likely to
     support an inefficient time path of social benefits and costs.

     The  process of transferring assets to private ownership is fraught
     with  corrupt opportunities. Many corrupt incentives are comparable
     to  those  that  arise  in  the award of contracts and concessions.
     Instead  of  bribing  a  state  owned  firm to obtain contracts and
     favourable  treatment,  bidders  for  a  public  company  can bribe
     officials   in  the  privatisation  authority  or  at  the  top  of
     government.

     When  large  state  enterprises  are  privatised,  there  may be no
     reliable  way  to  value  their  assets, and the tax and regulatory
     regime that will prevail ex-post may be poorly specified.

     There  were  allegations  (subsequently determined to be completely
     unfounded)   that   Bharat   Aluminium   Company  was  sold  at  an
     under-valued  price  of  Rs  550  crore  to Sterlite Industries. In
     Brazil and Greece, heads of governments were said to be involved in
     graft through privatisation.

     Corrupt  incentives  may  mean that the most efficient bidder loses
     out  to  a  corrupt  insider. Even if the most efficient firm wins,
     corruption  in  the  tendering  process assures that the government
     receives  too  little  from  the sale. This implies higher taxes or
     lower public spending.

     Corruption  that  involves  top-level personnel can produce serious
     distortions  in  the  way  the  government and society operate. The
     state  pays  too much for large-scale procurements and receives too
     little from privatisation and the award of concessions.

     Corrupt  officials  distort public sector choices to generate large
     rents  for  themselves  and  to produce inefficient and inequitable
     public policies.

     The  Government produces too many of the wrong kind of projects and
     overspends   even   on   projects  that  are  fundamentally  sound.
     Corruption  reduces  the  revenue-raising benefits of privatisation
     and the award of concessions.

     Firms  that  retain  monopoly power through bribery and favouritism
     undermine  the  efficiency  benefits of turning over state firms to
     private owners.
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