Report: Voting machines may have boosted Bush totals


Itâs not proof of voter fraud -- at least not yet -- but it seems that 
somebody has some explaining to do about the election results from Florida. In 
a 
report released this morning, researchers at the University of California, 
Berkeley, say that George W. Bush received 130,000 more votes in Florida in 
2004 
than he should have received, and that the only real explanation has something 
to 
do with electronic voting machines.   
Through multiple-regression analysis, the Berkeley researchers examined the 
increase in Bushâs support, on a county-by-county basis, between 2000 and 
2004. 
Their conclusion: A countyâs use of electronic voting machines resulted in a 
"disproportionate increase" in votes for Bush which "cannot be explained away 
by other factors."   
The disparity between the votes Bush received and the votes statistical 
models said he should have received was largest in those e-voting counties 
where Al 
Gore was strongest in 2000: Broward, Palm Beach and Miami-Dade. Michael Hout, 
the Berkeley sociology professor who presented the researchers' findings 
today, said that he could not explain why the disparity was so high in counties 
that favored Gore in 2000, nor could he explain how the electronic voting 
machines might have over-counted Bush votes. But he said that thereâs 
virtually no 
possibility -- a one in 1,000 chance that he called "trivial" -- that the 
voting disparities arose by chance.   
"Our approach is like a smoke alarm, and itâs beeping," Hout said on a call 
with reporters this morning. "We're calling on officials in Florida to 
investigate to see if there's a fire."   
Hout said the researchers applied their same tests to electronic voting in 
Ohio and discovered no such disparities. And even if the Berkeley researchers 
are right about Florida, their numbers don't change the overall result of the 
election there. As things stand now, Bush won Florida by about 311,000 votes. 
If 
the 130,000 "extra" votes the Berkeley researchers have found were "ghost 
votes" â that is, votes that were never cast but simply added to Bushâs 
total â 
then Bush's margin would drop to about 181,000 votes. But if the 130,000 votes 
were Kerry votes that somehow got switched to Bush votes, then Bushâs margin 
in Florida would drop to 51,000. 
-- Tim Grieve 
[12:52 PST, Nov. 18, 2004] 



>From today's  www.salon.com    See also www.ucdata.berkeley.edu 


[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]






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