Dear MARMAM colleagues,

On behalf of my co-authors, we are pleased to share our new publication in 
Frontiers of Marine Science.

Arcangeli A., Atzori F., Azzolin M., Babey L., Campana I., Carosso L., Crosti 
R., Garcia-Garin O., Gregorietti M., Orasi A., Scuderi A., Tepsich P., Vighi M. 
and David L. (2023) Testing indicators for trend assessment of range and 
habitat of low-density cetacean species in the Mediterranean Sea. Frontiers in 
Marine Science, 10, 893. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2023.1116829. 

Introduction: Conservation of cetaceans is challenging due to their 
large-range, highly-dynamic nature. The EU Habitats Directive (HD) reports 78% 
of species in ‘unknown’ conservation status, and information on 
low-density/elusive species such G.griseus, G.melas, Z.cavirostris is the most 
scattered.

Methods: The FLT-Net programme has regularly collected year-round data along 
trans-border fixed-transects in the Mediterranean Sea since 2007. Nearly 7,500 
cetacean sightings were recorded over 500,000 km of effort with 296 of 
less-common species. Comparing data across two HD 6-years periods 
(2013-2019/2008-2012), this study aimed at testing four potential indicators to 
assess range and habitat short-term trends of G.griseus, G.melas, 
Z.cavirostris: 1) change in Observed Distributional Range-ODR based on known 
occurrence, calculated through the Kernel smoother within the effort area; 2) 
change in Ecological Potential Range-EPR extent, predicted through Spatial 
Distribution Models; 3) Range Pattern, assessed as overlap and shift of core 
areas between periods; 4) changes in ODR vs EPR.

Results: Most ODR and EPR confirmed the persistence of known important sites, 
especially in the Western-Mediterranean. All species, however, exhibit changes 
in the distribution extent (contraction or expansion) and an offshore shift, 
possibly indicating exploitation of new areas or avoidance of more impacted 
ones.

Discussion: Results confirmed that the ODR could underestimate the real 
occupied range, as referring to the effort area only; it can be used to detect 
trends providing that the spatio-temporal effort scale is representative of 
species range. The EPR allows generalising species distribution outside the 
effort area, defining species’ Habitat and the Occupied/Potential Range 
proportion. To investigate range-trends, EPR needs to be adjusted based also on 
the Occupied/Potential Range proportion since it could be larger than the 
occupied range in presence of limiting factors, or smaller, if anthropogenic 
pressures force the species outside the ecological niche.

Conclusion: Using complementary indicators proved valuable to evaluate the 
significance of changes. The concurrent analysis of more species with similar 
ecology was also critical to assess whether the detected changes are 
species-specific or representative of broader trends. The FLT-Net sampling 
strategy proved adequate for trend assessment in the Western-Mediterranean and 
Adriatic basins, while more transects are needed to characterize the 
Central-Mediterranean and Aegean-Levantine ecological variability.


The article is available via open access online or upon request.

Kind regars,
antonella arcangeli


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