The following paper has recently been published: Whitehead, H., B. McGill and B. Worm. 2008. Diversity of deep- water cetaceans in relation to temperature: implications for ocean warming. Ecology Letters 11: 1198-1207.
Abstract: Understanding the effects of natural environmental variation on biodiversity can help predict response to future anthropogenic change. Here we analyse a large, long-term data set of sightings of deep-water cetaceans from the Atlantic, Pacific and Indian Oceans. Seasonal and geographic changes in the diversity of these genera are well predicted by a convex function of sea- surface temperature peaking at c. 21 oC. Thus, diversity is highest at intermediate latitudes an emerging general pattern for the pelagic ocean. When applied to a range of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change global change scenarios, the predicted response is a decline of cetacean diversity across the tropics and increases at higher latitudes. This suggests that deep-water oceanic communities that dominate > 60% of the planet's surface may reorganize in response to ocean warming, with low-latitude losses of diversity and resilience. There is a .pdf at http://whitelab.biology.dal.ca/labpub.htm. Hal Whitehead Department of Biology Dalhousie University _______________________________________________ MARMAM mailing list MARMAM@lists.uvic.ca https://lists.uvic.ca/mailman/listinfo/marmam