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>INTelligence #376-Excerpts
>
>Via NY Transfer News * All the News That Doesn't Fit
>
>INTELLIGENCE         -ISSN 1245-2122
>N. 376, 11 December 2000 Every Two to Three Weeks
>Next Issue on 8 January 2001 Publishing since 1980
>      Editor    -Olivier Schmidt
>
>TABLE OF CONTENTS, N. 376, 11 December 2000 -FRONT PAGE
>
>   PALESTINE - ISRAEL ENTERS A WAR IT CAN'T WIN & KNOWS IT p.1
>            TECHNOLOGY AND TECHNIQUES
>
>STRANGE DOINGS IN SPY SATELLITE TECHNOLOGY p.2
>LIE DETECTOR "JUNK SCIENCE" p.3
>SCOTS PREFER CENTRAL TECH UNIT INSTEAD OF AN "FBI" p.4
>IRISH COPS & ROBBERS COMPUTER TECH PROBLEMS p.5
>SMOKE SCREENS - Low-tech Anti-"Smart" Bomb Defense. p.6
>
>PEOPLE
>
>USA - STAPLETON ROY p.7     - John Eric Larson. p.8
>CANADA - "Mafiaboy". p.9
>CANADA/CHINA - Lai Changxing. p.10
>GREAT BRITAIN - PHILIP CAMPBELL SMITH p.11
>NORTHERN IRELAND -- ERIC ANDERSON p.12
>EGYPT/ISRAEL - Shereef Fawzi Mohammed Falali. p.13
>
>AGENDA
>
>COMING EVENTS THROUGH 15 FEBRUARY 2001 p.14
>
>INTELLIGENCE AROUND THE WORLD
>
>USA - "SECURICRATS" STILL OUT TO "GET DEUTCH" p.15
>    - CIA'S CHILE ARCHIVES, CHAT ROOM & NEXT CHIEF p.16
>    - CARNIVORE EATING UP THE FBI & OTHER NEWS p.17
>    - Vernon Loeb Reexamines Congressional NRO Report. p.18
>    - DOE Security Mails Out Its Secrets. p.19
>GREAT BRITAIN - PLANS TO INTERCEPT ALL COMMUNICATIONS p.20
>              - GAGGING ORDERS TO BE CHALLENGED p.21
>              - MOD'S CHINOOK INVESTIGATION CRASHES TOO p.22
>NORTHERN IRELAND - ULSTER DEMILITARIZATION CONCERNS p.23
>                 - "WHISTLE-BLOWER" INVESTIGATION ENDS p.24
>FRANCE - SPIES, POLITICS & SCANDAL WITH CHIRAC & ROUSSIN p.25
>NETHERLANDS - ROLLING-UP THE "WHEELERS & DEALERS" p.26
>GERMANY - RECYCLING OLD EASTERN SPIES & FILES p.27
>BELORUS - Lukashenko Tighten the Noose Around His Neck. p.28
>RUSSIA - "Kursk" Continues to Resurface. p.29
>COLOMBIA - DEA Involved with Death Squads. p.30
>BRAZIL - ABIN REPLACES SIN & A WOMAN TAKES OVER p.31
>PERU - PRESS & CIA RING OUT THE OLD & RING IN THE NEW p.32
>SOUTH AFRICA - ALLEGED ARMS PROCUREMENT CORRUPTION INQUIRY p.33
>SIERRA LEONE - BRITS ALLEGEDLY ARMED BOTH SIDES p.34
>PAKISTAN - INQUIRY CALL INTO IRISH CONSUL REJECTED p.35
>INDONESIA - Changes Finally Come for Intelligence. p.36
>AUSTRALIA - Jenkins Suicide Report & the DFAT. p.37
>
>---------------------------------------------
>
>Intelligence, N. 376, 11 December 2000, p. 1 PALESTINE
>
>     ISRAEL ENTERS A WAR IT CAN'T WIN & KNOWS IT
>
>Strangely enough, the new Intifada in Palestine and Israel has almost
>all specialists agreeing: Israel's nuclear weapons and regional
>military dominance are not going to keep it from losing the war it
>has now let take place. Its Arab neighbors, instead of traditional
>saber-rattling and preparations for war, are just going to sit back
>and watch Israel exhaust itself in a guerrilla war it can't win and
>quietly resupply the Palestinians with small arms and explosives they
>need for armed conflict. It's a "Win Win" situation for Arab nations
>and the United States is losing its credibility as it has to
>keep Israel from starting a "hot war" ... as long as
>Israel's neighbors don't get their armed forces directly
>involved. Russia is, therefore, back on the Middle East scene as
>a recognized authority and credible negotiator, a situation the US
>had so far avoided.
