Large rallies against the regime all over Syria  and in honor of those held
in jail and prisons today, Friday.

Tense moments in Hama province. This video reportedly shows gunfire
(perhaps over the heads?) of an anti-government protest earlier today:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=DouT02n7Gzs

Meanwhile, in the Baba Amr district of Homs, perhaps the hardest hit
neighborhood of the uprising, a large anti-government protest was held
today:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=_qz-gfB-qcE



http://www.jadaliyya.com/pages/index/4065/the-idiots-guide-to-fighting-dictatorship-in-syria


*The Idiot's Guide to Fighting Dictatorship In Syria While Opposing
Military Intervention*

0<http://www.jadaliyya.com/pages/index/4065/the-idiots-guide-to-fighting-dictatorship-in-syria#comments>
Jan
20 2012 by Bassam Haddad <http://www.jadaliyya.com/pages/contributors/545>
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*[Writing this in Beirut is apt, where there's a deep polarization between
those who would die for the Syrian regime and those who just want it to die
at any cost. Those who do not support either position "as is," are dubbed
cowards and opportunists by both sides and the pro-Saudi camp. Outside the
Arab context, pro-Israel commentators don't like the nuanced position
herein because it puts Israel and the United States in a bad light. Good
company. The author does NOT assume this is the best rendition of a nuanced
position. Just one of them.]*

After almost five decades, when the time came to publicly oppose
authoritarian rule in Syria, one would have thought that it was the
rational and decent thing to do. And it is. More than that, it is incumbent
on anyone who cares about Syrians (let us leave “Syria” alone for a moment)
to struggle for the establishment of a political system that is free(r) of
all forms of oppression. So, what is the problem?*
*

*Why Fighting Dictatorship Is Intuitive*

It is easy, rational, and just to adopt unequivocal opposition to the
decades-long history of the Syrian regime’s authoritarian rule. It is
equally easy, rational, and just to severely condemn and oppose the
regime’s ten-month crushing of independent protesters. Regime supporters
and some in the anti-imperialist camp retort that some of these protesters
are agents of external forces or armed gangs.

While there may be a grain of truth in this argument, it is empty. It is,
in fact an insult to the intelligence of any Syria observer. It overlooks
the regime’s brutality in the last ten months of uprising. It baldly erases
the decades of oppression, detention, imprisonment, silencing,
excommunication, and torture that the regime has dealt to the mere hint of
opposition. That regime which turns fifty next year.

Indeed, it is only Saddam Hussein’s relentless authoritarianism in Iraq
that has surpassed the legacy of the Syrian regime’s repression. This is
not a secret. It is not a controversial description. It is true despite
Syria’s relative stability until March 2011. Its institutions were poor but
sufficiently functional. Its cities were relatively safe. And after the
late 1980s, its urban centers boasted an increasingly bustling and dynamic
life. The regime peddled these characteristics as a model of “social
peace.” The threat of heavy reprisal along with the formation and state
cooptation of an exceptionally corrupt business
class<http://www.sup.org/book.cgi?id=18447>were among the painful
threads that held this brittle “social peace”
together. Important too in this regard was the fact that the Syrian welfare
state was able to provide the minimum needs for most Syrian citizens until
the 1990s, though the countryside was largely neglected. Ultimately, It is
precisely the relationship between the state and top business echelons
after the mid-1980s that gradually exacerbated Syria’s social and regional
polarization. After the 2000 succession of Bashar Asad and eventually his
team of “liberlizers,” the Syrian Ba`th (out of all places) introduced what
they called the Social Market Economy in 2005 to respond to various calls
not emanating from the Syrian majority. Within the still constitutionally
socialist republic, the new announcement was intended as a near-formal blow
to the remaining vestiges of a state-centered economy.

