Re: AV/FW Adoption Sudies

2004-06-11 Thread Michael . Dillon
> More likely, the software actually leaks like a sieve, and NEITHER group > has even scratched the surface.. How many leaks did the OpenBSD team find when they proactively audited their entire codebase for the first time a few years ago? This would be an indication of just how leaky an O/S might

Re: AV/FW Adoption Sudies

2004-06-10 Thread Valdis . Kletnieks
On Thu, 10 Jun 2004 13:50:47 PDT, Eric Rescorla said: > I'm asking the question: > If you find some bug in the normal course of your operations > (i.e. nobody told you where to look) how likely is it that > someone else has already found it? > > And you're asking a question more like: > Given tha

Re: AV/FW Adoption Sudies

2004-06-10 Thread Eric Rescorla
[EMAIL PROTECTED] writes: > On Thu, 10 Jun 2004 13:30:41 PDT, Eric Rescorla said: > >> [0] Note that this doesn't require that the chance of finding >> any particular bug upon inspection of the code be very low >> high, but merely that there not be very deep coverage of >> any particular code sec

Re: AV/FW Adoption Sudies

2004-06-10 Thread Valdis . Kletnieks
On Thu, 10 Jun 2004 13:30:41 PDT, Eric Rescorla said: > [0] Note that this doesn't require that the chance of finding > any particular bug upon inspection of the code be very low > high, but merely that there not be very deep coverage of > any particular code section. Right. However, if you hand

Re: AV/FW Adoption Sudies

2004-06-10 Thread Eric Rescorla
[EMAIL PROTECTED] writes: > On Thu, 10 Jun 2004 12:23:42 PDT, Eric Rescorla said: > >> I'm not sure we disagree. All I was saying was that I don't >> think we have a good reason to believe that the average bug >> found independently by a white hat is already known to a >> black hat. Do you disagr

Re: AV/FW Adoption Sudies

2004-06-10 Thread Valdis . Kletnieks
On Thu, 10 Jun 2004 12:23:42 PDT, Eric Rescorla said: > I'm not sure we disagree. All I was saying was that I don't > think we have a good reason to believe that the average bug > found independently by a white hat is already known to a > black hat. Do you disagree? Actually, yes. Non-obvious bu

Re: AV/FW Adoption Sudies

2004-06-10 Thread Steven M. Bellovin
In message <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>, Valdis.Kletni [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes: Actually, it was Morris, not me, who first pointed it out. > >Data point: When did Steve Bellovin point out the issues with non-random >TCP ISNs? When did Mitnick use an exploit for this against Shimomura? > >And now ask y

Re: AV/FW Adoption Sudies

2004-06-10 Thread Eric Rescorla
[EMAIL PROTECTED] writes: > On Thu, 10 Jun 2004 11:54:31 PDT, Eric Rescorla said: > >> My hypothesis is that the sets of bugs independently found by white >> hats and black hats are basically disjoint. So, you'd definitely >> expect that there were bugs found by the black hats and then used as >>

Re: AV/FW Adoption Sudies

2004-06-10 Thread Valdis . Kletnieks
On Thu, 10 Jun 2004 11:54:31 PDT, Eric Rescorla said: > My hypothesis is that the sets of bugs independently found by white > hats and black hats are basically disjoint. So, you'd definitely > expect that there were bugs found by the black hats and then used as > zero-days and eventually leaked to

Re: AV/FW Adoption Sudies

2004-06-10 Thread Paul G
- Original Message - From: "Eric Rescorla" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> > Paul G <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > > - Original Message - > > From: "Eric Rescorla" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> > > > > -- snip --- > > > > > If we assume that the black hats aren't vastly more > > > capable than the

Re: AV/FW Adoption Sudies

2004-06-10 Thread Eric Rescorla
Paul G <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > - Original Message - > From: "Eric Rescorla" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> > To: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> > Cc: "Sean Donelan" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>; "'Nanog'" <[EMAIL PROTECTED

Re: AV/FW Adoption Sudies

2004-06-10 Thread Paul G
- Original Message - From: "Eric Rescorla" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> To: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> Cc: "Sean Donelan" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>; "'Nanog'" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> Sent: Thursday, June 10, 2004 2:37 PM Subject: Re: AV/FW Adoptio

Re: AV/FW Adoption Sudies

2004-06-10 Thread Eric Rescorla
[EMAIL PROTECTED] writes: > On Thu, 10 Jun 2004 08:50:18 PDT, Eric Rescorla said: >> [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes: > >> > Remember that the black hats almost certainly had 0-days for the >> > holes, and before the patch comes out, the 0-day is 100% effective. >> >> What makes you think that black ha

Re: AV/FW Adoption Sudies

2004-06-10 Thread Valdis . Kletnieks
On Thu, 10 Jun 2004 08:50:18 PDT, Eric Rescorla said: > [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes: > > Remember that the black hats almost certainly had 0-days for the > > holes, and before the patch comes out, the 0-day is 100% effective. > > What makes you think that black hats already know about your > average

Re: AV/FW Adoption Sudies

2004-06-10 Thread Eric Rescorla
[EMAIL PROTECTED] writes: > On Wed, 09 Jun 2004 18:45:55 EDT, Sean Donelan <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> said: > >> The numbers vary a little e.g. 38% or 42%, but the speed or severity or >> publicity doesn't change them much. If it is six months before the >> exploit, about 40% will be patched (60% unpat

Re: AV/FW Adoption Sudies

2004-06-10 Thread Valdis . Kletnieks
On Wed, 09 Jun 2004 18:45:55 EDT, Sean Donelan <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> said: > The numbers vary a little e.g. 38% or 42%, but the speed or severity or > publicity doesn't change them much. If it is six months before the > exploit, about 40% will be patched (60% unpatched). If it is 2 weeks, > about

Re: AV/FW Adoption Sudies

2004-06-09 Thread Sean Donelan
On Wed, 9 Jun 2004 [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: > A writeup on the OpenSSL holes, the Slapper worm, and when/why users > patched their systems. 17 pages, PDF. > > http://www.rtfm.com/upgrade.pdf > > Lots of interesting conclusions about user behavior, which we probably > need to consider when plannin

Re: AV/FW Adoption Sudies

2004-06-09 Thread Valdis . Kletnieks
On Tue, 08 Jun 2004 17:29:51 CDT, Dennis Dayman <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> said: > > Does anyone know of any studies on user adoption of security s/w (AV and FW > products), including how often people update and how regularly? Two papers that might help: A writeup on the OpenSSL holes, the Slapper wor

AV/FW Adoption Sudies

2004-06-08 Thread Dennis Dayman
Does anyone know of any studies on user adoption of security s/w (AV and FW products), including how often people update and how regularly? -Dennis