>
>When we say "almost all specialists", that includes
>Israeli intelligence specialists. Listen to former Shin Bet
>director, Ami Ayalon, quoted by "Ma'ariv" on 5 December, speaking at
>a conference in memory of Finance Ministry budget division Yom Kippur
>War dead: "The Palestinians learned that Israel only understands
>force ... The Palestinians believe that this is the only way they can
>realize their political goals, the foremost of which is to found a
>state ... The things a Palestinian has to endure, simply coming to
>work in the morning, is a long and continuous nightmare that includes
>humiliation bordering on despair ... But in the last seven years he
>has discovered that there is another way. They learned this from
>Hezbollah and from us."   ...(cut)... In more ways than one, Sharon
>is "the man of the situation", who splits the Israeli establishment
>and the Palestinian movement. Half of the Israeli establishment sees
>him as the only possible "savior", the Israeli Milosevic of a
>"Greater Israel", while the other half fears exactly that, a leader
>who will turn Israel into Milosevic's Serbia. The
>Palestinian movement knows it will win ... if it can keep Sharon --
>who single-handedly restarted the Intifada in late September -- from
>"rocking the boat" and causing a major regional war. This leaves the
>Palestinian movement divided between those who, under no
>circumstances, will deal with a "Sharon Israel" and those who would.
>But Israel is not Serbia and Sharon is not Milosevic since the latter
>had at least some friends abroad ... including Russia. Sharon does
>not.
>
>---------------------------------------------
>
>Intelligence, N. 376, 11 December 2000, p. 6
>
> SMOKE SCREENS - Low-tech Anti-"Smart" Bomb Defense.  The British
>Ministry of Defence's (MoD) Defence Evaluation Research Agency (DERA)
>is expected to demonstrate to potential Middle East customers the
>latest device against hostile laser-guided bombs (LGB) at the IDEX
>meeting to be held in Abu Dhabi next March. It is based on the "low-
>tech" World War 1 smoke screen and an analysis of the failure of
>NATO's LGB assault in Kosovo and Serbia where low clouds, fog and
>mist often obscured strategic targets. The DERA's Large Area Smoke
>Screen (LASS) is a lightweight smoke generator, linked to a laser
>warning system which can detect a laser designator aimed at a
>strategic target, and can obscure the area without using
>artillery shells. The LASS -- designed and produced by
>Somerwest Technical Services in Britain under licence to the DERA --
>uses gas turbine exhaust into which a vegetable oil-based fluid
>is injected to produce a continuous volume of thick smoke. The device
>can simultaneously distribute black smoke to confuse visual spectrum
>and infra-red sensors and white smoke to disrupt thermal image system
>surveillance. Linked to radar, the system could provide effective
>protection against missiles using electro-optical sensors for
>terminal guidance, according to DERA business group manager, Paul
>Winstanley. Four to six LASS units, each producing smoke using 50
>liters of fuel per hour, could cover a military airfield in five to
>20 seconds, according to the DERA, which expects the "simple but
>effective user-friendly system" (unlike conventional systems which
>use phosphates and other hazardous substances) to generate wide-
> spread interest among Arab states.
