Australian Financial Review
Jan 18, 1999
http://www.afr.com.au/content/990118/update/update21.html

Russia faces huge Y2K
problem says official

Russia faces huge problems ensuring its missile
systems will not be affected by the so-called
"millennium bug" computer problem, a senior
official was quoted as saying today. 

Alexander Krupnov, head of the State
Committee for Communications and
Information, said fixing the computer problem
could cost the country $US1.5 to $US3 billion
($A2.4 to $A4.8 billion), up to six times his
original estimate, ITAR-TASS reported. 

"Entities such as the defence ministry face great
difficulties from the view point of all types of
missiles," the news agency cited Krupnov as
saying after a Russian-US investment
symposium in the United States. 

"The technologies they have are 20 years old,"
he said, adding that "time is running out" to fix
the problem ahead of the year 2000. 

Scientists warn that obsolete computer chips or
software could mean that many systems will
fail in 2000 because dates ending in "00" will be
interpreted as the year 1900, triggering
potentially crippling errors in logic. 

Analysts say the so-called "Y2K" problem
could have devastating consequences for
ballistic missiles, early warning defence systems
and nuclear power stations, but none of the
experts know for certain what exactly will
happen on D-Day. 

When Russia launched its own "Y2K" program
last July, Krupnov said Russia would need to
spend some $US500 million ($A798 million)
dollars overhauling its computers and software. 

But western officials warn Moscow has been
slow to recognise the embedded microchip
issue, involving tiny processors that perform
vital control functions in a vast array of
equipment, including cellular telephones, fax
machines, heart pacemakers, monitoring
equipment in nuclear plants, pipelines, radar
and missiles. 

Krupnov said government departments were
due to report shortly on their progress in
updating their systems. 

His gloom contrasts sharply with the public
serenity of defence chiefs. Strategic rocket
force commander Vladimir Yakovlev last
month said solving Y2K would cost his forces
just 10 million rubles - less than $US500,000
($A798,000). 

"The general feeling is that the situation is not
as bad as they say and that there's no point in
getting worked up about it," Mikhail Salnikov
of the Compulog computer magazine told AFP
last week. 
 AFP 



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