A resulting series of camouflaged neoliberal policies and bad fortune
exacerbated existing structural disparities and social discontent among the
less privileged. The increasing withdrawal of state subsidies and welfare,
the gradual introduction of weak market institutions to replace those
corrupt but functioning institutions of the state, combined with continued
notorious mismanagement of the economy, became a recipe for social unrest.
The scant rainfall during the past decade caused massive migration and loss
of jobs in the country side, *adding* fuel and, if I am say, location, to
the fire of social protest potential after 2010. All it took was a spark.
Bouazizi provided it. Syria’s social peace was exposed and decimated.

But it didn’t all start in March 2011. Beneath the serene and comforting
streets of Damascus and Aleppo lie thousands of political prisoners.
Stuffing Syria’s jails and solitary confinement units, even prior to the
uprising, were Islamists and atheists, liberals and communists, and
everything in between. Prisoners came in all shades and indeed comported
with the Syrian regime’s official rhetoric. They included those who
dedicated their lives to defend the Palestinian cause against the apartheid
state of Israel. They also included those who built honorable records for
opposing the United States’ duplicitous and brutal policies in the region,
its support of dictatorship, and its launching of barbaric wars on false
counts. The prisoners’ fault was not that they were conspirators. It was
that they opposed the regime. Their imprisonment and torture highlighted
the fact that anti-imperialism has never been nor will never be the
regime’s priority. Clearly, the Syrian National Council (SNC) will not be
any better on this count—in fact, it is already much worse when it comes to
related matters of autonomy from external actors.

The tragedy is that the rise of such a problematic body, the SNC, with *varying
degrees* of local support is an undeniable testament to the regime’s deep
repression and bankruptcy. Some may argue that the regime’s holstering of
various legitimate regional causes, or *the* “cause,” as a subterfuge for
its horrendous domestic repression created resentment even among the
“causes’” proponents. Many Syrians are fed up with this duplicity that has
come at their expense. They may even appear uninterested in regional issues
and calculations. Many in the pro-“resistance” camp read this
deprioritization of anti-imperialism, or even the domestic call for
external intervention, only as a betrayal. They fail to see the
exasperation, desperation, vulnerability, and ultimately the motive force
of self-preservation. It is none other than the regime that has given birth
to this informing imperative of self-preservation.

*Imperialism Is Not the Issue For the Syrian Regime or the Protesters at
All Times*

It is one thing for analysts living outside Syria to oppose and condemn
foreign intervention (which this author does unequivocally). It is another
to assume that all those calling for it in Syria under the current
conditions are part of a conspiracy.

Again, it is the Syrian regime’s brutality since March 2011 and before that
has created the conditions for the street’s increasing support for foreign
intervention to stop the killing. Certainly, some may have had ulterior
motives, connections, or designs and supported intervention all along. But
the majority of those calling for intervention have been brutalized into
doing so. They are not thinking in terms of supporting or opposing
imperialism at this time.

Bear with me for a moment here. Let us imagine a wild scenario where the
United States was going to intervene to stop the Israeli massacre of
Palestinians in Gaza in January 2009. Would Gazans, under daily bombs and
bullets, object on the grounds of the US record of imperialism? Or perhaps,
Gazans would objected due to their suspicion of the United States’
potential designs for the post-intervention stage? Surely many outsiders
will think so and *some* insiders may too. But most Gazans would not be
entertaining ideology and geostrategic reflexivity as the skies rained
death. Moreover, even if, in this wild scenario, Gazan acceptance of
external intervention was *perhaps* short-sighted, it would be patently
ridiculous to claim that all such Gazans were part of an imperialist
conspiracy. Imperialism is not always the issue for everyone. To not
recognize this is to lose the fight against imperialism.

The “resistance” camp seems to want or expect hunted and gunned down
individuals and families on Syrian streets to prioritize the regime’s
anti-imperialist *rhetoric* over the instinct of self-preservation and
their fight for freedom from authoritarism. Again, the fact that
*some*inside Syria are abusing this dynamic to call for the kind of
external
intervention that the regime’s regional and international enemies have long
dreamed of does not negate that fight. If die-hards among the
pro-resistance camp feel indignant or distraught by these calls, they
should recount the modern history of Syria. Indeed, it is the
anti-imperialist, pro-resistance camp that has some accounting to do at
this stage. Any type of anti-imperialism must necessarily include a
rejection of authoritarianism. Supporting resistance to imperialism at the
expense of an entire community’s most inalienable rights can only spell
defeat.