>
>---------------------------------------------
>
>Intelligence, N. 376, 11 December 2000, p. 15
>
> USA
>
>"SECURICRATS" STILL OUT TO "GET DEUTCH"
>
>   ...(cut)... COMMENT  --  With the continuing attack on Deutch,
>there seem to be two basic aspects conveniently forgotten by the
>US security establishment and the press. First, "the shift in
>the political climate that has taken place" mentioned above
>by Aftergood is a nice way of saying "highly partisan
>politics" characterized by conservative Republican vendetta against
>the Clinton administration. And the Deutch "case" has been used
>in this context as one more "weak-on-security" battering ram
>(see "USA - Deutch-CIA Case Turns into Partisan Minefield", INT,
>n. 362 20; "USA - Partisan Politics behind Deutch 'Double Standard'",
>INT, n. 372 14). Second, just like the failed impeachment procedure
>against President Clinton which run up one of the highest legal bills
>even paid by US taxpayers, Washington "securicrats" and their
>conservative politician colleagues have put a lot of money into a
>long investigation where no damage has been reported. The Pentagon
>inspector general report does not provide a damage assessment,
>but condemns "Dr. Deutch's practice of using computers in this manner
>[which] was extremely risky". The money spent on unproductive or even
>disastrous security investigations would receive much wider public
>approval if it were spent on "catching spies" instead of hounding and
>reprimanding some of the United States' top officials. In short,
>"cost efficiency" has still not swept out the Cold War mentality of
>the US security establishment.
>
>---------------------------------------------
>
>Intelligence, N. 376, 11 December 2000, p. 22
>
> GREAT BRITAIN
>
>MOD'S CHINOOK INVESTIGATION CRASHES TOO
>
> The British government has ruled out a new inquiry into the crash of
>an RAF Chinook Mark 2 helicopter into the Mull of Kintyre, south-west
>Scotland, on 2 June 1994, despite harsh criticism of accident
>investigative practices in an all-party parliamentary Public Accounts
>Committee (PAC) report, published on 30 November. It has been
>described as "one of the most damning attacks on the integrity of a
>Whitehall department", in this case the Ministry of Defence (MoD),
>which MPs accuse of "unwarrantable arrogance" and using "shocking
>aircraft test procedures".   ...(cut)... ----------------------------
>-----------------
>
>Intelligence, N. 376, 11 December 2000, p. 25
>
> FRANCE
>
>SPIES, POLITICS & SCANDAL WITH CHIRAC & ROUSSIN
>
> On 4 December, a mounting corruption scandal put new pressure on
>President Jacques Chirac to declare whether he knew about kickbacks
>that allegedly benefitted political parties on the Left and the
>Right. Even members of his own RPR conservative party have joined the
>call for Chirac to address the nation about suspicions that he knew
>of such a scheme. Socialist lawmaker, Arnaud Montebourg, went further
>and demanded that Chirac be formally designated as a suspect. But
>that is politics and mostly "business as usual". The truly
>interesting person in the center of the scandal is Michel Roussin,
>Chirac's former chief of staff and also chief of staff for four years
>to Alexandre de Marenches, the head of French foreign
>intelligence when it was known as the SDECE.   ...(cut)... ----------
>-----------------------------------
>
>Intelligence, N. 376, 11 December 2000, p. 27
>
> GERMANY
>
>RECYCLING OLD EASTERN SPIES & FILES
>
> An interesting situation exists in Germany where former
>Eastern European intelligence professionals are being recycled as
>NATO- approved agents and Stasi archives, stolen and/or purchased
>by the CIA during Operation Rosewood, come back to life. In
>the Kleber Casern in Kaiserslautern, a group of 100 counter-
> espionage recruits recently went through ten-days' training during
>the Unified Blade 2000 exercise under the direction of Lt. Col. Carl
>Burrell of the Allied Command Europe Counterintelligence Activity.
>Participants included officials from Poland, Hungary and the Czech
>Republic. One of the ground rules was that no nation in the exercise
>could collect intelligence on any other participating nation. No one
>was kick out but ... one nation or person was "warned".
