Space tourism yet to fly, 5 years since 1st flight

Oct 3, 2009  3:20 PM (ET)

By JOHN ANTCZAK and ALICIA CHANG
Associated Press

http://apnews.myway.com//article/20091003/D9B3Q8301.html


LOS ANGELES (AP) - When a private spaceship soared over California to 
claim a $10 million prize, daredevil venture capitalist Alan Walton was 
68 and thought he'd soon be on a rocket ride of his own.

Walton plunked down $200,000 to be among the first space tourists to 
make a suborbital thrill-ride high above the Earth aboard a Virgin 
Galactic spaceship.

Now he intends to ask for his deposit back if there's no fixed launch 
date by his 74th birthday next April.

"This was going to be the highlight of my old age," he said.

It has been five years since SpaceShipOne, the first privately financed 
manned spacecraft, captured the Ansari X Prize on Oct. 4, 2004, by 
demonstrating that a reusable rocket capable of carrying passengers 
could fly more than 62 miles high twice within two weeks - showing 
reliability and commercial viability.

Enthusiasm over SpaceShipOne's feats was so high that year that even 
before the prize-winning flight, British mogul Richard Branson announced 
an agreement to use the technology in a second-generation design, 
SpaceShipTwo, to fly commercial passengers into space under the Virgin 
Galactic banner by 2007.

It seemed that anyone who had the money would soon be experiencing what 
SpaceShipOne pilot Brian Binnie called "literally a rush - you light 
that motor off and the world wakes up around you." And then the 
sensation of weightlessness and the sight of the world far below.

Turning the dream into reality has taken longer than many expected in 
those days, and spaceflight remains the realm of government astronauts 
and a handful of extraordinarily wealthy people who have paid millions 
for rides on Russian rockets to the international space station.

X Prize founder Peter Diamandis says, however, that things have not been 
at a standstill.

More than $1 billion has been invested in the industry, regulatory 
roadblocks have been addressed and as many as three different passenger 
spaceships will emerge in the next 18 to 24 months and begin flying, he 
said.

"You'll get another large injection of excitement in public interest 
once those vehicles begin operating and the public starts getting 
flown," he said.

Freight business owner Edwin Sahakian has seen signs of progress. He and 
four other Virgin Galactic customers got a peek at SpaceShipTwo this 
summer during a visit to the Scaled Composites plant at the Mojave 
Airport, where it is being built by maverick aviation designer Burt Rutan.

At the time it was the color of carbon fiber - dark gray - and had not 
been painted. Its engine had not been assembled either, but Sahakian was 
impressed with one aspect: lots of big windows.

"This is not a grandiose mock-up. This is the real thing," said the 
46-year-old Sahakian, who is a flight instructor in his spare time.

During the campaign to win the X Prize, Rutan had stressed that a 
tourism spacecraft would have to have big windows to give passengers a 
view and it would have to be at least 100 times safer than any 
spacecraft ever flown.

The project was dealt a setback two years ago when three technicians 
were killed in an explosion while testing SpaceShipTwo's propellant 
system. Scaled Composites, which was bought by Northrop Grumman Corp., 
was cited for five workplace violations and fined $28,870 in connection 
with the blast that also critically injured three men.

Like SpaceShipOne, its successor will be carried aloft by a special jet 
aircraft dubbed the WhiteKnightTwo. The rocketship will be released at 
high altitude before the pilot ignites its motor. After reaching the top 
of its trajectory, it will fall back into the atmosphere and glide to a 
landing.

Virgin Galactic President Will Whitehorn said testing of WhiteKnightTwo 
is in full swing, with flights above 52,000 feet.

The completed SpaceShipTwo is expected to be unveiled in December in 
Mojave and first test flights will begin next year, with full-fledged 
space launches to its maximum altitude by or during 2011, Whitehorn said.

But no timetable for the start of commercial operations is being 
released, he said.

Whitehorn said Virgin Galactic continues to hold $40 million in deposits 
by 300 customers.

X Prize Foundation President Robert K. Weiss acknowledged that "things 
are a few years behind what was originally anticipated" but said he is 
certain there will be commercial spaceflights within this decade and the 
interest of people will be reinvigorated.

"When the demand starts to ramp up, the price is going to come down and 
so it's not going to be a couple hundred thousand dollars, it's going to 
be the price of, let's say, an automobile," he said.

The foundation, meanwhile, has branched out with its concept of spurring 
innovation through monetary incentives. Multimillion-dollar X Prizes are 
being offered in competitions to send a privately funded robot to the 
moon, build production-capable cars with the equivalent of 100 mpg 
efficiency, and for developing technology to greatly reduce the time it 
takes to sequence human genomes.

Diamandis said that while 10 years ago, he found it hard to get anyone 
to listen to the concept of the X Prize until telecommunications 
millionaire Anousheh Ansari and her family funded the first one.

Now he says he is seeing a substantial increase in interest from 
philanthropists, corporations and government agencies in spurring 
innovation through incentives.

"In financial stress times, prizes really work very well because you 
only pay upon success," he said.

-- 
================================
George Antunes, Political Science Dept
University of Houston; Houston, TX 77204 
Voice: 713-743-3923  Fax: 713-743-3927
Mail: antunes at uh dot edu

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