Let us therefore cease this silly and insulting game of accusing the
detractors of the Syrian regime as necessarily pro-imperialist.

Finally, as the regime strongmen, subjects, observers, and detractors know
well, the regime’s priority above all else has been and continues to be its
own preservation. If they engage in or enable resistance to imperialism,
which the Syrian regime has certainly done more than any other in the
region of late, that’s all the better. If not, well, staying alive is good
enough, even if it required siding with the United States or reactionary
Arab regimes at times. This is similar to the problematics of the United
States’ self-image supporting democracy: if it can engage in promoting
democracy, that’s all the better. If not, promoting dictatorship to serve
its interests (as is the case in the Arab world) will do just fine. This is
because the objective was never to create democratic regimes, but compliant
ones.

Finally, it is of crucial importance to disentangle the sources of
criticism of the Syrian regime. Does the critique proceed with the
interests of Syrians in mind? Or does it proceed from the best interests
of, say, the United States’ or Israel’s foreign policy establishments and
their proponents? This is not to mention an entire coterie of actors like
Saudi Arabia and their minions, various European countries, and what is
left of the Lebanese March 14th movement.  The call for the downfall of
authoritarianism is as, stated above, rational and just. But we must be
necessarily weary when it is the likes of Elliot Abrahams behind the call
for democracy.

*Why Foreign Intervention Is Loathed*

Protecting and defending authoritarianism on the political grounds that it
serves resistance has become desperately short sighted from a the very-same
pro-resistance perspective. By the same token, to not understand the
implications and consequences of foreign intervention in Syria at this
moment is equally short sighted all around. This moment of regional turmoil
and unsavory political alignments linking the worst in the foreign policies
of “east” and “west,” dating several decades now (longer than the Syrian
regime’s record of oppressing its own citizens, really), is cause for
serious caution. In other words, Syria is being used by various powers,
including the United States and Saudi Arabia and their chorus, as an
occasion to accomplish their own objectives in the region—reactionary ones,
to be sure, in terms of the interests of most people in the region as the
decades behind us attest, and as the current uprisings against the “fruits”
of such objectives make clearer even to some skeptics. That does not mean,
that we should withdraw our opposition and halt the struggle against
dictatorship in Syria. It only serves to remind us how *not* to do it.

One must start with the simple and undramatic assertion that the Syrian
situation is more than just the Syrian situation. This should not come,
however, at the expense of Syrian lives. Since the mid-twentieth century,
when mainly European designs for dominating and influencing the countries
or politics of the region through schemas such as the Baghdad Pact, Syria
was an important regional prize, but mostly in a passive manner. After
Hafez Asad took power in what is called the “Corrective Movement” in
1970-1971, Syria became a more fortified regional actor that not only
determined its own internal politics, but also those of other countries at
times.

Notably, Syria became a leading member in what was called the rejectionist
front. That front sought to confront Israel without succumbing to
bi-lateral “peace” plans that did not aim at a comprehensive and just
settlement of the Palestine-Israel conflict. Save for a brief stint of
confrontation between Syria and Israel in 1982—when Israel downed several
Syrian jet-fighters in a pathetic air confrontation—the story goes that the
Syrian-Israeli border was the safest place on earth, despite the occupation
of the Golan Heights. However, by proxy, and mostly via non-state actors
such as Hizballah and Hamas, Syria became the last and only state
confronting Israel. Regionally, the Syrian regime acquired a reputation of
bravado. This was not because it actively fought Israel’s outlaw behavior
and racism. It was because all the other Arab states were, more or less,
wimps, to use a sophisticated word (though some say they were rational,
we’ll leave at that for now).