>...(cut)... ---------------------------------------------
>
>Intelligence, N. 376, 11 December 2000, p. 34
>
> SIERRA LEONE
>
>BRITS ALLEGEDLY ARMED BOTH SIDES
>
> Tim Spicer, the former chief executive of the British
>mercenary company, Sandline International, which broke a UN arms
>embargo when it shipped 30 tons of weapons to Sierra Leone in 1998,
>has dismissed as "absolute rubbish" allegations made by a
>former South African military intelligence officer, Johan van
>Zyl, that the security firm for which van Zyl worked, Lifeguard,
>had supplied weapons, (including rocket-propelled grenades,
>mortar bombs, and mines) to Sierra Leone rebel
>organizations. Lifeguard, which was contracted by the British mining
>company, Branch Energy, to provide protection for its diamond
>mining operations in the West African country, is a sister company
>of Sandline. If Mr. van Zyl's allegations are correct, it means that
>two British-registered companies in the "security business", which
>shared a suite of offices on the fashionable King's Road in Chelsea,
>west London, armed both sides in the Sierra Leone civil war. Sandline
>claims it had full support from the British government to help the
>ousted regime stage a counter-coup against the RUF/AFRC rebel
>alliance, while van Zyl, who was killed in November 1999 in a traffic
>accident on the main Johanesburg-Pretoria road, told friends that
>the rebels had been armed by Lifeguard, in July 1997, as part of
>a deal which would allow Branch Energy to continue mining
>without being attacked.   ...(cut)...
>
>
>=================================================================
>  NY Transfer News Collective   *   A Service of Blythe Systems
>           Since 1985 - Information for the Rest of Us
>              339 Lafayette St., New York, NY 10012
>  http://www.blythe.org                  e-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
>===================================================
>nytcov-12.19.00-03:58:37-8719 " JC
>
>            *********
>
>X-From_: [EMAIL PROTECTED]  Tue Dec 19 19:59:36 2000
>Delivered-To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
>Date: Tue, 19 Dec 2000 04:04:02 -0500
>From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
>Subject:  INTellgence #376-Agenda
>To: undisclosed-recipients:;
>
>INTellgence #376-Agenda
>
>Via NY Transfer News * All the News That Doesn't Fit
>
>AGENDA
>
>Intelligence, N. 376, 11 December 2000, p. 14
>       COMING EVENTS THROUGH 15 FEBRUARY 2001
>
>
>In the interest of efficiency, "Intelligence" lists all coming
>events in each issue as a single article in the section
>"Agenda". Additional information concerning these events,
>including contact information, is available at 33 (0)1 40 51 85
>19 (tel/fax) or [EMAIL PROTECTED] .org (email). Past Agendas are
>available free at our web site: <http: // www. blythe .org/
>Intelligence>. Events are listed only once according to date,
>and are not repeated in subsequent issues. To post a paid
>advertisement describing an event in greater detail, interested
>organizers should contact "Intelligence" for additional
>information. Such additional material is posted here and also
>sent directly to more than one thousand Internet subscribers
>and members of our free distribution list.
>
>At present, papers are due from the "E-Work Location in a
>Digital Global Economy" conference
><http: // www. emergence.nu/events/octprog.html>.
>
>11 December, Paris, "The Future of Europe", by IRIS
><http: // www. iris-france .org>.
>
>11-15 December, New Orleans, Louisiana, 16th Annual Computer
>Security Applications Conference (ACSAC)
><http: // www. acsac .org>.
>
>11-12 December, Washington, Public Workshop - The Mobile
>Wireless Web, Data Services and Beyond, US Federal Trade
>Commission (FTC) <http: // www. ftc .gov/opa/2000/11/wireless.htm>.
>
>12 December, MacDill AFB (Tampa, Florida), AFIO Florida's
>Suncoast Chapter Holiday Event, a luncheon with speaker,
>retired US Marine Corps Lieutenant Colonel Fred L. Edwards,
>Jr., intelligence officer in Vietnam during 1966-67 and author
>of "The Bridges of Vietnam - From the Journals of a Marine
>Intelligence Officer" <aldermannj@aol .com>.
>
>14 December, Paris, Association pour la Mesure des Sciences et
>des Techniques (ADEST) seminars by Saida Bedar, "Information
>Dominance as a Problem", and General Jean Guyaux, "The Lessons
>of Military Intelligence Applied to Economic Intelligence"
><http: // www. upmf-grenoble.fr/adest/>.
>
>14 December, Bolling AFB (Washington DC), Chinese Spying, by
>the National Military Intelligence Association (NMIA) Potomac
>Chapter, luncheon with guest speaker Dr. Paul D. Moore, former
>Chief Analyst for China (1978-1998) of FBI Counterintelligence,
>on Chinese intelligence methods
><http: // www. intelweb .org/potomac>.
>
>14-15 December, Helsinki, People, Cities and the New
>Information Economy
><http: // www. institute.helsinki.fi/infoeconomy/>.
>
>15 December, contributions due for the 11th annual Internet
>Society conference, INET 2001 - A Net Odyssey
><http: // www. isoc .org/inet2001/cfc.shtml>.
>
>18 December, Paris, European Defense - The State of Affairs
>under the French Presidency, by IRIS <http: // www. iris-
>france .org>.
>
>5 January, candidacies due for associate and full professor job
>opening at the United States European Command, George C.
>Marshall European Center, College of International and Security
>Studies, Garmisch, Germany. A doctoral degree with five to ten
>years experience or appropriate operational experience in a
>senior policy making position is required and fluency in German
>and/or Russian is highly desirable: Civilian Personnel Advisory
>Center, Kelley Kaserne, Geb 3315 Zi 127, Attn: Maria Brigham,
>Pleiningerstr 200, 70567 Stuttgart, Germany.
>
>17 January, Camp Pendleton, California, Marine West 2001
><http: // www. MarineCorpsExpos .com>.
>
>18 January, Bolling AFB (Washington DC), NMIA Potomac Chapter
>luncheon meeting, speaker Brig. Gen. (sel) Michael E. Ennis,
>Director of Intelligence, <http: // www. intelweb .org/potomac>.
>
>20-21 January, Jax, Florida, Clandestine Maritime Surveillance
>course <http: // specialopstraining .com/mar_surv_ss_course.htm>.
>
>20 January, St. Charles, Illinois, AFIO Midwest Chapter dinner
>meeting <decaturvlp@aol .com>.
>
>22 January, Washington, Smithsonian Associates first of eight
>weekly lectures on "The Cold War - From the Espionage
>Perspective" by Herbert Romerstein, Oleg Kalugin, Eugene
>Poteat, Ivian C. Smith, John Sullivan, W. Raymond Wannall, John
>Martin, and Allan Weinstein
><http: // www. afio .com/sections/event_schedule/Smithsonian.html>.
>
>22-24 January, Boca Raton, Florida, "2001 Competitive
>Intelligence" meeting.
>
>28-30 January, Monterey, California, 2001 Tactical Wheeled
>Vehicles, NDIA.
>
>29 January-2 February, Key Counterintelligence Events Course by
>the CI Centre provides an understanding of offensive
>counterintelligence and knowledge of these techniques,
>methodologies, cases and events. The CI Centre
>counterintelligence reader will be provided along with books:
>"The Thread of the Silkworm", "Operation SOLO" and "The Spy Who
>Saved the World" (tel 1 703 642 7455).
>
>31 January, papers are due for SIIT2001, the 2001 IEEE
>Conference on Standardization and Innovation in Information
>Technology <http: // www. siit2001 .org> which will take place on
>3-5 October 2001 in Boulder, Colorado.
>
>4-7 February, Washington, ROA 2001 Mid-Winter Meeting and
>Military Exposition <http: // www. roa .org/midwinter/mid-
>index.html&nbsp>.
>
>7-9 February, San Diego, California, Network and Distributed
>System Security Symposium (NDSS '01), by the Internet Society
><http: // www. isoc .org/ndss01/>.
>
>11-13 February, Anaheim, California, 2001 Heli-Expo -
>International Helicopter Exposition, by the Helicopter
>Association.
>
>12-14 February, Tysons Corner, Virginia, 2001 Munitions
>Executive Summit & IOC APBI, by NDIA.
>
>14-15 February, Washington, Defense Reform 2001, by the
>American Institute of Aeronautics & Astronautics (AIAA) and
>"Defense News".
>
>
>=================================================================
>  NY Transfer News Collective   *   A Service of Blythe Systems
>           Since 1985 - Information for the Rest of Us
>              339 Lafayette St., New York, NY 10012
>  http://www.blythe.org                  e-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
> ==============
>nytcov-12.19.00-04:00:37-8890    " JC
>
>


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