In 1993, Syria’s stance as lone confronter state was further fortified.
This was due on the one hand to Iraq’s military irrelevance and defeat. On
the other hand “peace” with Israel proliferated on multiple fronts: the
Oslo accords the Jordanian-Israeli peace treaty, and deeper flirtations
between various Arab countries and Israel, notably Qatar and Morocco. When
Qaddafi paid off the UK and the US for being a bad boy and promptly joined
the community of lawful nations. It was none other than the great intellect
of George W. Bush that deemed Qaddafi as a model of sorts. By the mid
2000’s, the Syrian regime was the only remaining Arab country that would
not pay lip service to the United States.

It did more than that. The Syrian regime continued to support resistance to
the Israeli occupation by supporting Hizballah as well as Hamas and Islamic
Jihad (both of which had offices in Damascus). It opposed the brutal and
arrogant invasion of Iraq in a manner that no Arab country did. It
continued to be the only well-endowed secular *and *explicitly, if only
rhetorically, anti-imperialist state in the region.

But for the United States, Israel, some European countries, Saudi Arabia
and its minions in Lebanon and the Gulf, it is the Syria-Hizballah-Iran
axis that constitutes the most formidable challenge. Taking out Syria as it
stands would weaken Hizballah and isolate Iran, the big prize. With Syria
out of the way, Hizballah would be starved of its safe arms transport
corridor and less able to meet a strike against Iran with reprisal.

An Iran-strike would also confront Turkey with a dilemma. Quite aside, from
its two-faced posturing on the Syrian authoritarianism at the same time
that it oppresses Kurdish resistance, Turkey would have to balance two
conflicting desires. On the one hand, the Turkish administration hopes to
nourish its vision of regional hegemony through the consent and admiration
of the Arab street. But it is that very street that rejects the United
States-Saudi Arabia alliance that Turkey is implicitly supporting in its
drive to isolate the Syrian regime.

In any case, precluding Turkey, the actors that are amassed to benefit from
the fall of the Syrian regime are in the final analysis no less problematic
than the Syrian regime. In sum, these actors are certainly more violent,
discriminatory, and anti-democratic, in reality and in terms of their
collective or individual long-term vision for the region. In unity, there’s
strength! Whether one supports the Syrian regime or not, the fall of the
Syrian regime is more than the fall of the Syrian regime. That does not
mean that it should not be opposed or overthrown by domestic means. I have
argued elsewhere
(1<http://www.jadaliyya.com/pages/index/2527/for-syria-what-is-left-(part-1)>,
2<http://www.jadaliyya.com/pages/index/3352/religion-morality-syria-resistance_for-syria-what->)
that Syria’s past or potential regional role should not be an excuse for
supporting its sustenance. Conversely, supporting the demise of the Syrian
regime by any means, including external military intervention, is extremely
reckless if the objective is to save Syrian lives or set the stage for a
post-regime path of self-determination.

Any external military intervention supported by the above array of the
awkward and brutal will devastate Syria because of a host of intended and
unintended consequences. It will exponentially increase the death toll of
Syrians in absolute and relative terms without achieving any discernable
conclusive outcome. Moreover, the external factor will reignite another
local and regional struggle rather than simply end domestic authoritarian
rule and pave the way for democratic development.

One can be moved by the urgency of saving Syrian lives today, but if this
is the ultimate purpose, and if Syrians’ self-determination is the desired
outcome, one can easily see the perils of military intervention that will
make the current killing look like a picnic. Ideological considerations
aside, the magnitude of the complexity and mayhem can be discerned simply
by anticipating a conflict that will involve Iran, Hizballah, and an
intense chunk of the Syrian population. Internal and regional opposition to
external military intervention in Syria will swell the more an attack is
imminent. Unless the regime brutality reaches even higher proportions prior
to the intervention (apologies for the coldness of the calculation here),
it will be counter-productive to say the least.

As for the hoax of no-fly-zones that is considered the ask by many, as
opposed to full scale military intervention, I am reminded of how some
young(er) boys used to promise their girlfriends they would not go all the
way. The no-fly-zones is equally unrealistic and much less pleasurable in
the end. I can’t say more here, and I can’t believe I’m keeping this text
in the post.

Thus, both positions are doable, if not necessary, simultaneously: opposing
the regime as well as external military intervention. The problem arises
with the question of agency.

*The Residual Problem With This Article*

Not to be outdone by this article, it is crucial to point to a flaw, or
lack, within it, and to introduce a anti-climactic caveat. First, I must
admit that the tenor of the position elaborated in the lines above lacks a
clear agency (e.g., institution/party/movement) that might convert it to a
real and actionable path. The Syrian National Council is certainly not it.
But that has never been the object of debate. Hence, this article is a very
modest and hopelessly insufficient attempt at engendering a discussion
about locating or catalyzing such a collective. Some strands of the
opposition, including the head of the National Coordinating Committees,
support a nuanced
position<http://www.alquds.co.uk/index.asp?fname=latest%2Fdata%2F2012-01-20-08-58-35.htm>,
but are usually fought fiercely. According to independent organizers and
protesters on the ground in Syria, there is room for the growth and
effectiveness of a truly democratist opposition that is not always in line
with the SNC. True, both parties may be benefitting from each other for
their own purposes today, but there is growing concern among many activists
on the ground about where the SNC is headed and how it is run, now and in
the longer term. This tension, which is also evident between the SNC and
other smaller opposition groups outside Syria, has not become explicit yet.
Perhaps the most bright ray of light are the reports that the larger part
of the Syrian opposition inside Syria does not take its cues from anyone
outside Syria, and for good reason, despite some appearances to the
contrary. It may only be this indigenous force that can solve the problem
of leadership.

The anti-climactic caveat is that no one outside the SNC and part of the
domestic opposition is calling for external intervention in a inexorable
manner. That is not for lack of want or desire. Besides the arguments
suggested above from a general standpoint, the lack of readiness for
external intervention is manifold and not always intuitive. Largely, it’s
because of the low pay-offs, some deterrence, and a bit of cynicism, among
the anti-Syrian (regime, geostrategic importance, and people) camp. First,
Syria is not Iraq or Libya. It does not have ample natural resources to be
used as mortgage for future reimbursement for the “noble” deed (the West’s
got to stop liberating people!). Second, unrest in Syria may potentially
spill over the new champions of democracy in and around the Arabian
Peninsula, not to mention Lebanon and the thorny derivatives of further
instability in that godforsaken country. Third, the current Syrian regime
protected its borders with Israel (actually, itself, considering the
occupied Golan) for decades. Not a bad thing for Israel’s decades’ long
violation of international law, underwritten by the foe it robbed. Fourth,
Syria has a lot of friends, big and small, that will not stand still, and
some, like Russia, have a fleet docked near Syria's northern shores.

Finally, as the venerable Kissinger used to say in the 1980s (I’m
paraphrasing), let the Iranians and Iraqis kill each other into impotence,
for it facilitates things for the United States thereafter. Thus, some
would like the Syrians to continue killing each other for a while longer
before an intervention is advanced. They would be happy to see Syria
weakening even further its institutions and infrastructure while
exacerbating social/political divisions and undercutting possibilities of
collective action for a long time to come. Syria’s long-term trajectory
after the Ba`th had fallen is an unknown quantity regarding the question of
resistance, anti-imperialism, and the struggle for restoring the Golan. So,
from their perspective, why not wait for Syria and Syrians to disempower
themselves further instead of having a swift conclusion now? If one, or a
government, supports the safety of the Apartheid state of Israel, what else
would be better than a *protracted* killing field in Syria?

So, for the moment, external military intervention is not seriously on the
table yet. But the discursive conflicts on this question continue. Hence,
the idiot’s guide.*
*

*[A version of this article was published on al-Jazeera English website]*


[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]



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